Liga de Expansión MX match prediction: Little separates Durango and Morelia in quality

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Competition: Mexico Liga de Expansión MX
Competition: Wed 05.October
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Francisco Zarco (18000 seats)

Durango have not been spoiled with points this season. Can the team get a victory when Morelia come to visit Estadio Francisco Zarco?

Insights:
  • Durango have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Morelia haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Durango and Morelia should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

D D L W L

Durango form and stats

When playing at home in the Liga de Expansión MX, Durango have managed 3 wins, 4 draws and suffered 0 defeats from 7 games.

The home team returns to Estadio Francisco Zarco after drawing with Cancun (placed 16th) on their last time out; the game ended 0-0.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 1-1 versus Celaya.

This is expected to be a close game, with Durango perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Durango as a small favourite), we find 5 games. Durango has won 3 of these, drawn 2 and lost 0.

The Durango fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 10 in 7 matches. From these home matches, Durango have conceded only 4 goals.

D D D W L

Morelia form and stats

There's been little loot from Morelia's travels as they have only collected 7 points from 7 away games in the Liga de Expansión MX. Morelia only have 2 wins to counter their 4 defeats and 1 draw. Morelia have had a generous will to share for some time now, running a streak of three draws in a row.

There were no winners in Morelia's previous match, the home game that ended 1-1 vs Tepatitlan de Morelos (placed 12th).

A 2-2 draw at Mineros de Zacatecas's stadium before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Morelia playing away and similar expectations, we found 14 relevant matches. Results were 5 Morelia wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats.

Morelia have conceded 9 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Top Goalscorers

MoreliaB. Mendoza Cruz
B. Mendoza Cruz
5 goals
DurangoJ. Jiménez Ulloa
J. Jiménez Ulloa
4 goals
MoreliaÁ. Robles Guerrero
Á. Robles Guerrero
4 goals

Durango missing players

Morelia missing players

Durango Morelia
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
15 7 4 Played P 1 7 15
3 3 1 Won W 0 2 7
7 4 3 Drew D 0 1 4
5 0 0 Lost L 1 4 4
17 10 4 Scored S 0 7 21
25 4 3 Conceded C 1 9 14
80% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 93%
73% 71% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 71% 73%
53% 29% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 29% 33%
40% 14% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 29% 20%
13% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 7%
53% 57% 75% BTTS BTTS 0% 29% 40%
33% 43% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 14% 33%
33% 14% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 57% 33%
 
5.6 4 3.5 Corners for (avg) C F 5 5.4 6
4.1 4.1 3.2 Corners against (avg) C A 2 5.9 5.3
3 3.3 3.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3.1 3.3
4 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
5.9 5 4.2 Shots (avg) S ( 5 7.4 8.7
2.5 2.7 2.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.4 3.5
45% 53% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 41% 40%
 
5.3 3.4 2.5 Shots against (avg) S A 4 11.6 7.9
2.8 1.4 1.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 1 4.3 2.6
Key stats in Liga de Expansión MX this season:
  • Durango have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Durango have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Durango have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Morelia haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Celaya 16 12 2 2 28 10 7 7 0 0 14 3 9 5 2 2 14 7 18 38
2 Atlante 16 8 7 1 30 13 7 5 2 0 13 3 9 3 5 1 17 10 17 31
3 Universidad Guadalajara 16 8 4 4 25 13 8 4 3 1 15 6 8 4 1 3 10 7 12 28
4 Cimarrones de Sonora 15 7 5 3 26 15 7 5 2 0 17 3 8 2 3 3 9 12 11 26
5 Morelia 15 7 4 4 21 14 8 5 3 0 14 5 7 2 1 4 7 9 7 25
6 Venados 16 7 3 6 20 19 8 4 1 3 13 9 8 3 2 3 7 10 1 24
7 Dorados 15 7 2 6 20 19 7 3 1 3 10 9 8 4 1 3 10 10 1 23
8 Tapatio 14 6 3 5 18 19 8 5 2 1 11 5 6 1 1 4 7 14 -1 21
9 Zacatepec FC 15 4 8 3 21 13 8 3 4 1 17 8 7 1 4 2 4 5 8 20
10 Mineros de Zacatecas 15 5 5 5 22 25 8 3 3 2 12 12 7 2 2 3 10 13 -3 20
11 Tlaxcala 17 5 4 8 14 26 8 4 1 3 8 10 9 1 3 5 6 16 -12 19
12 Tepatitlan de Morelos 15 4 6 5 20 20 8 4 2 2 15 10 7 0 4 3 5 10 0 18
13 Durango 15 3 7 5 17 25 7 3 4 0 10 4 8 0 3 5 7 21 -8 16
14 Raya2 15 3 5 7 13 20 7 1 2 4 5 10 8 2 3 3 8 10 -7 14
15 CA La Paz 15 3 5 7 17 26 7 3 4 0 14 7 8 0 1 7 3 19 -9 14
16 Cancun 15 3 5 7 7 16 8 2 2 4 5 9 7 1 3 3 2 7 -9 14
17 Correcaminos UAT 15 3 4 8 12 20 8 2 3 3 8 10 7 1 1 5 4 10 -8 13
18 Pumas Tabasco 16 2 3 11 12 30 9 2 2 5 6 13 7 0 1 6 6 17 -18 9

Read more about Liga de Expansión MX

The Ascenso MX, or Liga Ascenso, is the second level of the football league pyramid in Mexico. It has 15 teams competing in two league tournaments per year, the Apertura (opening) and the Clausura (closing). Only one team is promoted to the top league in Mexico, the Liga MX.