Liga MX prediction and preview: Puebla modest favorites to beat Pumas UNAM

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sat 24.April
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc (51726 seats)

Puebla will hope to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today’s opponents. The home side are currently 12 points behind Pumas UNAM.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Puebla form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Liga MX this season. Puebla have only managed 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their games here at Estadio Cuauhtémoc.

Puebla are returning here after visiting Atlético San Luis in a Liga MX game and winning with a 4-1 scoreline. Christian Tabó, Daniel Álvarez, Guillermo Martinez and Santiago Ormeño scored the goal(s). In the game before, an away victory match versus Pachuca with a 3-1 scoreline.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Puebla have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found five games) they have won two times, drawn one and lost two.

A decent goal production from Puebla in their home games so far, with 12 goals from 8 league matches. Puebla have conceded 13 from these games.

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Pumas UNAM form and stats

As the visiting team in Liga MX matches, Pumas UNAM have produced an overall stat of 3-4-1 so far. Winning streaks in away matches are not that common, but Pumas are close to a proper streak after winning their two previous away games.

196 minutes! That's how long the Pumas UNAM goalkeeper Alfredo Talavera Diaz and his defense have shut out their league opponents.

Pumas's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Tigres UANL that finished 0-0. Before that one, a nice away victory 1-0 at Necaxa.

We have checked recent matches where Pumas have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 16 games were two victories, four draws and ten defeats.

The visiting Pumas UNAM have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 10 goals from 8 games. As opposed to that, Pumas UNAM have seen the ball go into their own net 9 times on the road. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Pumas UNAM - Puebla 4-1 played earlier this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's five Puebla victories, two draws and three Pumas UNAM wins. Over/under statistics; six of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

PueblaS. Ormeño Zayas
S. Ormeño Zayas
16 goals
Pumas UNAMJ. Dinenno De Cara
J. Dinenno De Cara
16 goals
PueblaD. Álvarez López
D. Álvarez López
6 goals

Puebla missing players

Pumas UNAM missing players

Puebla Pumas UNAM
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
35 17 6 Played P 6 19 38
14 6 1 Won W 3 6 14
8 5 3 Drew D 1 6 15
13 6 2 Lost L 2 7 9
51 24 7 Scored S 6 15 45
44 19 8 Conceded C 5 22 35
97% 94% 83% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 89% 87%
63% 65% 83% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 63% 63%
46% 41% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 32% 37%
34% 29% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 11% 18%
20% 18% 17% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
54% 53% 83% BTTS BTTS 50% 42% 42%
23% 24% 17% Clean Sheets C S 33% 26% 37%
26% 29% 17% Failed to Score F T 17% 42% 34%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.9 1.6 1.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.5 2.4
6 1 1 Red cards R C 0 3 6
 
10.9 11.5 10.5 Shots (avg) S ( 7.3 8.7 10.8
3.7 4 3.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.2 2.2 3
40% 35% 35% Goal Efficiency G E 46% 37% 40%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leon 17 12 4 1 27 14 8 7 1 0 15 7 9 5 3 1 12 7 13 40
2 Pumas UNAM 17 8 8 1 29 17 9 5 4 0 19 8 8 3 4 1 10 9 12 32
3 America 17 9 5 3 31 22 9 6 2 1 19 9 8 3 3 2 12 13 9 32
4 Cruz Azul 17 9 2 6 23 16 8 5 1 2 12 6 9 4 1 4 11 10 7 29
5 Monterrey 17 8 5 4 26 21 8 4 3 1 13 9 9 4 2 3 13 12 5 29
6 Tigres UANL 17 7 7 3 27 16 9 4 4 1 15 8 8 3 3 2 12 8 11 28
7 Guadalajara 17 7 5 5 20 17 9 4 3 2 11 9 8 3 2 3 9 8 3 26
8 Santos Laguna 17 7 4 6 24 20 8 5 2 1 14 5 9 2 2 5 10 15 4 25
9 Pachuca 17 6 7 4 18 14 9 3 3 3 11 10 8 3 4 1 7 4 4 25
10 Necaxa 17 7 3 7 16 20 9 4 1 4 10 12 8 3 2 3 6 8 -4 24
11 Toluca 17 6 3 8 23 28 8 5 1 2 14 9 9 1 2 6 9 19 -5 21
12 Puebla 17 6 2 9 22 25 8 2 2 4 12 13 9 4 0 5 10 12 -3 20
13 Juarez 17 4 7 6 16 19 9 3 4 2 6 6 8 1 3 4 10 13 -3 19
14 Mazatlan 17 4 4 9 24 31 8 3 2 3 11 13 9 1 2 6 13 18 -7 16
15 Tijuana 17 4 3 10 12 27 9 4 2 3 9 9 8 0 1 7 3 18 -15 15
16 Atlas 17 3 5 9 13 20 8 2 1 5 5 8 9 1 4 4 8 12 -7 14
17 Queretaro 17 3 4 10 23 28 8 3 2 3 15 11 9 0 2 7 8 17 -5 13
18 Atlético San Luis 17 3 2 12 16 35 9 2 2 5 9 18 8 1 0 7 7 17 -19 11

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.