An important duel in the bottom section of the J-League, with both Sagan Tosu and Shonan Bellmare experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic "six-pointer" with the home team placed 15th and the visitors in 16th place.
There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.
It's quite the trip for Shonan Bellmare when visiting Sagan as the cities are 1000 kilometers apart.
Sagan Tosu form and stats
Sagan Tosu's struggle is real here at Best Amenity Stadium with only 12 points collected from 12 J-League games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 3-3-6. With Sagan having lost three times in a row here, the pressure is increasing on the manager M. Kim.
Sagan drew their last game, 0-0 away at Shonan Bellmare (placed 16th). A 1-1 draw away before that, with Shimizu S-Pulse the opponent.
The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Sagan have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found one game) they have won one time, drawn zero and lost zero.
Sagan has scored 12 league goals at home this season, in 12 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Sagan have conceded 14 in these home matches.
Shonan Bellmare form and stats
Shonan Bellmare, who have the fewest scored goals (18) in J-League, have only collected 4 points from their away games in the J-League, after 1-1-9 (11 played). Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Bellmare's last three away games as they have all been lost.
Bellmare played 0-0 against Sagan Tosu in their previous match. That result followed a home victory 3-2 versus Kashiwa Reysol.
We have checked recent matches where Bellmare have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those nine games were zero victories, two draws and seven defeats.
Bellmare find the net regularly in their away games. 11 goals from 11 away fixtures in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Bellmare have conceded 23 goals in these games.
Head 2 Head
Sagan Tosu and Shonan Bellmare have met before this season: Shonan Bellmare - Sagan 0-0. Last ten meetings between the teams: Sagan Tosu won two, Shonan Bellmare won four and four draws. one game with over 2,5 goals, nine matches with two goals or less.Top Goalscorers
  D. Hayashi 6 goals |  N. Ishihara 6 goals | R. Harakawa 3 goals |
Sagan Tosu missing players
Shonan Bellmare missing players
| Sagan Tosu | Shonan Bellmare | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 23 | 12 | 3 | Played | P | 2 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | Won | W | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | Drew | D | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | Lost | L | 2 | 9 | 16 |
| 22 | 12 | 4 | Scored | S | 3 | 11 | 18 |
| 32 | 14 | 3 | Conceded | C | 6 | 23 | 37 |
| 87% | 92% | 100% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 91% |
| 74% | 75% | 100% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 100% | 64% | 48% |
| 39% | 42% | 33% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 100% | 64% | 43% |
| 17% | 8% | 0% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 50% | 45% | 30% |
| 9% | 0% | 0% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 50% | 27% | 22% |
| 43% | 42% | 33% | BTTS | BTTS | 100% | 55% | 39% |
| 22% | 25% | 33% | Clean Sheets | C S | 0% | 9% | 17% |
| 48% | 42% | 33% | Failed to Score | F T | 0% | 36% | 52% |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.7 | 0.7 | 1 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | Red cards | R C | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 172 | 101 | 18 | Total Shots | T S | 15 | 66 | 139 |
| 61 | 34 | 7 | Shots on Target | S O | 5 | 26 | 52 |
| 34% | 32% | 43% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 60% | 42% | 31% |
- Sagan Tosu have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
- Shonan Bellmare has the fewest points (4) away in J-League
- Shonan Bellmare has the fewest scored goals (18) in J-League
- Shonan Bellmare has the fewest scored goals in the first half (5) in J-League
- Shonan Bellmare has the most matches under the total-line (14) in J-League
- Shonan Bellmare have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
- Shonan Bellmare have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
- Shonan Bellmare haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 9 | 49 | 65 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Tokyo | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 45 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 19 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 10 | 41 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 35 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 37 |
| 9 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 37 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 20 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 34 |
| 11 | Vissel Kobe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 47 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 20 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 | Yokohama | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 43 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -15 | 24 |
| 14 | Consadole Sapporo | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29 | 47 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 32 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 16 | Shonan Bellmare | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -19 | 13 |
| 17 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 27 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -23 | 13 |
| 18 | Vegalta Sendai | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 26 | -24 | 13 |