Only a win will satisfy the V-Varen Nagasaki supporters in this transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki clash with Machida Zelvia, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the J2-League table.
It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Nagasaki and Machida Zelvia.
These teams have little in common geographically as Machida Zelvia have to travel 1200 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.
V-Varen Nagasaki form and stats
V-Varen Nagasaki are steadily winning J2-League games and points here at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki. 9 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats is the summary from 13 games. Two home wins in a row for Nagasaki bring valid hopes of a third.
Nagasaki's last game was hosting Mito Hollyhock (placed 13th) and winning 4-1. Preceding that game was the away draw at Omiya Ardija that finished 0-0.
The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how V-Varen Nagasaki have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won five times, drawn two and lost one.
There will be little rest for V-Varen Nagasaki after this match as they are travelling to ThespaKusatsu Gunma for a J2-League game in only four days.
The V-Varen Nagasaki fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 21 goals in 13 league matches. V-Varen Nagasaki have only conceded 10 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.
Machida Zelvia form and stats
The visitors are W4-D3-L7 on the road this term. That's in the J2-League.
This game can not go any worse than the last one, a J2-League home defeat versus Ehime with 1-2 on the scoreboard. A 1-2 defeat away at Ventforet Kofu before that.
Machida are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, three draws and seven defeats. From a total of twelve matches.
Machida has another fixture away, a J2-League game, against Fagiano Okayama in just four days. A tough schedule for the visitors!
The visitors have scored 12 goals from 14 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As opposed to that, Machida Zelvia have seen the ball go into their own net 20 times on the road.
Head 2 Head
The last H2H meeting was Machida Zelvia - Nagasaki 1-1, played this season. Head-2-head stats last seven meetings: two - four - one (Nagasaki wins - draws - Machida Zelvia wins). As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less.Top Goalscorers
  T. Hirato 7 goals |  C. da Silva Silveira 5 goals |  T. Nagura 4 goals |
V-Varen Nagasaki missing players
Machida Zelvia missing players
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Machida Zelvia | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 30 | 13 | 5 | Played | P | 4 | 14 | 30 |
| 15 | 9 | 5 | Won | W | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | 0 | Drew | D | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | 2 | 0 | Lost | L | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 44 | 21 | 12 | Scored | S | 3 | 12 | 31 |
| 31 | 10 | 4 | Conceded | C | 10 | 20 | 34 |
| 90% | 85% | 100% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 100% | 93% | 80% |
| 67% | 54% | 80% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 100% | 79% | 70% |
| 43% | 38% | 40% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 100% | 43% | 37% |
| 30% | 31% | 40% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 25% | 14% | 17% |
| 13% | 15% | 20% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 57% | 38% | 40% | BTTS | BTTS | 75% | 43% | 40% |
| 30% | 54% | 60% | Clean Sheets | C S | 0% | 29% | 40% |
| 23% | 23% | 0% | Failed to Score | F T | 25% | 36% | 40% |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | Red cards | R C | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 310 | 146 | 67 | Total Shots | T S | 26 | 98 | 239 |
| 108 | 51 | 25 | Shots on Target | S O | 4 | 32 | 89 |
| 39% | 41% | 48% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 75% | 38% | 33% |
- Machida Zelvia have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
- V-Varen Nagasaki has the most points from losing position (17) in J2-League
- V-Varen Nagasaki have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Tokushima Vortis | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 24 | 59 |
| 2 | Avispa Fukuoka | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 59 |
| 3 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 13 | 54 |
| 4 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 33 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 50 |
| 5 | Albirex Niigata | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 44 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Ventforet Kofu | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38 | 33 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Jubilo Iwata | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40 | 32 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Montedio Yamagata | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 31 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 42 |
| 10 | Tochigi | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 24 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Tokyo Verdy | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 4 | 41 |
| 12 | Fagiano Okayama | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 39 |
| 14 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 43 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 | Machida Zelvia | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -3 | 36 |
| 16 | Omiya Ardija | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | JEF United | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 36 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 15 | -3 | 35 |
| 18 | Ryūkyū | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 41 | 49 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 33 |
| 19 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 30 | 44 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | ThespaKusatsu Gunma | 30 | 9 | 2 | 19 | 25 | 50 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -25 | 29 |
| 21 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 34 | 56 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -22 | 26 |
| 22 | Ehime | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 45 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -18 | 25 |