K-League 1 match prediction: Little separates Suwon Bluewings and Incheon United in quality

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Competition: Korea Republic K-League 1
Competition: Sun 03.July
Match begins: 10:30 (UTC)
Venue: Suwon World Cup Stadium (43288 seats)

Straining Suwon Bluewings are desperate to pull off a small shock when they host top side Incheon United in the next league fixture. It’s 11th vs 4th and the home regulars will have not-so-high expectations.

Insights:
  • Suwon Bluewings have the fewest scored goals in the first half (2) in K-League 1
  • Incheon United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

The hosts Bluewings saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the FA Cup. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Jeonbuk Motors.

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Suwon Bluewings form and stats

4 victories, 2 draws and 3 defeats. That’s what Suwon Bluewings have to build on here at Suwon World Cup Stadium in the K-League 1.

The regulars are hoping that Suwon Bluewings will strike back in this fixture, putting things right after the 0-3 away defeat in the FA Cup fixture against Jeonbuk Motors.

Prior to that, an away loss at Suwon in the K-League 1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Suwon Bluewings perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Suwon Bluewings as a small favourite), we find 14 games. Suwon Bluewings has won 5 of these, drawn 5 and lost 4.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Bluewings, as the K-League 1 home game vs Daegu is only three days away.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Suwon Bluewings here at Suwon World Cup Stadium in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (8 from 9 games). From these home matches, Suwon Bluewings have conceded only 7 goals.

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Incheon United form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their K-League 1 travels is 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats.

Incheon are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 1-1 draw at Seoul (placed 7th). Goalkeeper Kim made a total of six saves, making him a hero against Seoul. Heavily contributing to the draw after 90 minutes. Midfield player Lee was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.84/10. Lee scored one goal and hit one key pass.

That result followed a home victory 4-1 versus Gangwon.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 12 similar matches played by Incheon United in our archives, and the results are: 3 wins for Incheon United, 6 draws and 3 defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Incheon United are hosting Suwon in the K-League 1 only three days away.

Incheon find the net regularly in their away games. 10 goals from 8 away fixtures in the league. As opposed to that, Incheon United have seen the ball go into their own net 10 times on the road. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The two combatants have played earlier this season: Incheon United - Suwon Bluewings 1-0. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Bluewings four wins, two draws and Incheon United four victories. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), eight games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Incheon UnitedS. Mugoša
S. Mugoša
14 goals
Suwon BluewingsE. Sarić
E. Sarić
3 goals
Incheon UnitedM. Lee
M. Lee
3 goals

Suwon Bluewings missing players

Incheon United missing players

Suwon Bluewings Incheon United
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
18 9 3 Played P 2 8 18
4 4 1 Won W 2 3 7
6 2 0 Drew D 0 3 7
8 3 2 Lost L 0 2 4
13 8 1 Scored S 2 10 23
22 7 2 Conceded C 0 10 19
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
56% 33% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 75% 61%
33% 22% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 50% 39%
11% 11% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 28%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 6%
39% 33% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 62% 56%
22% 33% 33% Clean Sheets C S 100% 25% 28%
44% 33% 67% Failed to Score F T 0% 12% 17%
 
4.1 4 3.7 Corners for (avg) C F 2.5 3.8 3.8
4.7 4.8 5.3 Corners against (avg) C A 2 5.1 4.4
1.9 1.7 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 1.8 1.6
2 0 0 Red cards R C 1 2 3
 
7.5 8.4 8.7 Shots (avg) S ( 6.5 7.6 8.1
2.9 3.4 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 4.1 3.7
25% 26% 8% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 30% 34%
 
8.8 8.6 6.7 Shots against (avg) S A 9 12.6 11.3
4.2 3.8 3.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2 4.6 4.3
Key stats in K-League 1 this season:
  • Incheon United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Incheon United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Suwon Bluewings have the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in K-League 1
  • Suwon Bluewings have the fewest scored goals in the first half (2) in K-League 1
  • Suwon Bluewings haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ulsan 18 12 4 2 28 14 9 5 3 1 13 8 9 7 1 1 15 6 14 40
2 Jeonbuk Motors 18 9 5 4 21 14 9 2 4 3 7 9 9 7 1 1 14 5 7 32
3 Jeju United 18 8 5 5 22 18 9 3 4 2 8 7 9 5 1 3 14 11 4 29
4 Incheon United 18 7 7 4 23 19 10 4 4 2 13 9 8 3 3 2 10 10 4 28
5 Pohang Steelers 18 7 6 5 23 17 8 4 3 1 11 5 10 3 3 4 12 12 6 27
6 Daegu 18 5 8 5 25 23 9 5 2 2 15 8 9 0 6 3 10 15 2 23
7 Seoul 18 5 7 6 20 19 9 3 3 3 13 11 9 2 4 3 7 8 1 22
8 Suwon 18 6 3 9 26 29 9 4 1 4 19 18 9 2 2 5 7 11 -3 21
9 Sangju Sangmu 18 4 7 7 20 22 8 3 3 2 9 8 10 1 4 5 11 14 -2 19
10 Gangwon 18 4 6 8 20 28 10 4 2 4 13 12 8 0 4 4 7 16 -8 18
11 Suwon Bluewings 18 4 6 8 13 22 9 4 2 3 8 7 9 0 4 5 5 15 -9 18
12 Seongnam 18 2 6 10 13 29 9 0 4 5 6 17 9 2 2 5 7 12 -16 12

Read more about K-League 1

The K League 1 is the top level of the South Korean football league pyramid. It was founded in 1983 as the Korean Super League, later renamed K League Classic and in 2018 renamed K League 1. It currently has twelve teams playing 33 fixtures each, then enter championship and relegation rounds.