Soccer betting preview: Venados welcomes Tepatitlán de Morelos in what could be a tight duel

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Competition: Mexico Liga de Expansión MX
Competition: Thu 24.March
Match begins: 01:05 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero (21050 seats)

Venados have won 23 points running out as the home team. Tepatitlán de Morelos have claimed 19 points playing the role of visitors. Should we expect a home win?

Insights:
  • Venados have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Venados and Tepatitlán de Morelos should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Venados form and stats

Venados have played 9 Liga de Expansión MX games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-2-3 (wins-draws-losses). Hopes of three in a row are alive for Venados after consecutive victories at their own ground.

The Venados goalkeeper Rafael de Jesus Ramirez Miranda is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 180 minutes without conceding a goal in the Liga de Expansión MX.

Venados shared the glory with Mineros de Zacatecas in their last match, an away game that ended all square 0-0.

Before that, Venados had a home game versus Cancun which ended with a victory 1-0.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Venados have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 18 matches with the results: Won eight, drawn six and lost four.

There will be little rest for Venados after this match as they are travelling to Cimarrones de Sonora for a Liga de Expansión MX game in only three days.

Venados are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 12 goals in 9 games. Venados have only conceded 7 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Tepatitlán de Morelos form and stats

Tepatitlán de Morelos have only collected 7 points from their away games in the Liga de Expansión MX, after 1-4-3 (8 played). Bitter travels for Tepatitlán de Morelos as they have lost four games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Celaya match.

The fans enjoyed Tepatitlán's previous fixture versus Pumas Tabasco, a 1-0 win played at home.

Preceding that game, the 1-2 loss visiting Universidad Guadalajara's place.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Tepatitlán de Morelos playing away and similar expectations, we found twelve relevant matches. Results were two Tepatitlán de Morelos wins, four draws and six defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Atlante in just three days.

The attacking power of Tepatitlán de Morelos when travelling is not overwhelming with 7 goals scored from 8 league matches away. Tepatitlán have conceded 9 goals in these away matches. It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have played earlier this season: Tepatitlán de Morelos - Venados 2-0. Previous three meetings involving these sides: Venados won one, Tepatitlán de Morelos were winners in two and we saw zero draws. zero games with over 2,5 goals, three matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

Tepatitlán de MorelosJ. Angulo Ortíz
J. Angulo Ortíz
9 goals
VenadosÁ. López Sandoval
Á. López Sandoval
8 goals
Tepatitlán de MorelosV. Mañón Barrón
V. Mañón Barrón
8 goals

Venados missing players

Tepatitlán de Morelos missing players

Venados Tepatitlán de Morelos
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
30 15 5 Played P 4 15 30
11 7 3 Won W 0 2 8
8 4 2 Drew D 0 5 9
11 4 0 Lost L 4 8 13
31 20 7 Scored S 3 12 29
33 14 2 Conceded C 8 19 35
93% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 87% 93%
60% 67% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 53% 63%
40% 40% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 40% 37%
13% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 20% 13%
3% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 7%
40% 47% 40% BTTS BTTS 75% 53% 53%
30% 33% 60% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 23%
37% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 40% 30%
 
4.2 5.7 4.2 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 4.2 5.3
5.6 5.2 7.2 Corners against (avg) C A 3.2 4.2 4
2.6 2.4 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 2.9 3
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 3
 
9.3 10.8 7.4 Shots (avg) S ( 8.8 8.3 9.1
3.5 4.6 3.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 3.3 3.6
30% 29% 41% Goal Efficiency G E 23% 24% 27%
 
10.2 8 7.4 Shots against (avg) S A 8.8 8.2 7.2
4.2 3.6 2.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.8 3.5 3.4
Key stats in Liga de Expansión MX this season:
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Venados have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Venados haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dorados 16 11 4 1 34 13 9 7 1 1 21 8 7 4 3 0 13 5 21 41
2 Atlante 16 9 4 3 22 9 8 6 1 1 12 4 8 3 3 2 10 5 13 33
3 Morelia 16 8 4 4 22 18 9 4 3 2 13 12 7 4 1 2 9 6 4 32
4 Celaya 16 7 4 5 20 16 7 4 2 1 11 5 9 3 2 4 9 11 4 28
5 Pumas Tabasco 16 5 8 3 16 15 7 0 5 2 3 7 9 5 3 1 13 8 1 28
6 Universidad Guadalajara 16 7 4 5 21 18 7 4 2 1 11 6 9 3 2 4 10 12 3 27
7 Tampico Madero 16 4 10 2 23 18 9 2 5 2 14 13 7 2 5 0 9 5 5 24
8 Cimarrones de Sonora 16 6 3 7 22 22 7 3 1 3 9 7 9 3 2 4 13 15 0 24
9 Venados 16 6 3 7 17 19 9 4 2 3 12 7 7 2 1 4 5 12 -2 23
10 Mineros de Zacatecas 16 6 1 9 24 28 8 3 0 5 11 14 8 3 1 4 13 14 -4 21
11 Correcaminos UAT 16 5 4 7 19 27 8 3 3 2 11 11 8 2 1 5 8 16 -8 20
12 Tepatitlán de Morelos 16 4 6 6 17 20 8 3 2 3 10 11 8 1 4 3 7 9 -3 19
13 Tlaxcala 16 4 6 6 15 20 8 2 5 1 8 6 8 2 1 5 7 14 -5 19
14 Raya2 16 4 5 7 16 18 9 3 2 4 9 7 7 1 3 3 7 11 -2 18
15 Zacatepec FC 16 3 7 6 14 17 8 2 3 3 8 9 8 1 4 3 6 8 -3 16
16 Tapatio 16 3 5 8 11 27 7 1 2 4 6 14 9 2 3 4 5 13 -16 16
17 Cancun 16 3 4 9 14 22 8 1 2 5 7 10 8 2 2 4 7 12 -8 15

Read more about Liga de Expansión MX

The Ascenso MX, or Liga Ascenso, is the second level of the football league pyramid in Mexico. It has 15 teams competing in two league tournaments per year, the Apertura (opening) and the Clausura (closing). Only one team is promoted to the top league in Mexico, the Liga MX.