Toluca supporters put their faith in manager J. de la Torre Menchaca to deliver victory against Atlas

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sun 15.March
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez (31000 seats)

Toluca are welcoming Atlas for another important game after their 2-3 result against 17th-placed Atlas.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Toluca form and stats

Toluca have collected 4 points from their Liga MX home games so far after 1-1-2.

Toluca's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 2-3 versus Atlas (placed 17th). Ahead of that match, Toluca lost 3-4 at home to Tijuana.

Some supporters pointed their nail-bitten fingers at Leonardo Fernández for missing a penalty kick versus Atlas in the 21st minute. It's possible that a goal in that situation would have changed the outcome.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Toluca have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won two times, drawn two and lost two.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (9 in 4 games), Toluca's attacking play is working. Toluca have conceded 9 goals in these home games, a significant number.

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Atlas form and stats

As the visiting team in Liga MX matches, Atlas have produced an overall stat of 1-0-3 so far.

Atlas play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 3-2 victory visiting Toluca (placed 15th). Preceding that, the 1-2 home loss versus Guadalajara.

We have checked recent matches where Atlas have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eleven games were two victories, two draws and seven defeats.

The visitors have scored 3 goals from 4 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Atlas's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 6 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Toluca - Atlas 2-3. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Toluca six wins, one draw and Atlas three victories. As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

TolucaL. Fernández López
L. Fernández López
8 goals
Toluca
E. Gigliotti
6 goals
TolucaÉ. Pardo Castro
É. Pardo Castro
3 goals

Toluca missing players

Atlas missing players

Toluca Atlas
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
28 14 4 Played P 2 14 28
6 4 3 Won W 0 5 9
9 3 0 Drew D 1 2 3
13 7 1 Lost L 1 7 16
32 22 9 Scored S 2 15 29
44 24 4 Conceded C 4 23 43
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
86% 93% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 71% 75%
36% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 50%
32% 50% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 29% 21%
14% 29% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 7%
54% 57% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 57% 54%
18% 21% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 14% 18%
29% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 29% 29%
 
4.9 4.9 4 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.5 3.6
5.3 5.4 5.2 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 5.1 4.8
2.2 2.5 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.9 2.2
4 3 1 Red cards R C 1 3 7
 
300 161 51 Total Shots T S 19 136 282
80 44 15 Shots on Target S O 6 45 93
40% 50% 60% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 33% 31%
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Atlas has the fewest scored goals in the first half (9)
  • Atlas has the the worst goal difference (-8)
  • Atlas haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Toluca have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Toluca haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leon 10 7 0 3 23 14 5 5 0 0 14 4 5 2 0 3 9 10 9 21
2 Cruz Azul 9 6 1 2 23 14 5 4 0 1 13 6 4 2 1 1 10 8 9 19
3 América 9 5 2 2 11 10 4 2 0 2 4 6 5 3 2 0 7 4 1 17
4 Guadalajara 10 4 4 2 13 11 5 2 2 1 8 5 5 2 2 1 5 6 2 16
5 Pumas UNAM 10 4 3 3 20 19 5 3 1 1 11 6 5 1 2 2 9 13 1 15
6 Tigres UANL 10 4 2 4 13 10 5 4 1 0 11 3 5 0 1 4 2 7 3 14
7 Juarez 10 4 2 4 20 18 5 2 1 2 11 11 5 2 1 2 9 7 2 14
8 Morelia 10 4 2 4 17 16 5 1 1 3 8 8 5 3 1 1 9 8 1 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 7 7 5 1 2 2 4 4 5 3 0 2 3 3 0 14
10 Santos Laguna 9 4 2 3 12 13 4 3 1 0 7 4 5 1 1 3 5 9 -1 14
11 Pachuca 10 4 2 4 11 12 5 3 2 0 5 1 5 1 0 4 6 11 -1 14
12 Querétaro 10 4 2 4 13 15 4 1 1 2 5 4 6 3 1 2 8 11 -2 14
13 Atlético San Luis 10 3 4 3 11 15 5 2 1 2 7 8 5 1 3 1 4 7 -4 13
14 Necaxa 9 3 2 4 16 14 5 1 2 2 8 8 4 2 0 2 8 6 2 11
15 Toluca 9 2 4 3 14 15 4 1 1 2 9 9 5 1 3 1 5 6 -1 10
16 Tijuana 10 2 3 5 10 16 6 2 2 2 6 6 4 0 1 3 4 10 -6 9
17 Atlas 9 2 0 7 7 15 5 1 0 4 4 9 4 1 0 3 3 6 -8 6
18 Monterrey 10 0 5 5 10 17 5 0 3 2 6 8 5 0 2 3 4 9 -7 5

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.