Betting preview: Tapatío vs Venados should be interesting

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Competition: Mexico Liga de Expansión MX
Competition: Fri 30.September
Match begins: 00:05 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio AKRON (45000 seats)

Liga de Expansión MX: Two contenders in decent form get together for this match. Venados could have a slight upper hand with their 6th position in the league table?

Insights:
  • Tapatío have the fewest matches over the total-line (4) in Liga de Expansión MX
  • Venados have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

There has not been much time to rest for the guests, as they played a Liga de Expansión MX game only four days ago.

L W D D L

Tapatío form and stats

Tapatío are steadily winning Liga de Expansión MX games and points here at Estadio AKRON. 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat is the summary from 7 games.

No payout for Tapatío in their previous match, an away game at Tepatitlan de Morelos that ended in defeat 2-3. The first loss after going unbeaten in three league matches. A disaster for the home team in their last match (vs Tepatitlan de Morelos) as a comfortable lead 2-0 was completely ruined into a loss 2-3.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Correcaminos UAT in a game that was won 2-0.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Tapatío have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 16 matches with the results: Won 8, drawn 5 and lost 3.

Low-scoring affair? Looking at this club's last 11 league games, 9 have produced two goals or less.

Tapatío are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 10 goals in 7 games. Tapatío are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio AKRON in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 5 from 7 matches.

W L W L W

Venados form and stats

3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. That’s the product of Venados playing as the away team in the Liga de Expansión MX this season.

The regulars enjoyed Venados's previous game versus CA La Paz (placed 17th), a 3-0 win played at home.

Prior to that match, the Venados manager Ghelfi faced defeat when travelling to Atlante and losing 0-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Venados playing away and similar expectations, we found 17 relevant matches. Results were 7 Venados wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats.

Venados have conceded 9 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Previous four meetings with these teams: Tapatío won one, Venados triumphed in one and we saw two draws. one game with more than 2,5 goals, three matches with less than 2,5 goals. The matches between these teams have sometimes been ill-tempered, having seen 2 red cards from the last four encounters.

Top Goalscorers

VenadosM. Pérez Guadarrama
M. Pérez Guadarrama
5 goals
TapatíoS. Pérez Bouquet Pérez
S. Pérez Bouquet Pérez
4 goals
VenadosS. Lora Hernández
S. Lora Hernández
4 goals

Tapatío missing players

Venados missing players

Tapatío Venados
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
13 7 2 Played P 2 7 14
5 4 1 Won W 1 3 6
3 2 0 Drew D 1 2 3
5 1 1 Lost L 0 2 5
17 10 2 Scored S 2 7 17
19 5 2 Conceded C 1 9 18
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 86% 93%
85% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 71% 79%
31% 14% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 57% 50%
31% 14% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 21%
15% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 7%
46% 43% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 57% 50%
23% 43% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 14% 21%
31% 14% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 43% 36%
 
5.6 7.6 9 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 2.7 4.1
5.2 4.9 4 Corners against (avg) C A 5.5 6 5.9
2.5 1.9 3.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 3.3 3
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 3 4
 
9.3 10.4 13 Shots (avg) S ( 7 6.3 7.1
3.7 3.7 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.6 2.6
35% 38% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 39% 47%
 
7.2 5 5.5 Shots against (avg) S A 2.5 8.9 7.8
3.4 2.6 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 1.5 4.3 3.2
Key stats in Liga de Expansión MX this season:
  • Tapatío have the fewest matches over the total-line (4) in Liga de Expansión MX
  • Tapatío have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Tapatío haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Venados have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Venados have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Venados have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Celaya 15 11 2 2 26 10 7 7 0 0 14 3 8 4 2 2 12 7 16 35
2 Atlante 16 8 7 1 30 13 7 5 2 0 13 3 9 3 5 1 17 10 17 31
3 Universidad Guadalajara 15 8 4 3 25 11 7 4 3 0 15 4 8 4 1 3 10 7 14 28
4 Cimarrones de Sonora 15 7 5 3 26 15 7 5 2 0 17 3 8 2 3 3 9 12 11 26
5 Morelia 14 7 3 4 20 13 7 5 2 0 13 4 7 2 1 4 7 9 7 24
6 Venados 14 6 3 5 17 18 7 3 1 3 10 9 7 3 2 2 7 9 -1 21
7 Alebrijes 14 4 8 2 20 11 8 3 4 1 17 8 6 1 4 1 3 3 9 20
8 Dorados 14 6 2 6 17 19 7 3 1 3 10 9 7 3 1 3 7 10 -2 20
9 Mineros de Zacatecas 15 5 5 5 22 25 8 3 3 2 12 12 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 20
10 Tlaxcala 16 5 4 7 14 23 8 4 1 3 8 10 8 1 3 4 6 13 -9 19
11 Tapatío 13 5 3 5 17 19 7 4 2 1 10 5 6 1 1 4 7 14 -2 18
12 Tepatitlan de Morelos 14 4 5 5 19 19 8 4 2 2 15 10 6 0 3 3 4 9 0 17
13 Durango 15 3 7 5 17 25 7 3 4 0 10 4 8 0 3 5 7 21 -8 16
14 Raya2 15 3 5 7 13 20 7 1 2 4 5 10 8 2 3 3 8 10 -7 14
15 Cancun 15 3 5 7 7 16 8 2 2 4 5 9 7 1 3 3 2 7 -9 14
16 Correcaminos UAT 15 3 4 8 12 20 8 2 3 3 8 10 7 1 1 5 4 10 -8 13
17 CA La Paz 14 2 5 7 15 25 6 2 4 0 12 6 8 0 1 7 3 19 -10 11
18 Pumas Tabasco 15 2 3 10 12 27 8 2 2 4 6 10 7 0 1 6 6 17 -15 9

Read more about Liga de Expansión MX

The Ascenso MX, or Liga Ascenso, is the second level of the football league pyramid in Mexico. It has 15 teams competing in two league tournaments per year, the Apertura (opening) and the Clausura (closing). Only one team is promoted to the top league in Mexico, the Liga MX.