J-League: Sagan Tosu believed to win home fixture versus Oita Trinita

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Fri 17.September
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium

Three points for the home side is predicted from this game if the league standings is to be trusted. The Sagan Tosu fans are positive that the mismatch between 3rd and Oita Trinita's 19th place in the table will be visible on the arena.

Insights:
  • Sagan Tosu have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Oita Trinita have the fewest scored goals in the second half (7) in J-League

This promises to be an appealing fixture with lots of action and excitement as both teams are well refreshed since they last played a game. Bring it on!

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Sagan Tosu form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium as Sagan Tosu have scored 25 goals to get 30 points from 14 games. The overall stats in the J-League are 9-3-2 (wins-draws-losses).

Sagan's previous game was a J-League match also played at home, ending 2-1 versus Shimizu S-Pulse (placed 16th). The home side are looking to build on that result. Ayumu Ohata was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.85 out of 10. The defender Ohata won 9 of 13 duels.

Before that match, a win away at Vegalta Sendai.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Sagan matches with similar probabilities have ended with two wins, zero draws and zero defeats (from two games).

The Sagan fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 25 goals in 14 league matches. From these home matches, Sagan have conceded only 11 goals.

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Oita Trinita form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Oita Trinita so far with only 3 points returning home. The records show 1-0-12 (win-draw-lose). Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in twelve away games in a row.

Yuta Koide and Kohei Isa scored in Trinita's previous match, the home game against Shonan Bellmare that ended 2-0. Henrique Trevisan, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 8.02. Trevisan won 9 of 15 duels.

Prior to that match, the Trinita manager T. Katanosaka faced defeat when travelling to Sanfrecce Hiroshima and losing 1-4.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Trinita when being an outsider away as they are today, we find seven matches with the visitors losing four times, drawing two and winning one game.

The attacking power of Trinita when travelling is not overwhelming with 8 goals scored from 13 league matches away. For Oita Trinita, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Oita Trinita - Sagan 1-1 was the story when these contenders formerly met, some time ago this season. Numbers for the preceeding ten meetings featuring these two squads are: three wins for Sagan, four draws and three wins for Oita Trinita. Over 2,5 goals: six times; under 2,5 goals: four games.

Top Goalscorers

Sagan TosuK. Yamashita
K. Yamashita
9 goals
SaganN. Sakai
N. Sakai
6 goals
Sagan TosuY. Higuchi
Y. Higuchi
5 goals

Sagan Tosu missing players

Oita Trinita missing players

Sagan Tosu Oita Trinita
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
28 14 5 Played P 4 13 28
14 9 4 Won W 0 1 5
8 3 0 Drew D 0 0 5
6 2 1 Lost L 4 12 18
38 25 12 Scored S 3 8 20
23 11 2 Conceded C 11 29 47
86% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
64% 71% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 77% 71%
39% 50% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 54% 39%
18% 29% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 23% 18%
7% 14% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 23% 11%
39% 29% 20% BTTS BTTS 50% 46% 46%
43% 57% 60% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 14%
32% 29% 20% Failed to Score F T 50% 54% 43%
 
3.8 3.9 3 Corners for (avg) C F 3.8 3.4 3.4
4.1 4 4 Corners against (avg) C A 4.2 4.6 4.6
1 0.9 0.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 0.5 0.7
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
9.6 11 10.2 Shots (avg) S ( 7 6.4 5.6
3.7 4.3 4.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.3 2.2
37% 42% 55% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 27% 33%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Oita Trinita have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Oita Trinita have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Oita Trinita have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Oita Trinita have the fewest clean sheets (0) away in J-League
  • Oita Trinita have the fewest points (3) away in J-League
  • Oita Trinita have the fewest scored goals in the second half (7) in J-League
  • Oita Trinita haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Sagan Tosu have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sagan Tosu have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Sagan Tosu have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Oita Trinita have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 27 20 6 1 58 17 13 11 2 0 27 10 14 9 4 1 31 7 41 66
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 28 20 5 3 63 24 15 11 3 1 35 9 13 9 2 2 28 15 39 65
3 Sagan Tosu 28 14 8 6 38 23 14 9 3 2 25 11 14 5 5 4 13 12 15 50
4 Nagoya Grampus 28 15 5 8 31 21 14 8 2 4 15 10 14 7 3 4 16 11 10 50
5 Vissel Kobe 27 13 9 5 41 26 13 6 4 3 19 9 14 7 5 2 22 17 15 48
6 Urawa Reds 28 14 6 8 31 26 14 9 3 2 18 13 14 5 3 6 13 13 5 48
7 Kashima Antlers 28 14 5 9 46 28 13 7 3 3 25 15 15 7 2 6 21 13 18 47
8 Avispa Fukuoka 28 12 6 10 33 30 14 8 1 5 18 13 14 4 5 5 15 17 3 42
9 Tokyo 28 12 6 10 36 36 12 6 1 5 19 19 16 6 5 5 17 17 0 42
10 Consadole Sapporo 28 11 6 11 35 39 15 7 2 6 23 23 13 4 4 5 12 16 -4 39
11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 28 8 12 8 32 30 15 4 6 5 16 16 13 4 6 3 16 14 2 36
12 Cerezo Osaka 28 9 9 10 38 37 15 6 5 4 20 20 13 3 4 6 18 17 1 36
13 Kashiwa Reysol 28 10 3 15 29 37 14 5 1 8 17 22 14 5 2 7 12 15 -8 33
14 Gamba Osaka 28 8 6 14 21 30 14 3 3 8 12 19 14 5 3 6 9 11 -9 30
15 Shonan Bellmare 28 5 11 12 28 33 14 2 8 4 10 11 14 3 3 8 18 22 -5 26
16 Shimizu S-Pulse 28 5 11 12 27 41 13 2 5 6 10 21 15 3 6 6 17 20 -14 26
17 Tokushima Vortis 28 6 5 17 20 40 14 3 4 7 11 15 14 3 1 10 9 25 -20 23
18 Vegalta Sendai 28 4 10 14 22 46 14 2 5 7 9 18 14 2 5 7 13 28 -24 22
19 Oita Trinita 28 5 5 18 20 47 15 4 5 6 12 18 13 1 0 12 8 29 -27 20
20 Yokohama 28 4 6 18 21 59 14 3 4 7 14 23 14 1 2 11 7 36 -38 18