Liga de Expansión MX match prediction: Little separates Cancún and Morelia in quality

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Competition: Mexico Liga de Expansión MX
Competition: Thu 14.October
Match begins: 00:05 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo (20000 seats)

It's been six days since Cancún fought Tapatio and the result was 1-1. Can they get the points vs Morelia?

Insights:
  • Cancún have the fewest clean sheets (0) in Liga de Expansión MX
  • Morelia have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

The visiting Morelia played their last game only three days ago, a Liga de Expansión MX match.

D D L W L

Cancún form and stats

Cancún, who have the fewest clean sheets (0) in Liga de Expansión MX, have played 5 Liga de Expansión MX games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 1-1-3 (wins-draws-losses).

Cancún drew their last game, 1-1 away at Tapatio (placed 16th).

In the match before that, Cancún hosted Tampico Madero and drew the game 1-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Cancún perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Cancún as a small favourite), we find six games. Cancún has won one of these, drawn two and lost three.

Cancún have scored 4 league goals here from 5 matches, not a lot. Cancún's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 5 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

W L W W D

Morelia form and stats

Playing away, Morelia have won 2 games, drawn 0 and suffered 2 defeats in the Liga de Expansión MX this season.

The supporters enjoyed Morelia's previous game versus Atlante (placed 2nd), a Liga de Expansión MX 1-0 win played at home. World class coaching! That was the thoughts of manager R. Valiño when D. Abella scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 72nd minute.

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Universidad Guadalajara wasn't a success with a 1-2 loss.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Morelia playing away and similar expectations, we found eight relevant matches. Results were three Morelia wins, two draws and three defeats.

Morelia has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 6 goals from 4 games. Morelia have conceded 5 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last two matches): Cancún one win, zero draws and Morelia one victory. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), zero games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

MoreliaM. Barragán Negrete
M. Barragán Negrete
7 goals
CancúnD. Delgadillo Pulido
D. Delgadillo Pulido
3 goals
MoreliaD. Abella Calleja
D. Abella Calleja
3 goals

Cancún missing players

Morelia missing players

Cancún Morelia
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
10 5 0 Played P 1 4 10
3 1 0 Won W 0 2 6
2 1 0 Drew D 0 0 2
5 3 0 Lost L 1 2 2
9 4 0 Scored S 1 6 16
11 5 0 Conceded C 2 5 11
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
60% 40% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 70%
30% 20% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 75% 70%
10% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 30%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 40% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 50% 60%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 50% 40%
50% 60% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 0%
 
5.9 8.4 0 Corners for (avg) C F 4 5.5 6.3
5 3.6 0 Corners against (avg) C A 5 6 4.6
2.6 2.2 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 5 3 2.5
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
9.3 12.2 0 Shots (avg) S ( 11 9.5 11.9
3.8 4.6 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 4 5.1
21% 17% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 38% 31%
Key stats in Liga de Expansión MX this season:
  • Cancún have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Cancún have the fewest clean sheets (0) in Liga de Expansión MX
  • Cancún have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Cancún have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Cancún haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Morelia have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Morelia have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Morelia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dorados 10 7 3 0 21 6 6 5 1 0 14 4 4 2 2 0 7 2 15 26
2 Atlante 11 7 2 2 17 7 6 5 1 0 11 3 5 2 1 2 6 4 10 25
3 Morelia 10 6 2 2 16 11 6 4 2 0 10 6 4 2 0 2 6 5 5 22
4 Pumas Tabasco 10 4 3 3 11 11 5 0 3 2 2 6 5 4 0 1 9 5 0 19
5 Raya2 11 4 4 3 13 9 6 3 1 2 8 4 5 1 3 1 5 5 4 17
6 Celaya 10 4 2 4 10 8 4 2 1 1 5 2 6 2 1 3 5 6 2 16
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 10 4 2 4 11 13 4 2 1 1 5 3 6 2 1 3 6 10 -2 16
8 Tampico Madero 10 3 5 2 14 12 6 2 2 2 11 10 4 1 3 0 3 2 2 15
9 Universidad Guadalajara 10 3 4 3 13 12 4 2 2 0 6 2 6 1 2 3 7 10 1 14
10 Tepatitlan de Morelos 10 3 3 4 11 11 5 2 1 2 7 6 5 1 2 2 4 5 0 13
11 Cancún 10 3 2 5 9 11 5 1 1 3 4 5 5 2 1 2 5 6 -2 13
12 Venados 11 3 3 5 9 13 6 2 2 2 6 5 5 1 1 3 3 8 -4 13
13 Correcaminos UAT 11 3 3 5 12 20 5 2 2 1 6 6 6 1 1 4 6 14 -8 13
14 Tlaxcala 10 2 5 3 8 11 5 1 4 0 4 2 5 1 1 3 4 9 -3 12
15 Mineros de Zacatecas 10 3 1 6 15 19 5 2 0 3 8 9 5 1 1 3 7 10 -4 11
16 Tapatio 11 2 3 6 6 18 5 1 1 3 4 10 6 1 2 3 2 8 -12 10
17 Zacatepec FC 11 1 5 5 8 12 5 1 1 3 4 6 6 0 4 2 4 6 -4 8

Read more about Liga de Expansión MX

The Ascenso MX, or Liga Ascenso, is the second level of the football league pyramid in Mexico. It has 15 teams competing in two league tournaments per year, the Apertura (opening) and the Clausura (closing). Only one team is promoted to the top league in Mexico, the Liga MX.