Necaxa vs Toluca betting preview

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sat 31.October
Match begins: 01:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes (25500 seats)

There's been ups and downs for these two teams so far this season, occupying positions near the middle of the Liga MX table so far. Here's the Necaxa - Toluca latest:

Necaxa and Toluca should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Necaxa form and stats

Overall Liga MX stats at home this season for Necaxa are 3-1-4 (wins-draw-losses).

Necaxa are confident in defense, having played 285 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

A strong away win for Necaxa against Querétaro the last match, as Alex Zendejas were on target. Before that, Necaxa had a home game versus Tijuana which ended with a victory 2-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Necaxa have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found nine games) they have won four times, drawn four and lost one.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Necaxa here at Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (7 from 8 games). Necaxa's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 10 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Toluca form and stats

There's been little loot from Toluca's travels as they have only collected 5 points from 8 away games in the Liga MX. Toluca only have 1 win to counter their 5 defeats and 2 draws.

Impressive finishing from Rubens Sambueza and Jonathan Maidana secured the home win 2-0 against Tijuana in their previous game. Preceding that game, the 0-1 loss visiting Pumas UNAM's place.

We have checked recent matches where Toluca have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those nine games were one victory, three draws and five defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Toluca as they have only managed to score 7 times from 8 away games in the league. Toluca have conceded 16 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Last ten meetings between the teams: Necaxa won four, Toluca won two and four draws. four games with over 2,5 goals, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

TolucaA. Canelo
A. Canelo
5 goals
NecaxaI. González Nieto
I. González Nieto
3 goals
TolucaM. Estrada Martínez
M. Estrada Martínez
3 goals

Necaxa missing players

Toluca missing players

Necaxa Toluca
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
15 8 2 Played P 1 8 15
5 3 1 Won W 0 1 6
3 1 0 Drew D 1 2 2
7 4 1 Lost L 0 5 7
12 7 3 Scored S 0 7 19
18 10 3 Conceded C 0 16 23
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 88% 93%
67% 75% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 75% 73%
33% 38% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 62% 53%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 38% 33%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 25% 27%
40% 38% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 75% 60%
27% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 12% 27%
33% 38% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 25% 20%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.5 2.6 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.5 2.3
3 2 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
160 96 27 Total Shots T S 8 92 176
50 29 9 Shots on Target S O 3 31 58
24% 24% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 23% 33%
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Necaxa have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Necaxa haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Toluca have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Toluca have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leon 15 11 3 1 23 11 7 6 1 0 13 6 8 5 2 1 10 5 12 36
2 Cruz Azul 15 9 2 4 22 13 7 5 1 1 11 4 8 4 1 3 11 9 9 29
3 America 15 8 4 3 27 20 8 5 2 1 16 8 7 3 2 2 11 12 7 28
4 Tigres UANL 15 7 6 2 25 12 8 4 3 1 14 7 7 3 3 1 11 5 13 27
5 Pumas UNAM 14 7 6 1 24 13 8 5 3 0 17 6 6 2 3 1 7 7 11 27
6 Monterrey 15 7 5 3 24 18 7 3 3 1 12 9 8 4 2 2 12 9 6 26
7 Santos Laguna 15 6 4 5 19 18 7 4 2 1 10 5 8 2 2 4 9 13 1 22
8 Guadalajara 15 6 4 5 15 14 8 3 3 2 8 8 7 3 1 3 7 6 1 22
9 Pachuca 14 5 6 3 15 12 7 3 2 2 10 8 7 2 4 1 5 4 3 21
10 Toluca 15 6 2 7 19 23 7 5 0 2 12 7 8 1 2 5 7 16 -4 20
11 Necaxa 15 5 3 7 12 18 8 3 1 4 7 10 7 2 2 3 5 8 -6 18
12 Juárez 15 3 6 6 14 18 7 2 3 2 4 5 8 1 3 4 10 13 -4 15
13 Puebla 15 4 2 9 20 25 7 1 2 4 11 13 8 3 0 5 9 12 -5 14
14 Tijuana 15 4 2 9 10 23 8 4 2 2 9 7 7 0 0 7 1 16 -13 14
15 Atlas 15 3 4 8 12 18 7 2 1 4 5 7 8 1 3 4 7 11 -6 13
16 Mazatlan 15 3 4 8 19 27 8 3 2 3 11 13 7 0 2 5 8 14 -8 13
17 Querétaro 15 3 3 9 21 25 7 3 1 3 13 9 8 0 2 6 8 16 -4 12
18 Atletico San Luis 15 3 2 10 16 29 8 2 2 4 9 13 7 1 0 6 7 16 -13 11

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.