J2-League prediction and preview: Ryūkyū modest favorites to beat Tochigi

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Date: Sat 06.July
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)

With their 8 point advantage in the league table, Ryūkyū fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Tochigi.

It's no vacation for neither Ryūkyū nor Tochigi as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 2200 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Ryūkyū form and stats

Ryūkyū have performed well here so far this season with 5 wins from 9 matches. Some points have also been lost, as they have drawn 4 games and lost 0.

Ryūkyū's last game was hosting Tochigi and winning 3-0. Prior to that, an away loss at Renofa Yamaguchi in the Emperor Cup.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Ryūkyū have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found one game) they have won 1 time, drawn 0 and lost 0.

The Ryūkyū fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 15 goals in 9 matches. From these home matches, Ryūkyū have conceded only 8 goals.

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Tochigi form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Tochigi so far with only 9 points returning home. The records show 2-3-4 (win-draw-lose).

It might be tough going out on the road again for Tochigi, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-3 versus Ryūkyū. Prior to that result Tochigi won their away game at Montedio Yamagata in the Emperor Cup. The scoreline was 2-1.

We have checked recent matches where Tochigi have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eleven games were W2-D2-L7.

Tochigi are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 9 away goals from 9 games. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Tochigi have conceded 14 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

Ryūkyū and Tochigi have met before this season: Ryūkyū - Tochigi 3-0. Ryūkyū-Tochigi H2H statistics last five meetings regardless of arena: Ryūkyū 1 win, Tochigi 1 win, 3 draws. 1 of these five matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

K. Suzuki
14 goals
S. Uejo
5 goals
M. Oguro
5 goals

Ryūkyū missing players

Tochigi missing players

Ryūkyū Tochigi
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
21 11 4 Played 3 11 21
7 6 2 Won 1 2 3
7 4 2 Drew 0 3 8
7 1 0 Lost 2 6 10
32 20 8 Scored 5 9 15
30 13 4 Conceded 7 19 29
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 82% 76%
81% 91% 100% Over 1.5 100% 73% 62%
52% 55% 50% Over 2.5 67% 55% 43%
29% 27% 50% Over 3.5 67% 27% 19%
14% 9% 0% Over 4.5 67% 18% 10%
71% 73% 75% BTTS 67% 36% 43%
14% 27% 25% Clean Sheets 0% 27% 33%
14% 0% 0% Failed To Score 33% 55% 48%
 
4 3.5 2 Corners For (avg) 2 3.2 3.8
5.3 6.3 8.2 Corners Against (avg) 5.7 7.6 7
1 0.5 0.8 Yellow Cards (avg) 0.7 0.8 1
0 0 0 Red Cards 1 2 2
Key stats this season:
  • Ryūkyū have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Ryūkyū have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Ryūkyū have scored more than double the goals of Tochigi.
  • Ryūkyū haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Tochigi have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Tochigi have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Tochigi have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Ryūkyū
All Emperor Cup J3-League J2-League Club Friendlies
All Home Away
15-06-19 J2 Kyoto Sanga 2 - 2 Ryūkyū
22-06-19 J2 Ryūkyū 2 - 5 Ventforet Kofu
29-06-19 J2 V-Varen Nagasaki 3 - 2 Ryūkyū
03-07-19 EC Renofa Yamaguchi 2 - 1 Ryūkyū
06-07-19 J2 Ryūkyū 3 - 0 Tochigi
13-07-19 J2 Ryūkyū 10:00 Fagiano Okayama
21-07-19 J2 Mito Hollyhock 09:00 Ryūkyū
27-07-19 J2 Albirex Niigata 10:00 Ryūkyū
31-07-19 J2 Ryūkyū 10:00 JEF United
04-08-19 J2 Kashiwa Reysol 10:00 Ryūkyū
Tochigi
All Emperor Cup J3-League J2-League Club Friendlies
All Home Away
15-06-19 J2 Albirex Niigata 2 - 0 Tochigi
22-06-19 J2 Kagoshima United 2 - 0 Tochigi
29-06-19 J2 Tochigi 1 - 2 Ehime
03-07-19 EC Montedio Yamagata 1 - 2 Tochigi
06-07-19 J2 Ryūkyū 3 - 0 Tochigi
13-07-19 J2 Tochigi 09:00 Renofa Yamaguchi
20-07-19 J2 Yokohama 09:00 Tochigi
27-07-19 J2 Tochigi 09:00 Kashiwa Reysol
31-07-19 J2 Tochigi 10:00 Tokyo Verdy
04-08-19 J2 Zweigen Kanazawa 09:00 Tochigi

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Montedio Yamagata 18 10 6 2 22 11 9 6 2 1 10 4 9 4 4 1 12 7 11 36
2 Omiya Ardija 18 9 7 2 24 15 9 5 3 1 15 10 9 4 4 1 9 5 9 34
3 Mito Hollyhock 18 9 6 3 19 9 8 3 4 1 10 5 10 6 2 2 9 4 10 33
4 Ventforet Kofu 18 8 6 4 26 16 9 4 2 3 12 10 9 4 4 1 14 6 10 30
5 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 6 4 25 18 9 4 3 2 10 7 9 4 3 2 15 11 7 30
6 V-Varen Nagasaki 17 8 3 6 23 18 8 3 2 3 9 9 9 5 1 3 14 9 5 27
7 Kashiwa Reysol 17 7 6 4 14 11 8 4 3 1 7 2 9 3 3 3 7 9 3 27
8 Fagiano Okayama 18 7 6 5 22 20 10 5 4 1 14 10 8 2 2 4 8 10 2 27
9 Zweigen Kanazawa 18 6 8 4 22 13 8 3 4 1 9 3 10 3 4 3 13 10 9 26
10 Ryūkyū 18 6 7 5 25 22 9 5 4 0 15 8 9 1 3 5 10 14 3 25
11 Tokushima Vortis 18 6 6 6 19 19 8 4 3 1 9 6 10 2 3 5 10 13 0 24
12 Tokyo Verdy 18 6 6 6 24 25 10 4 4 2 15 14 8 2 2 4 9 11 -1 24
13 Albirex Niigata 18 6 5 7 25 22 8 3 1 4 9 9 10 3 4 3 16 13 3 23
14 Yokohama 18 6 4 8 20 22 9 3 2 4 12 13 9 3 2 4 8 9 -2 22
15 JEF United 18 5 7 6 20 26 9 3 3 3 13 16 9 2 4 3 7 10 -6 22
16 Machida Zelvia 17 5 5 7 15 23 8 2 3 3 7 11 9 3 2 4 8 12 -8 20
17 Ehime 18 5 4 9 16 21 11 4 2 5 11 12 7 1 2 4 5 9 -5 19
18 Kagoshima United 18 5 2 11 16 22 10 4 0 6 11 15 8 1 2 5 5 7 -6 17
19 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 4 5 9 23 31 9 1 2 6 10 18 9 3 3 3 13 13 -8 17
20 Tochigi 18 3 8 7 14 22 9 1 5 3 5 8 9 2 3 4 9 14 -8 17
21 Avispa Fukuoka 17 4 4 9 15 25 8 1 2 5 3 10 9 3 2 4 12 15 -10 16
22 Gifu 18 3 3 12 14 32 10 3 2 5 11 16 8 0 1 7 3 16 -18 12

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