Shimizu S-Pulse v Sagan Tosu betting guide: Not much separates the two teams

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sun 18.October
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (20339 seats)

Shimizu S-Pulse are welcoming Sagan Tosu for another important game after their 1-3 result against 2nd-placed Tokyo.

It's no vacation for neither Shimizu S-Pulse nor Sagan Tosu as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 900 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Shimizu S-Pulse form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the J-League this season. Shimizu S-Pulse, who have the most conceded goals (53) in J-League, have only managed 2 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses from their games here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Regardless of arena the trend is looking very unhealthy for Shimizu with their five defeats in a row. Not since the Shonan Bellmare game, 28 days ago, have they avoided a loss. The home stadium (IAI Stadium Nihondaira) is supposed to be a fortress, but for Shimizu it's been a house of straw as the last six games here have all been lost. Can they turn things around?

Shimizu S-Pulse are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 1-3 away versus Tokyo. Preceding that match was a defeat to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2-3).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Shimizu have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found nine matches with the results: Won three, drawn one and lost five.

The Shimizu S-Pulse fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 20 goals in 11 league matches. Shimizu have conceded 26 goals in these home games, a significant number.

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Sagan Tosu form and stats

Sagan Tosu, who have the fewest scored goals (9) away in J-League, have only collected 6 points from their away games in the J-League, after 1-3-5 (9 played). With the Sagan Tosu losing streak of four defeats in a row, regardless of arena, optimism is low and sinking.

Sagan Tosu aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 180 league minutes without a goal. R. Lopez was the last player to find the net.

The manager M. Kim was unhappy after their last game, a J-League match played at their home ground Best Amenity Stadium. Sagan suffered a 0-2 loss to Kashima Antlers (placed 6th). A 0-1 loss hosting Urawa Reds before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Sagan Tosu playing away and similar expectations, we found eight relevant matches. Results were two Sagan Tosu wins, one draw and five defeats.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Sagan manager M. Kim as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Shonan Bellmare.

Sagan find the net regularly in their away games. 9 goals from 9 away fixtures in the league. As for defending, Sagan rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 17 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Sagan Tosu - Shimizu 1-1. Last ten meetings between the teams: Shimizu won three, Sagan Tosu won three and four draws. four games with over 2,5 goals, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Shimizu S-PulseC. de Souza Júnior
C. de Souza Júnior
7 goals
Sagan TosuD. Hayashi
D. Hayashi
5 goals
Shimizu S-PulseS. Dutra Júnior
S. Dutra Júnior
4 goals

Shimizu S-Pulse missing players

Sagan Tosu missing players

Shimizu S-Pulse Sagan Tosu
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
23 11 2 Played P 0 9 21
3 2 1 Won W 0 1 4
3 0 0 Drew D 0 3 6
17 9 1 Lost L 0 5 11
30 20 5 Scored S 0 9 21
53 26 4 Conceded C 0 17 31
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 89% 90%
96% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 78% 76%
83% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 44% 43%
48% 55% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 19%
26% 36% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 22% 10%
78% 100% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 44% 43%
9% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 11% 19%
17% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 56% 48%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.3 1.4 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0.6 0.7
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
227 144 19 Total Shots T S 0 53 154
81 51 5 Shots on Target S O 0 24 58
32% 35% 60% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 38% 34%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • All of Shimizu S-Pulse's home-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Sagan Tosu has the fewest scored goals (9) away in J-League
  • Sagan Tosu have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has the fewest clean sheets (0) at home in J-League
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has the fewest clean sheets (2) in J-League
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has the most conceded goals (26) at home in J-League
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has the most conceded goals (53) in J-League
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has the most conceded goals in the first half (24) in J-League
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has the most conceded goals in the second half (29) in J-League
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has the the worst goal difference (-23) in J-League
  • Shimizu S-Pulse have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Sagan Tosu have scored away.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 23 20 2 1 65 19 11 10 1 0 32 10 12 10 1 1 33 9 46 62
2 Tokyo 25 14 5 6 40 29 12 7 0 5 19 15 13 7 5 1 21 14 11 47
3 Cerezo Osaka 23 14 3 6 32 24 11 6 2 3 13 8 12 8 1 3 19 16 8 45
4 Nagoya Grampus 22 13 3 6 35 20 11 8 1 2 22 11 11 5 2 4 13 9 15 42
5 Gamba Osaka 22 13 3 6 32 25 11 5 1 5 13 14 11 8 2 1 19 11 7 42
6 Kashima Antlers 23 12 3 8 36 31 10 5 3 2 17 14 13 7 0 6 19 17 5 39
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 25 11 5 9 51 39 14 7 2 5 32 20 11 4 3 4 19 19 12 38
8 Kashiwa Reysol 22 11 4 7 43 32 12 5 2 5 26 23 10 6 2 2 17 9 11 37
9 Urawa Reds 23 10 4 9 28 37 12 3 3 6 8 17 11 7 1 3 20 20 -9 34
10 Vissel Kobe 25 8 9 8 43 42 14 4 5 5 24 24 11 4 4 3 19 18 1 33
11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 21 9 4 8 33 26 10 4 2 4 18 13 11 5 2 4 15 13 7 31
12 Oita Trinita 23 8 5 10 26 34 11 4 3 4 10 14 12 4 2 6 16 20 -8 29
13 Yokohama 22 6 3 13 27 43 10 3 1 6 12 21 12 3 2 7 15 22 -16 21
14 Consadole Sapporo 23 5 6 12 28 47 12 2 4 6 16 24 11 3 2 6 12 23 -19 21
15 Sagan Tosu 21 4 6 11 21 31 12 3 3 6 12 14 9 1 3 5 9 17 -10 18
16 Vegalta Sendai 21 2 7 12 21 39 10 0 4 6 9 19 11 2 3 6 12 20 -18 13
17 Shimizu S-Pulse 23 3 3 17 30 53 11 2 0 9 20 26 12 1 3 8 10 27 -23 12
18 Shonan Bellmare 21 2 3 16 15 35 10 1 2 7 4 12 11 1 1 9 11 23 -20 9