Liga MX prediction and preview: Morelia modest favorites to beat Juarez

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Date: Fri 01.November
Match begins: 02:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Jose Maria Morelos y Pavon (35000 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Morelia are in the 9th position while the guests worry at 17th.

Juárez could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Liga MX game only four sleeps ago.

It's quite the trip for Juárez when visiting Morelia as the cities are 1600 kilometers apart.

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Morelia form and stats

3-1-3 (win-draw-lost) are the Liga MX numbers at home for Morelia so far this season.

The home supporters saw a 2-2 draw versus Santos Laguna in the Liga MX last time out and are looking for a win here. In the preceding match a 3-2 victory visiting Cruz Azul.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Morelia have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won 5 times, drawn 1 and lost 1.

The manager P. Guede will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to León in only three days.

Morelia has scored 8 league goals at home this season, in 7 matches. Morelia's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 7 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Juárez form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Juárez so far with only 4 points returning home. The records show 1-1-5 (win-draw-lose).

Juárez failed to get anything from their last game, a Liga MX home match vs Guadalajara (placed 16th) that ended with defeat 1-2. Before that one, a nice away victory 1-0 at Pachuca.

Juárez goalkeeper Iván Vázquez had a great day against Guadalajara, but despite making 7 saves the loss could not be avoided.

Juárez are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats. From a total of eight matches.

A quick return to home after this game, as Juárez are hosting Tijuana in the Liga MX only three days away.

Goals are few and far between in Juárez's away league games. Only 3 goals from 7 travels. Juárez have conceded 11 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Top Goalscorers

JuárezD. Lezcano
D. Lezcano
5 goals
MoreliaÉ. Flores
É. Flores
3 goals
MoreliaF. Aristeguieta
F. Aristeguieta
3 goals

Morelia missing players

Juárez missing players

Morelia Juárez
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
14 7 2 Played P 2 7 14
6 3 2 Won W 1 1 4
2 1 0 Drew D 0 1 2
6 3 0 Lost L 1 5 8
20 8 2 Scored S 1 3 11
19 7 0 Conceded C 1 11 18
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 86% 93%
64% 43% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 57% 71%
43% 29% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 43% 36%
36% 29% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 7%
29% 14% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 29% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 29% 36%
29% 43% 100% Clean Sheets C S 50% 29% 36%
21% 29% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 57% 36%
 
3.4 4.4 5 Corners For (avg) C F 5 3.6 4.3
6.1 6.7 7 Corners Against (avg) C A 7 6.9 5.6
2.6 2.9 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 4 2.9 2.3
3 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 3
Key stats this season:
  • Juárez have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Juárez have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Morelia have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Juárez have scored away.
  • Morelia have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Morelia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Morelia
All Liga MX Copa MX Club Friendlies
All Home Away Home vs low
21-09-19 LM Morelia 1 - 0 Guadalajara
26-09-19 LM Tijuana 3 - 2 Morelia
02-10-19 CM Puebla 0 - 1 Morelia
05-10-19 LM Morelia 2 - 3 Necaxa
20-10-19 LM Cruz Azul 2 - 3 Morelia
26-10-19 LM Morelia 2 - 2 Santos Laguna
01-11-19 LM Morelia 02:00 Juárez
04-11-19 LM León 03:00 Morelia
09-11-19 LM Morelia 02:00 Puebla
24-11-19 LM Queretaro - Morelia
Juárez
All Liga Ascenso Liga MX Copa MX
All Home Away Away vs mid
26-09-19 LM Juárez 1 - 1 América
29-09-19 LM Necaxa 0 - 0 Juárez
03-10-19 CM Juárez 1 - 0 Atlante
07-10-19 LM Juárez 1 - 2 Atlético San Luis
20-10-19 LM Pachuca 0 - 1 Juárez
28-10-19 LM Juárez 1 - 2 Guadalajara
01-11-19 LM Morelia 02:00 Juárez
04-11-19 LM Juárez 02:00 Tijuana
10-11-19 LM Pumas UNAM 19:00 Juárez
25-11-19 LM Juárez 02:00 Tigres UANL

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Santos Laguna 15 9 3 3 33 21 8 7 1 0 24 5 7 2 2 3 9 16 12 30
2 Necaxa 15 8 4 3 30 18 8 3 4 1 18 9 7 5 0 2 12 9 12 28
3 América 16 7 7 2 26 20 8 5 3 0 18 8 8 2 4 2 8 12 6 28
4 Queretaro 15 8 3 4 26 15 7 4 1 2 12 9 8 4 2 2 14 6 11 27
5 Tigres UANL 15 7 6 2 24 13 8 4 3 1 15 7 7 3 3 1 9 6 11 27
6 León 14 7 5 2 31 20 7 3 4 0 14 10 7 4 1 2 17 10 11 26
7 Tijuana 15 7 3 5 25 27 7 4 3 0 13 8 8 3 0 5 12 19 -2 24
8 Pumas UNAM 15 6 3 6 19 16 8 5 1 2 15 6 7 1 2 4 4 10 3 21
9 Atlas 16 6 3 7 18 22 8 3 1 4 9 9 8 3 2 3 9 13 -4 21
10 Morelia 14 6 2 6 20 19 7 3 1 3 8 7 7 3 1 3 12 12 1 20
11 Monterrey 15 6 2 7 20 22 7 4 1 2 11 9 8 2 1 5 9 13 -2 20
12 Pachuca 15 5 3 7 28 25 8 3 0 5 13 13 7 2 3 2 15 12 3 18
13 Cruz Azul 15 3 8 4 20 20 7 2 4 1 13 9 8 1 4 3 7 11 0 17
14 Atlético San Luis 15 5 2 8 19 25 8 1 2 5 7 13 7 4 0 3 12 12 -6 17
15 Toluca 15 4 4 7 13 17 7 3 1 3 8 7 8 1 3 4 5 10 -4 16
16 Guadalajara 15 4 4 7 19 24 7 3 1 3 10 8 8 1 3 4 9 16 -5 16
17 Juárez 14 4 2 8 11 18 7 3 1 3 8 7 7 1 1 5 3 11 -7 14
18 Puebla 15 3 4 8 14 27 7 2 1 4 7 14 8 1 3 4 7 13 -13 13
19 Veracruz 15 1 4 10 9 36 8 1 3 4 8 16 7 0 1 6 1 20 -27 7

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