Liga MX preview: Can Puebla edge out victory against Juárez?

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Wed 02.March
Match begins: 01:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc (51726 seats)

Puebla have 24 points playing as the home side. Juárez have got 16 points playing away. Are we looking at a home win?

Insights:
  • Puebla is in the best form (5-1-0) in Liga MX
  • Juárez have the fewest scored goals in the second half (8) in Liga MX

These teams have little in common geographically as Juárez have to travel 1900 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

It's no vacation for neither Puebla nor Juárez as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

W W D W W

Puebla form and stats

When playing at home in the Liga MX, Puebla have managed 3 wins, 3 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 9 games.

A good away victory last time out for Puebla, who won 3-2 against Guadalajara. Midfielder Cortizo was the best player on the team with a rating of 8.0 (out of ten) in that game. Cortizo scored one goal, served one assist, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 6 of 8 times.

Before that, Puebla had a home game versus Monterrey which ended with a victory 1-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Puebla have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won four times, drawn one and lost two.

The manager Larcamón will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Cruz Azul in only four days.

At Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla has the goal stats of 9-9 (for/against) from 9 league fixtures.

L D L W L

Juárez form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Juárez so far with only 5 points returning home. The records show 1-2-6 (win-draw-lose).

Juárez's previous game was their home loss versus Tigres UANL (2-3). The attacker Fierro got a match rating of 7.33 in that game. Fierro served one assist and hit one key pass.

A 0-0 draw was the result before that, hosting Santos Laguna.

We have checked recent matches where Juárez have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those twelve games were one victory, one draw and ten defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Leon in just three days.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Juárez as they have only managed to score 5 times from 9 away games in the league. Juárez struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 15 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

Juárez - Puebla 0-2 was the score in these contenders' latest head to head game, earlier this season. Last six meetings between these squads: Puebla won three, Juárez triumphed in two and we saw one draw. three games with over 2,5 goals, three matches with less than 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

PueblaG. Martínez Ayala
G. Martínez Ayala
5 goals
JuárezD. Rolan Silva
D. Rolan Silva
4 goals

Puebla missing players

Juárez missing players

Puebla Juárez
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
27 15 4 Played P 4 11 23
12 6 3 Won W 1 2 6
9 6 0 Drew D 1 2 5
6 3 1 Lost L 2 7 12
33 19 7 Scored S 3 6 20
26 15 3 Conceded C 4 16 33
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 91%
78% 73% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 25% 55% 65%
22% 33% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 27% 43%
15% 20% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 18% 26%
4% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 4%
48% 60% 50% BTTS BTTS 25% 27% 48%
33% 27% 50% Clean Sheets C S 25% 18% 22%
19% 13% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 55% 39%
 
4.5 5.1 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.3 3.2
5.6 4.8 2.8 Corners against (avg) C A 5.8 5.3 5.3
2.3 2.1 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2 2.1
6 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
13.4 14.5 16.2 Shots (avg) S ( 10.5 9.6 9.7
4.3 4.9 5.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.5 2.7
28% 26% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 30% 22% 32%
 
13 10.8 8.2 Shots against (avg) S A 14.8 14.5 13.4
4 2.9 2.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.5 4.5 4.3
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Juárez have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Juárez have the fewest scored goals in the second half (8) in Liga MX
  • Juárez have the the worst goal difference (-10) away in Liga MX
  • Juárez haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Puebla have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Puebla have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Juárez have scored away.
  • Puebla have the fewest matches over the total-line (2) in Liga MX
  • Puebla haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Puebla is in the best form (5-1-0) in Liga MX

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 América 17 10 5 2 21 10 9 7 2 0 13 2 8 3 3 2 8 8 11 35
2 Atlas 17 8 5 4 21 10 9 4 2 3 8 5 8 4 3 1 13 5 11 29
3 Leon 17 8 5 4 20 14 8 3 3 2 11 6 9 5 2 2 9 8 6 29
4 Tigres UANL 17 7 7 3 26 14 9 4 5 0 15 5 8 3 2 3 11 9 12 28
5 Santos Laguna 17 5 9 3 23 16 9 2 6 1 9 7 8 3 3 2 14 9 7 24
6 Toluca 17 6 6 5 22 22 8 3 4 1 13 9 9 3 2 4 9 13 0 24
7 Puebla 17 6 6 5 16 16 9 3 3 3 9 9 8 3 3 2 7 7 0 24
8 Cruz Azul 17 5 8 4 21 17 8 3 3 2 11 7 9 2 5 2 10 10 4 23
9 Monterrey 17 5 7 5 19 16 8 4 2 2 10 4 9 1 5 3 9 12 3 22
10 Guadalajara 17 5 7 5 13 13 8 3 2 3 9 10 9 2 5 2 4 3 0 22
11 Pumas UNAM 17 5 6 6 17 23 9 4 3 2 11 10 8 1 3 4 6 13 -6 21
12 Atletico San Luis 17 4 8 5 19 23 8 1 3 4 8 15 9 3 5 1 11 8 -4 20
13 Mazatlan 17 5 5 7 18 24 9 4 3 2 13 12 8 1 2 5 5 12 -6 20
14 Necaxa 17 6 2 9 16 22 8 4 0 4 10 10 9 2 2 5 6 12 -6 20
15 Pachuca 17 4 6 7 19 21 9 2 5 2 10 7 8 2 1 5 9 14 -2 18
16 Juárez 17 4 4 9 14 25 8 3 2 3 9 10 9 1 2 6 5 15 -11 16
17 Querétaro 17 3 6 8 11 19 8 3 2 3 8 7 9 0 4 5 3 12 -8 15
18 Tijuana 17 3 6 8 16 27 9 2 4 3 9 11 8 1 2 5 7 16 -11 15

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.