J2-League prediction and preview: Júbilo Iwata modest favorites to beat Ryūkyū

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Competition: Japan J2-League
Competition: Wed 25.November
Match begins: 10:30 (UTC)
Venue: Yamaha Stadium (15165 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Júbilo Iwata are in the 10th position while the guesting Ryūkyū worry at 19th.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Júbilo Iwata and Ryūkyū.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1900 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Júbilo Iwata form and stats

8-6-4 (win-draw-lost) are the J2-League numbers at home for Júbilo Iwata, who have the most scored goals (30) at home in J2-League, so far this season. The trend of drawing games is also valid regardless of arena as Júbilo has four draws from their last four matches. Two draws in a row at home now for Júbilo.

An away draw last time out for Júbilo, facing Ventforet Kofu in a game that ended 1-1. Preceding that game was the away draw at Fagiano Okayama that finished 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Júbilo Iwata have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won two times, drawn two and lost two.

Júbilo Iwata are traveling soon after this match as the J2-League match at JEF United awaits in four days.

Júbilo have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Yamaha Stadium with 30 goals in 18 league matches. Júbilo Iwata have conceded 19 in these home matches.

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Ryūkyū form and stats

Playing away, Ryūkyū have won 6 games, drawn 2 and suffered 11 defeats in the J2-League this season.

Ryūkyū played 1-1 against Giravanz Kitakyushu in their previous match. Prior to that result Ryūkyū won their away game at V-Varen Nagasaki. The scoreline was 1-0.

Ryūkyū are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is six wins, one draw and eight defeats. From a total of 15 matches.

A quick return to home after this game, as Ryūkyū are hosting Tokyo Verdy in the J2-League only four days away.

The visiting Ryūkyū have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 22 goals from 19 games. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. In the opposite end, Ryūkyū have conceded 32 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

Júbilo and Ryūkyū have met before this season: Ryūkyū - Júbilo Iwata 2-2.

Top Goalscorers

RyūkyūT. Abe
T. Abe
13 goals
JúbiloL. Araújo de Almeida
L. Araújo de Almeida
10 goals
Júbilo IwataK. Ogawa
K. Ogawa
8 goals

Júbilo Iwata missing players

Ryūkyū missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Júbilo Iwata Ryūkyū
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
35 18 5 Played P 5 19 35
11 8 3 Won W 2 6 11
15 6 1 Drew D 0 2 7
9 4 1 Lost L 3 11 17
45 30 9 Scored S 5 22 45
39 19 6 Conceded C 10 32 54
86% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
74% 89% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 63% 69%
46% 50% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 53% 51%
26% 22% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 32% 34%
6% 11% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 21% 20%
57% 67% 100% BTTS BTTS 60% 47% 54%
29% 28% 0% Clean Sheets C S 20% 21% 20%
29% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 32% 26%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.1 1.1 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.8 1.2 1
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
366 201 57 Total Shots T S 50 199 350
138 85 23 Shots on Target S O 16 69 131
33% 35% 39% Goal Efficiency G E 31% 32% 34%
Key stats in J2-League this season:
  • Júbilo Iwata has the most scored goals (30) at home in J2-League
  • Júbilo Iwata have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Ryūkyū have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Ryūkyū haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tokushima Vortis 35 21 8 6 55 27 17 8 6 3 25 10 18 13 2 3 30 17 28 71
2 Avispa Fukuoka 35 21 6 8 41 25 17 9 3 5 20 14 18 12 3 3 21 11 16 69
3 V-Varen Nagasaki 35 19 9 7 55 34 16 11 2 3 29 12 19 8 7 4 26 22 21 66
4 Giravanz Kitakyushu 35 17 6 12 49 38 18 10 3 5 25 18 17 7 3 7 24 20 11 57
5 Albirex Niigata 35 14 14 7 50 39 18 6 7 5 24 23 17 8 7 2 26 16 11 56
6 Ventforet Kofu 34 14 14 6 44 35 18 10 6 2 25 16 16 4 8 4 19 19 9 56
7 Kyoto Sanga 35 14 8 13 42 39 17 11 2 4 29 17 18 3 6 9 13 22 3 50
8 Montedio Yamagata 35 13 10 12 48 37 18 8 3 7 27 20 17 5 7 5 21 17 11 49
9 Tokyo Verdy 34 12 12 10 43 36 16 5 6 5 19 15 18 7 6 5 24 21 7 48
10 Júbilo Iwata 35 11 15 9 45 39 18 8 6 4 30 19 17 3 9 5 15 20 6 48
11 Tochigi 34 12 10 12 28 27 16 5 6 5 14 11 18 7 4 7 14 16 1 46
12 Mito Hollyhock 34 12 9 13 58 53 17 5 5 7 26 27 17 7 4 6 32 26 5 45
13 Fagiano Okayama 35 11 11 13 32 39 19 8 5 6 22 20 16 3 6 7 10 19 -7 44
14 Zweigen Kanazawa 35 11 10 14 47 52 19 6 6 7 23 26 16 5 4 7 24 26 -5 43
15 Omiya Ardija 35 11 10 14 32 42 18 6 7 5 15 17 17 5 3 9 17 25 -10 43
16 JEF United 35 12 6 17 40 45 18 4 4 10 18 28 17 8 2 7 22 17 -5 42
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 35 10 12 13 36 48 17 5 6 6 18 24 18 5 6 7 18 24 -12 42
18 Machida Zelvia 35 9 13 13 34 40 18 5 9 4 21 16 17 4 4 9 13 24 -6 40
19 Ryūkyū 35 11 7 17 45 54 16 5 5 6 23 22 19 6 2 11 22 32 -9 40
20 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 35 10 3 22 28 57 18 4 1 13 13 34 17 6 2 9 15 23 -29 33
21 Ehime 34 6 9 19 30 51 17 2 4 11 12 26 17 4 5 8 18 25 -21 27
22 Renofa Yamaguchi 34 7 6 21 35 60 16 5 2 9 18 26 18 2 4 12 17 34 -25 27

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tokushima Vortis 35 21 8 6 55 27 17 8 6 3 25 10 18 13 2 3 30 17 28 71
2 Avispa Fukuoka 35 21 6 8 41 25 17 9 3 5 20 14 18 12 3 3 21 11 16 69
3 V-Varen Nagasaki 35 19 9 7 55 34 16 11 2 3 29 12 19 8 7 4 26 22 21 66
4 Giravanz Kitakyushu 35 17 6 12 49 38 18 10 3 5 25 18 17 7 3 7 24 20 11 57
5 Albirex Niigata 35 14 14 7 50 39 18 6 7 5 24 23 17 8 7 2 26 16 11 56
6 Ventforet Kofu 34 14 14 6 44 35 18 10 6 2 25 16 16 4 8 4 19 19 9 56
7 Kyoto Sanga 35 14 8 13 42 39 17 11 2 4 29 17 18 3 6 9 13 22 3 50
8 Montedio Yamagata 35 13 10 12 48 37 18 8 3 7 27 20 17 5 7 5 21 17 11 49
9 Tokyo Verdy 34 12 12 10 43 36 16 5 6 5 19 15 18 7 6 5 24 21 7 48
10 Júbilo Iwata 35 11 15 9 45 39 18 8 6 4 30 19 17 3 9 5 15 20 6 48
11 Tochigi 34 12 10 12 28 27 16 5 6 5 14 11 18 7 4 7 14 16 1 46
12 Mito Hollyhock 34 12 9 13 58 53 17 5 5 7 26 27 17 7 4 6 32 26 5 45
13 Fagiano Okayama 35 11 11 13 32 39 19 8 5 6 22 20 16 3 6 7 10 19 -7 44
14 Zweigen Kanazawa 35 11 10 14 47 52 19 6 6 7 23 26 16 5 4 7 24 26 -5 43
15 Omiya Ardija 35 11 10 14 32 42 18 6 7 5 15 17 17 5 3 9 17 25 -10 43
16 JEF United 35 12 6 17 40 45 18 4 4 10 18 28 17 8 2 7 22 17 -5 42
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 35 10 12 13 36 48 17 5 6 6 18 24 18 5 6 7 18 24 -12 42
18 Machida Zelvia 35 9 13 13 34 40 18 5 9 4 21 16 17 4 4 9 13 24 -6 40
19 Ryūkyū 35 11 7 17 45 54 16 5 5 6 23 22 19 6 2 11 22 32 -9 40
20 ThespaKusatsu Gunma 35 10 3 22 28 57 18 4 1 13 13 34 17 6 2 9 15 23 -29 33
21 Ehime 34 6 9 19 30 51 17 2 4 11 12 26 17 4 5 8 18 25 -21 27
22 Renofa Yamaguchi 34 7 6 21 35 60 16 5 2 9 18 26 18 2 4 12 17 34 -25 27

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