Home advantage could prove decisive in Sangju Sangmu - Incheon United battle

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Competition: Korea Republic K-League 1
Competition: Sat 16.July
Match begins: 09:00 (UTC)
Venue: Gimcheon Stadium

K-League 1: Sangju Sangmu are 8 points short of Incheon United, but are set to go all in. Get ready!

Insights:
  • Sangju Sangmu have the most conceded goals in the first half (14) in K-League 1
  • Incheon United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Sangju have had a bad season and will be relegated from K-League 1. For Incheon United most of the excitement is over as they will neither be promoted or relegated this season.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Sangju Sangmu form and stats

When playing at home in the K-League 1, Sangju Sangmu have managed 4 wins, 3 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 10 games.

In their previous game, the manager Kim led his Sangju to a defeat away at Gangwon. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Gimcheon Stadium. Yeon, defender, was given a rating of 7.82/10 in that game, top of the team. Yeon hit two key passes and won 10 of 11 duels.

Before that, Sangju Sangmu had a home game versus Jeju United which ended with a victory 4-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Sangju Sangmu have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 11 games) they have won 6 times, drawn 2 and lost 3.

Sangju are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 14 goals in 10 games.

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Incheon United form and stats

As the visiting team in K-League 1 matches, Incheon United have produced an overall stat of 3-5-2 so far. It's three draws from Incheon United's last three away games, a decent catch but one that could be so much better.

Incheon United has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Jeonbuk Motors for a 2-2 draw. A comeback secured a 90 minute draw in the match against Jeonbuk Motors. Incheon United were trailing 0-2 but refused to surrender and clawed their way back to 2-2, with Kim scoring the equalizer. Kim had red hot gloves after the game against Jeonbuk Motors, shaping the outcome of the game with seven saves made. Kim (goalkeeper) was the best performer with a rating of 8.21. Kim saved a penalty.

The game before that, was lost at home, a 0-1 defeat against Suwon.

Incheon United are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 6 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats. From a total of 17 matches.

Incheon are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 12 away goals from 10 games (in the league). 12 goals have been conceded by Incheon United in these games.

Head 2 Head

The previous head to head match ended Incheon United - Sangju Sangmu 1-0, earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Sangju four wins, two draws and Incheon United four victories. As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five games had two or less. Mugoša loves to face Sangju Sangmu and have scored 7 goals in these encounters.

Top Goalscorers

Incheon UnitedS. Mugoša
S. Mugoša
14 goals
SangjuK. Cho
K. Cho
12 goals
Incheon UnitedM. Lee
M. Lee
3 goals

Sangju Sangmu missing players

Incheon United missing players

Sangju Sangmu Incheon United
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
21 10 3 Played P 3 10 21
5 4 1 Won W 1 3 7
7 3 1 Drew D 2 5 9
9 3 1 Lost L 0 2 5
27 14 2 Scored S 2 12 25
27 10 2 Conceded C 1 12 22
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 90% 95%
76% 80% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 70% 57%
43% 30% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 50% 38%
29% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 30% 29%
14% 10% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
57% 50% 33% BTTS BTTS 33% 60% 52%
24% 30% 33% Clean Sheets C S 67% 30% 29%
24% 20% 33% Failed to Score F T 33% 20% 24%
 
4.1 3.9 4 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4 4
5 4.6 4.3 Corners against (avg) C A 3.3 5.3 4.6
1.4 1.2 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 1.7 1.6
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 2 3
 
10.3 11.3 9.3 Shots (avg) S ( 9 9.1 9
4.2 4.9 3.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 4 3.8
30% 29% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 18% 30% 31%
 
11.6 11.4 10 Shots against (avg) S A 11 13 11.6
4.4 5 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 5 4.5
Key stats in K-League 1 this season:
  • Incheon United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Sangju Sangmu have the most conceded goals in the first half (14) in K-League 1
  • Sangju Sangmu haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ulsan 21 13 5 3 31 18 10 6 3 1 15 9 11 7 2 2 16 9 13 44
2 Jeonbuk Motors 21 11 6 4 26 17 10 2 5 3 9 11 11 9 1 1 17 6 9 39
3 Pohang Steelers 21 10 6 5 30 18 10 6 3 1 14 5 11 4 3 4 16 13 12 36
4 Jeju United 21 9 6 6 27 26 11 4 5 2 13 11 10 5 1 4 14 15 1 33
5 Incheon United 21 7 9 5 25 22 11 4 4 3 13 10 10 3 5 2 12 12 3 30
6 Suwon 21 8 4 9 31 32 10 5 1 4 23 21 11 3 3 5 8 11 -1 28
7 Daegu 21 5 11 5 27 25 11 5 4 2 16 9 10 0 7 3 11 16 2 26
8 Gangwon 21 6 6 9 26 32 11 5 2 4 16 14 10 1 4 5 10 18 -6 24
9 Seoul 21 5 8 8 25 26 10 3 3 4 13 12 11 2 5 4 12 14 -1 23
10 Sangju Sangmu 21 5 7 9 27 27 10 4 3 3 14 10 11 1 4 6 13 17 0 22
11 Suwon Bluewings 21 4 8 9 14 24 11 4 4 3 9 8 10 0 4 6 5 16 -10 20
12 Seongnam 21 2 6 13 16 38 11 0 4 7 7 23 10 2 2 6 9 15 -22 12

Read more about K-League 1

The K League 1 is the top level of the South Korean football league pyramid. It was founded in 1983 as the Korean Super League, later renamed K League Classic and in 2018 renamed K League 1. It currently has twelve teams playing 33 fixtures each, then enter championship and relegation rounds.