J2-League: V-Varen Nagasaki expected to win home game against Ryūkyū

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Competition: Sun 15.November
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (20246 seats)

The league table in J2-League tells a story about these teams so far, with V-Varen Nagasaki leading Ryūkyū by 27 points. Match preview to follow:

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1000 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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V-Varen Nagasaki form and stats

35 points is a decent return from 15 J2-League games here at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki for V-Varen Nagasaki. The data says 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Ever since the Tokushima Vortis game Nagasaki has been unbeatable here at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki producing four straight wins. The team is doing great wherever they are playing as Nagasaki has won four games in a row. The Omiya Ardija match was the last time out without a victory.

A nice win for Nagasaki last time playing, versus Fagiano Okayama. That was also a home game and the match ended 5-0 with V. Ibarbo, R. Kida (2), C. Togashi and Edigar Junio scoring for the victors. In the preceding match a 2-1 victory visiting ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

As mentioned above, Nagasaki "killed" Fagiano Okayama in their previous game. They need to reset completely for this one and beware of complacency.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Nagasaki's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played two games, won two matches, drawn zero and lost zero.

Nagasaki have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki with 29 goals in 15 league matches. From these home matches, Nagasaki have conceded only 11 goals.

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Ryūkyū form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Ryūkyū so far with only 17 points returning home. The records show 5-2-11 (win-draw-lose). The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Ryūkyū have lost on their last two travels.

Ryūkyū lost away at Avispa Fukuoka (1-3) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick. A home win before that, celebrating 1-0 vs Renofa Yamaguchi.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Ryūkyū when being an outsider away as they are today, we find six matches with the visitors losing four times, drawing one and winning one game.

Ryūkyū are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 21 away goals from 18 games (in the league). Ryūkyū's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 32 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Ryūkyū - Nagasaki 1-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last three matches): Nagasaki one win, one draw and Ryūkyū one victory. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), one game had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

RyūkyūT. Abe
T. Abe
13 goals
RyūkyūK. Kazama
K. Kazama
7 goals
RyūkyūS. Uehara
S. Uehara
6 goals

V-Varen Nagasaki missing players

Ryūkyū missing players

Total First Half Second Half
V-Varen Nagasaki Ryūkyū
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
33 15 6 Played P 6 18 33
18 11 6 Won W 0 5 10
9 2 0 Drew D 1 2 6
6 2 0 Lost L 5 11 17
54 29 15 Scored S 2 21 43
33 11 5 Conceded C 13 32 53
91% 87% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
70% 60% 83% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 67% 70%
48% 47% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 56% 55%
33% 40% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 33% 36%
15% 20% 17% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 22% 21%
58% 40% 50% BTTS BTTS 33% 50% 55%
30% 53% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 18%
21% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 33% 27%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
0.8 0.9 0.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.2 1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
348 168 77 Total Shots T S 56 191 333
130 66 31 Shots on Target S O 17 65 122
42% 44% 48% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 32% 35%
Key stats in J2-League this season:
  • Ryūkyū have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Ryūkyū haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • V-Varen Nagasaki has the most points from losing position (20) in J2-League
  • V-Varen Nagasaki has the most scored goals in the second half (33) in J2-League
  • V-Varen Nagasaki has the the best goal difference (+18) at home in J2-League
  • V-Varen Nagasaki have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tokushima Vortis 33 20 8 5 54 25 17 8 6 3 25 10 16 12 2 2 29 15 29 68
2 Avispa Fukuoka 33 20 5 8 39 24 16 9 2 5 19 13 17 11 3 3 20 11 15 65
3 V-Varen Nagasaki 33 18 9 6 54 33 15 11 2 2 29 11 18 7 7 4 25 22 21 63
4 Ventforet Kofu 33 14 13 6 43 34 17 10 5 2 24 15 16 4 8 4 19 19 9 55
5 Albirex Niigata 33 13 14 6 48 36 17 6 7 4 24 21 16 7 7 2 24 15 12 53
6 Giravanz Kitakyushu 33 16 5 12 47 37 17 9 3 5 24 18 16 7 2 7 23 19 10 53
7 Montedio Yamagata 33 13 9 11 47 35 17 8 3 6 27 19 16 5 6 5 20 16 12 48
8 Kyoto Sanga 33 13 8 12 39 37 16 10 2 4 27 17 17 3 6 8 12 20 2 47
9 Júbilo Iwata 33 11 13 9 43 37 18 8 6 4 30 19 15 3 7 5 13 18 6 46
10 Tochigi 33 12 10 11 28 26 16 5 6 5 14 11 17 7 4 6 14 15 2 46
11 Tokyo Verdy 33 11 12 10 40 36 16 5 6 5 19 15 17 6 6 5 21 21 4 45
12 Zweigen Kanazawa 33 11 10 12 46 49 18 6 6 6 22 24 15 5 4 6 24 25 -3 43
13 Fagiano Okayama 33 11 10 12 31 37 18 8 4 6 21 19 15 3 6 6 10 18 -6 43
14 Mito Hollyhock 33 11 9 13 56 52 16 4 5 7 24 26 17 7 4 6 32 26 4 42
15 Machida Zelvia 33 9 12 12 33 38 17 5 9 3 20 14 16 4 3 9 13 24 -5 39
16 JEF United 33 11 6 16 38 44 17 4 4 9 18 27 16 7 2 7 20 17 -6 39
17 Omiya Ardija 33 10 9 14 31 42 16 5 6 5 14 17 17 5 3 9 17 25 -11 39
18 Ryūkyū 33 10 6 17 43 53 15 5 4 6 22 21 18 5 2 11 21 32 -10 36
19 Matsumoto Yamaga 33 8 12 13 33 47 16 4 6 6 17 24 17 4 6 7 16 23 -14 36
20 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 33 9 3 21 27 54 17 4 1 12 13 31 16 5 2 9 14 23 -27 30
21 Ehime 33 6 9 18 30 50 16 2 4 10 12 25 17 4 5 8 18 25 -20 27
22 Renofa Yamaguchi 33 7 6 20 35 59 15 5 2 8 18 25 18 2 4 12 17 34 -24 27

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tokushima Vortis 33 20 8 5 54 25 17 8 6 3 25 10 16 12 2 2 29 15 29 68
2 Avispa Fukuoka 33 20 5 8 39 24 16 9 2 5 19 13 17 11 3 3 20 11 15 65
3 V-Varen Nagasaki 33 18 9 6 54 33 15 11 2 2 29 11 18 7 7 4 25 22 21 63
4 Ventforet Kofu 33 14 13 6 43 34 17 10 5 2 24 15 16 4 8 4 19 19 9 55
5 Albirex Niigata 33 13 14 6 48 36 17 6 7 4 24 21 16 7 7 2 24 15 12 53
6 Giravanz Kitakyushu 33 16 5 12 47 37 17 9 3 5 24 18 16 7 2 7 23 19 10 53
7 Montedio Yamagata 33 13 9 11 47 35 17 8 3 6 27 19 16 5 6 5 20 16 12 48
8 Kyoto Sanga 33 13 8 12 39 37 16 10 2 4 27 17 17 3 6 8 12 20 2 47
9 Júbilo Iwata 33 11 13 9 43 37 18 8 6 4 30 19 15 3 7 5 13 18 6 46
10 Tochigi 33 12 10 11 28 26 16 5 6 5 14 11 17 7 4 6 14 15 2 46
11 Tokyo Verdy 33 11 12 10 40 36 16 5 6 5 19 15 17 6 6 5 21 21 4 45
12 Zweigen Kanazawa 33 11 10 12 46 49 18 6 6 6 22 24 15 5 4 6 24 25 -3 43
13 Fagiano Okayama 33 11 10 12 31 37 18 8 4 6 21 19 15 3 6 6 10 18 -6 43
14 Mito Hollyhock 33 11 9 13 56 52 16 4 5 7 24 26 17 7 4 6 32 26 4 42
15 Machida Zelvia 33 9 12 12 33 38 17 5 9 3 20 14 16 4 3 9 13 24 -5 39
16 JEF United 33 11 6 16 38 44 17 4 4 9 18 27 16 7 2 7 20 17 -6 39
17 Omiya Ardija 33 10 9 14 31 42 16 5 6 5 14 17 17 5 3 9 17 25 -11 39
18 Ryūkyū 33 10 6 17 43 53 15 5 4 6 22 21 18 5 2 11 21 32 -10 36
19 Matsumoto Yamaga 33 8 12 13 33 47 16 4 6 6 17 24 17 4 6 7 16 23 -14 36
20 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 33 9 3 21 27 54 17 4 1 12 13 31 16 5 2 9 14 23 -27 30
21 Ehime 33 6 9 18 30 50 16 2 4 10 12 25 17 4 5 8 18 25 -20 27
22 Renofa Yamaguchi 33 7 6 20 35 59 15 5 2 8 18 25 18 2 4 12 17 34 -24 27

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