Liga MX prediction and guide: Tijuana small betting favourite to overpower Atlético San Luis

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sat 11.February
Match begins: 03:10 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Caliente (27333 seats)

Liga MX: We're previewing an engrossing and very important match between Tijuana and Atlético San Luis at Estadio Caliente. Both teams need the win!

Insights:
  • Tijuana have the fewest matches over the total-line (9) in Liga MX
  • Atlético San Luis have the fewest scored goals (15) in Liga MX

These teams have little in common geographically as Atlético San Luis have to travel 2400 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

D D D L D

Tijuana form and stats

With 2 Liga MX wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their home games, Tijuana are certainly not brimming with confidence. When Tijuana hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Atlas, Mazatlán, Pumas UNAM, Tijuana and Queretaro), they have won 1 of 2 matches! With eight home Liga MX games in a row without a win, the Tijuana fans could feel they are not getting value for their money.

The home team returns to Estadio Caliente after drawing with Necaxa on their last time out; the game ended 1-1. López was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.44 out of 10. The defender López won 10 of 14 duels.

In the match before that, Tijuana hosted Pumas UNAM and drew the game 0-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Tijuana have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 17 games) they have won 7 times, drawn 6 and lost 4.

Tijuana has scored 9 league goals at home this season, in 8 matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 13 goals have been conceded. Tijuana has at home met teams with this table position (low), two times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 2 of 2 times.

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Atlético San Luis form and stats

As the visiting team in Liga MX matches, Atlético San Luis have produced an overall stat of 2-4-2 so far.

203 minutes! That's how long the Atlético San Luis goalkeeper Marcelo Barovero and his defense have shut out their league opponents.

Güemez scored in Atlético San Luis's previous match, the home game against Puebla that ended 2-0. Those three points felt nice as this team had gone three league games without victory. Midfield player Güemez was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.83/10. Güemez scored one goal, hit three key passes and had 37 successful passes (of 42 total).

Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Tigres UANL that ended 0-0.

We have checked recent matches where Atlético San Luis have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 14 games were 4 victories, 2 draws and 8 defeats.

After this away game Atlético return home for a Liga MX game against America. That game is only four sleeps after this.

11 goals have been conceded by Atlético San Luis in these games.

Head 2 Head

Atlético San Luis have put together a sequence of 5 consecutive games without defeat (2-3-0) when facing Tijuana.

This was the end result when the contenders faced each other previously this campaign; Atlético San Luis - Tijuana 0-0.

Top Goalscorers

TijuanaL. Rodríguez
L. Rodríguez
4 goals
TijuanaL. López
L. López
3 goals
TijuanaA. Canelo
A. Canelo
2 goals

Tijuana missing players

Atlético San Luis missing players

Tijuana Atlético San Luis
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
22 11 2 Played P 3 11 22
4 2 1 Won W 1 3 6
9 5 1 Drew D 2 5 8
9 4 0 Lost L 0 3 8
21 11 2 Scored S 5 12 21
36 15 0 Conceded C 3 16 28
91% 91% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 82% 77%
86% 91% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 73% 64%
41% 27% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 45% 45%
18% 9% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 36% 23%
9% 9% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 18% 14%
55% 45% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 64% 50%
18% 27% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 27% 36%
36% 36% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 27% 36%
 
5 6.3 9.5 Corners for (avg) C F 6.7 4.1 4.1
5.7 4.7 2.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 6.3 6
2.5 2.3 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 1.8 2.1
6 3 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
12.6 14.5 15.5 Shots (avg) S ( 14.3 9.5 9.9
3.5 4.3 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.7 3.7 3.3
27% 23% 18% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 29% 29%
 
13.5 11 7.5 Shots against (avg) S A 16.7 18.6 17.1
4.8 4.1 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.7 5 5.1
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Atlético San Luis have the fewest scored goals (15) in Liga MX
  • Atlético San Luis have the fewest scored goals in the first half (7) in Liga MX
  • Tijuana have the fewest matches over the total-line (9) in Liga MX
  • Tijuana have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 America 17 12 2 3 38 17 8 6 2 0 20 6 9 6 0 3 18 11 21 38
2 Monterrey 17 10 5 2 29 13 8 5 3 0 14 5 9 5 2 2 15 8 16 35
3 Santos Laguna 17 10 3 4 38 21 9 8 1 0 24 7 8 2 2 4 14 14 17 33
4 Pachuca 17 9 5 3 28 15 9 6 2 1 17 6 8 3 3 2 11 9 13 32
5 Tigres UANL 17 9 3 5 24 14 8 5 1 2 12 6 9 4 2 3 12 8 10 30
6 Toluca 17 7 6 4 27 23 9 4 4 1 17 13 8 3 2 3 10 10 4 27
7 Cruz Azul 17 7 3 7 26 34 9 5 1 3 15 12 8 2 2 4 11 22 -8 24
8 Puebla 17 4 10 3 25 23 9 3 5 1 13 11 8 1 5 2 12 12 2 22
9 Guadalajara 17 5 7 5 19 17 9 3 4 2 7 7 8 2 3 3 12 10 2 22
10 Leon 17 6 4 7 25 29 8 4 2 2 16 14 9 2 2 5 9 15 -4 22
11 Juarez 17 4 7 6 17 18 9 2 5 2 11 10 8 2 2 4 6 8 -1 19
12 Necaxa 17 5 4 8 19 26 8 3 1 4 11 15 9 2 3 4 8 11 -7 19
13 Atlético San Luis 17 4 6 7 15 23 9 2 2 5 7 12 8 2 4 2 8 11 -8 18
14 Mazatlán 17 3 8 6 17 24 8 2 3 3 9 12 9 1 5 3 8 12 -7 17
15 Tijuana 17 4 5 8 18 30 8 2 2 4 9 13 9 2 3 4 9 17 -12 17
16 Pumas UNAM 17 2 8 7 21 31 9 2 4 3 11 15 8 0 4 4 10 16 -10 14
17 Atlas 17 3 4 10 16 27 8 3 2 3 10 10 9 0 2 7 6 17 -11 13
18 Queretaro 17 1 6 10 18 35 8 1 4 3 10 13 9 0 2 7 8 22 -17 9

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.