Necaxa vs Toluca match preview: Even contest expected at Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sat 05.March
Match begins: 01:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes (25500 seats)

Preview: 4 points split the sides so far this season, Toluca the sharpest side. Will Necaxa pull off a surprise?

Insights:
  • Necaxa have the fewest scored goals in the first half (5) in Liga MX
  • Toluca have the fewest clean sheets (4) in Liga MX

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Necaxa and Toluca.

D L D W L

Necaxa form and stats

4-0-4 (win-draw-lost) are the Liga MX numbers at home for Necaxa so far this season. With Necaxa having lost three times in a row here, the pressure is increasing on the manager Espin.

Stress levels are on the rise for Necaxa's attacking players as they have now played 201 minutes without scoring in a league game. Garcia was their last goal scorer.

Necaxa shared the glory with Mazatlan in their last match, an away game that ended all square 0-0. Malagón, who guards the goal, was given a match rating of 7.24 out of 10 in that game. Malagón topped it up with a clean sheet.

Ahead of that match, Necaxa lost 0-1 at home to León.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Necaxa have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found seven matches with the results: Won three, drawn two and lost two.

The Necaxa fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 10 in 8 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. On the other hand, Necaxa have conceded 10 goals. It's worth mentioning that 8 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches. When Necaxa hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Mazatlan, Tijuana, Pachuca, Queretaro and Juárez), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 2 of 3 times.

L D L W W

Toluca form and stats

The visitors are W3-D2-L4 on the road this term. That's in the Liga MX.

The manager Espinoza was unhappy after their last game, played at their home ground Estadio Nemesio Díez. Toluca suffered a 1-2 loss to Tijuana. Baeza got a match rating of 7.14 in that game, top player of the team. Baeza hit one key pass and had 76 successful passes (of 85 total).

Before that, Toluca travelled to Queretaro and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found ten similar matches played by Toluca in our archives, and the results are: three wins for Toluca, two draws and five defeats.

13 goals have been conceded by Toluca in these games.

Head 2 Head

The duelists have met previously this season: Toluca - Necaxa 1-1. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: three - five - two (Necaxa wins - draws - Toluca wins). As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

TolucaA. Canelo
A. Canelo
5 goals
NecaxaR. Aguirre Soto
R. Aguirre Soto
4 goals
NecaxaL. García Bañuelos
L. García Bañuelos
4 goals

Necaxa missing players

Toluca missing players

Necaxa Toluca
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
25 11 3 Played P 5 13 25
8 4 0 Won W 4 5 9
4 0 0 Drew D 1 3 7
13 7 3 Lost L 0 5 9
25 11 0 Scored S 10 13 32
35 18 7 Conceded C 4 20 38
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 92%
72% 73% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 77% 84%
60% 73% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 46% 60%
12% 18% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 31% 36%
4% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 8%
40% 27% 0% BTTS BTTS 80% 38% 64%
28% 27% 0% Clean Sheets C S 20% 23% 16%
40% 45% 100% Failed to Score F T 0% 46% 28%
 
5.3 5.6 7 Corners for (avg) C F 4.4 3.5 4
4.2 4.4 6.3 Corners against (avg) C A 5.8 5.8 5.2
2 1.4 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.6 2.4 2.6
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 2 4
 
14.7 15.8 17 Shots (avg) S ( 14 12 12.6
4.9 5.3 4.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.2 4.1 3.8
20% 19% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 25% 34%
 
11.8 11.9 11 Shots against (avg) S A 11.4 15 14.2
3.8 4.2 4.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.2 4.8 4.8
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Necaxa have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Necaxa have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Liga MX
  • Necaxa have the fewest scored goals in the first half (5) in Liga MX
  • Necaxa haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Toluca have the fewest clean sheets (4) in Liga MX
  • Toluca have the most conceded goals in the first half (22) in Liga MX
  • Toluca have the most points from losing position (18) in Liga MX

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 America 17 10 5 2 21 10 9 7 2 0 13 2 8 3 3 2 8 8 11 35
2 Atlas 17 8 5 4 21 10 9 4 2 3 8 5 8 4 3 1 13 5 11 29
3 León 17 8 5 4 20 14 8 3 3 2 11 6 9 5 2 2 9 8 6 29
4 Tigres UANL 17 7 7 3 26 14 9 4 5 0 15 5 8 3 2 3 11 9 12 28
5 Santos Laguna 17 5 9 3 23 16 9 2 6 1 9 7 8 3 3 2 14 9 7 24
6 Toluca 17 6 6 5 22 22 8 3 4 1 13 9 9 3 2 4 9 13 0 24
7 Puebla 17 6 6 5 16 16 9 3 3 3 9 9 8 3 3 2 7 7 0 24
8 Cruz Azul 17 5 8 4 21 17 8 3 3 2 11 7 9 2 5 2 10 10 4 23
9 Monterrey 17 5 7 5 19 16 8 4 2 2 10 4 9 1 5 3 9 12 3 22
10 Guadalajara 17 5 7 5 13 13 8 3 2 3 9 10 9 2 5 2 4 3 0 22
11 Pumas UNAM 17 5 6 6 17 23 9 4 3 2 11 10 8 1 3 4 6 13 -6 21
12 Atletico San Luis 17 4 8 5 19 23 8 1 3 4 8 15 9 3 5 1 11 8 -4 20
13 Mazatlan 17 5 5 7 18 24 9 4 3 2 13 12 8 1 2 5 5 12 -6 20
14 Necaxa 17 6 2 9 16 22 8 4 0 4 10 10 9 2 2 5 6 12 -6 20
15 Pachuca 17 4 6 7 19 21 9 2 5 2 10 7 8 2 1 5 9 14 -2 18
16 Juárez 17 4 4 9 14 25 8 3 2 3 9 10 9 1 2 6 5 15 -11 16
17 Queretaro 17 3 6 8 11 19 8 3 2 3 8 7 9 0 4 5 3 12 -8 15
18 Tijuana 17 3 6 8 16 27 9 2 4 3 9 11 8 1 2 5 7 16 -11 15

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.