Liga MX preview: Can Toluca edge out victory against Juárez?

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Wed 20.April
Match begins: 02:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez (31000 seats)

Toluca - Juárez. 6th position against 16th position. The ball is round - get a broad overview of the game here!

Insights:
  • Toluca have the most conceded goals in the first half (29) in Liga MX
  • Juárez have the fewest scored goals in the second half (10) in Liga MX

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1700 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Toluca form and stats

The story so far in the Liga MX for Toluca, who have the fewest clean sheets (1) at home in Liga MX, at their home stadium (Estadio Nemesio Díez) is 3 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat. Two draws in a row at home now for Toluca.

The fans are hoping that Toluca will strike back in this fixture, putting things right after the 0-3 away loss in the game against Tigres UANL. Gutiérrez had a busy but productive day in the Tigres UANL match. Despite making seven saves the loss could not be prevented.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 1-1 versus Guadalajara.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Toluca have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 13 games) they have won seven times, drawn three and lost three.

A decent goal production from Toluca in their home games so far, with 13 goals from 8 league matches. On the other hand, Toluca have conceded 9 goals.

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Juárez form and stats

There's been little loot from Juárez's travels as they have only collected 5 points from 9 away games in the Liga MX. Juárez only have 1 win to counter their 6 defeats and 2 draws. The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for Juárez, who have now gone eleven games without a victory. The Atletico San Luis game was their last win and it’s been a dry spell since.

Juárez might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Pachuca proved too strong as Juárez slumped to a 1-2 defeat in front of their own fans at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. Midfielder Santos was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.83. Santos scored one goal, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 3 times.

A 0-3 defeat away at America before that.

We have checked recent matches where Juárez have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those ten games were one victory, one draw and eight defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Juárez are hosting Mazatlán in the Liga MX only three days away.

The visitors have scored 5 goals from 9 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Juárez struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 15 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

This is what happened when the squads met previously this season; Juárez - Toluca 1-3. As for the last seven games between these two teams, there's one Toluca victory, one draw and five Juárez wins. Over/under statistics; three of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

TolucaL. Fernández López
L. Fernández López
6 goals
TolucaA. Canelo
A. Canelo
5 goals
TolucaÓ. Ortega Gatica
Ó. Ortega Gatica
4 goals

Toluca missing players

Juárez missing players

Toluca Juárez
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
32 16 5 Played P 5 15 31
11 5 0 Won W 1 2 6
9 6 3 Drew D 0 3 6
12 5 2 Lost L 4 10 19
38 24 5 Scored S 1 7 23
51 25 9 Conceded C 10 24 47
94% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 94%
84% 94% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 60% 65%
62% 75% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 33% 45%
31% 38% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 13% 19%
6% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 3%
59% 88% 80% BTTS BTTS 0% 27% 45%
16% 6% 0% Clean Sheets C S 20% 13% 16%
31% 12% 20% Failed to Score F T 80% 60% 45%
 
4 4.5 6.2 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.1 3.1
5.1 4.6 4 Corners against (avg) C A 5.8 5.9 5.5
2.6 2.9 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.2 2.1
4 2 1 Red cards R C 1 2 4
 
12 12.9 13.4 Shots (avg) S ( 7 8.5 9
3.7 3.8 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.3 2.6
32% 40% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 10% 21% 29%
 
14.5 13.4 11 Shots against (avg) S A 16 14.1 13.4
4.9 4.7 3.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.4 4.5 4.4
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Juárez have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Juárez have the fewest scored goals in the second half (10) in Liga MX
  • Juárez have the the worst goal difference (-10) away in Liga MX
  • Juárez haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Juárez is in the worst form (0-0-6)
  • Toluca have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Toluca have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Juárez have scored away.
  • Toluca have the fewest clean sheets (1) at home in Liga MX
  • Toluca have the most conceded goals in the first half (29) in Liga MX
  • Toluca have the most points from losing position (20) in Liga MX

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 America 17 10 5 2 21 10 9 7 2 0 13 2 8 3 3 2 8 8 11 35
2 Atlas 17 8 5 4 21 10 9 4 2 3 8 5 8 4 3 1 13 5 11 29
3 Leon 17 8 5 4 20 14 8 3 3 2 11 6 9 5 2 2 9 8 6 29
4 Tigres UANL 17 7 7 3 26 14 9 4 5 0 15 5 8 3 2 3 11 9 12 28
5 Santos Laguna 17 5 9 3 23 16 9 2 6 1 9 7 8 3 3 2 14 9 7 24
6 Toluca 17 6 6 5 22 22 8 3 4 1 13 9 9 3 2 4 9 13 0 24
7 Puebla 17 6 6 5 16 16 9 3 3 3 9 9 8 3 3 2 7 7 0 24
8 Cruz Azul 17 5 8 4 21 17 8 3 3 2 11 7 9 2 5 2 10 10 4 23
9 Monterrey 17 5 7 5 19 16 8 4 2 2 10 4 9 1 5 3 9 12 3 22
10 Guadalajara 17 5 7 5 13 13 8 3 2 3 9 10 9 2 5 2 4 3 0 22
11 Pumas UNAM 17 5 6 6 17 23 9 4 3 2 11 10 8 1 3 4 6 13 -6 21
12 Atletico San Luis 17 4 8 5 19 23 8 1 3 4 8 15 9 3 5 1 11 8 -4 20
13 Mazatlán 17 5 5 7 18 24 9 4 3 2 13 12 8 1 2 5 5 12 -6 20
14 Necaxa 17 6 2 9 16 22 8 4 0 4 10 10 9 2 2 5 6 12 -6 20
15 Pachuca 17 4 6 7 19 21 9 2 5 2 10 7 8 2 1 5 9 14 -2 18
16 Juárez 17 4 4 9 14 25 8 3 2 3 9 10 9 1 2 6 5 15 -11 16
17 Queretaro 17 3 6 8 11 19 8 3 2 3 8 7 9 0 4 5 3 12 -8 15
18 Tijuana 17 3 6 8 16 27 9 2 4 3 9 11 8 1 2 5 7 16 -11 15

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.