Possible nail-biting contest in Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita game

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 19.December
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Best Amenity Stadium (24130 seats)

Sagan Tosu hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 35 points and a 14th position in the J-League table. Visiting Oita Trinita holds 11th place with 42 pts.

Insights:
  • Oita Trinita have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It's no vacation for neither Sagan nor Oita Trinita as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Sagan Tosu form and stats

With 3 J-League wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats from their home games, Sagan Tosu are certainly not brimming with confidence. Sagan are slowly digging their own grave here at Best Amenity Stadium with the depressing streak of not having won a home league game in seven attempts. The last victory here came in the Tokyo match.

A strong away win for Sagan against Cerezo Osaka the last match, as Y. Higuchi and Tiago Alves were on target. In the match before that, Sagan hosted Kawasaki Frontale and drew the game 1-1.

World class coaching! That was the thoughts of M. Kim when Tiago Alves scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 88th minute. A late climax in the match against Cerezo Osaka as the winning goal came one minutes into overtime; scored by Tiago Alves.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Sagan have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found ten matches with the results: Won three, drawn two and lost five.

Sagan Tosu have scored 15 league goals here from 16 matches, not a lot. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Sagan Tosu's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 18 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Oita Trinita form and stats

6-4-6 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Oita Trinita in their J-League matches away.

Oita Trinita play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 2-1 victory visiting Shonan Bellmare (placed 17th). Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Consadole Sapporo.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Trinita playing away and similar expectations, we found twelve relevant matches. Results were four Oita Trinita wins, four draws and four defeats.

Oita Trinita have scored 22 goals on their travels this season, from 16 away games in the league. Trinita struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 24 goals conceded from these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Oita Trinita - Sagan 2-0. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Sagan four wins, three draws and Oita Trinita three victories. As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

SaganD. Hayashi
D. Hayashi
8 goals
Oita TrinitaT. Tanaka
T. Tanaka
8 goals
Oita TrinitaY. Takazawa
Y. Takazawa
6 goals

Sagan Tosu missing players

Oita Trinita missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Sagan Tosu Oita Trinita
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
33 16 5 Played P 5 16 33
7 3 1 Won W 3 6 11
14 6 1 Drew D 1 4 9
12 7 3 Lost L 1 6 13
35 15 3 Scored S 11 22 34
41 18 6 Conceded C 8 24 43
88% 88% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 91%
76% 69% 40% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 88% 70%
39% 38% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 56% 39%
15% 12% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 25% 18%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 19% 12%
52% 44% 40% BTTS BTTS 80% 62% 45%
21% 25% 20% Clean Sheets C S 20% 19% 27%
39% 44% 60% Failed to Score F T 0% 25% 36%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
0.8 0.8 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.2 0.6 0.6
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
9.2 9.5 7.8 Shots (avg) S ( 9.6 8.8 8.3
3.4 3.4 2.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.8 3.4 3.3
31% 28% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 58% 41% 31%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Oita Trinita have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 33 25 5 3 85 29 17 15 1 1 48 15 16 10 4 2 37 14 56 80
2 Gamba Osaka 33 20 5 8 46 40 16 8 2 6 19 21 17 12 3 2 27 19 6 65
3 Nagoya Grampus 33 18 6 9 44 28 16 11 3 2 27 12 17 7 3 7 17 16 16 60
4 Cerezo Osaka 33 18 5 10 45 36 17 8 4 5 20 13 16 10 1 5 25 23 9 59
5 Kashima Antlers 33 18 4 11 54 43 16 8 4 4 26 21 17 10 0 7 28 22 11 58
6 Tokyo 33 16 6 11 46 42 16 9 0 7 22 22 17 7 6 4 24 20 4 54
7 Kashiwa Reysol 33 15 7 11 58 43 16 5 4 7 28 27 17 10 3 4 30 16 15 52
8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 33 13 9 11 46 36 17 7 5 5 29 20 16 6 4 6 17 16 10 48
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 33 14 5 14 68 56 17 9 2 6 42 26 16 5 3 8 26 30 12 47
10 Urawa Reds 33 13 7 13 43 54 16 5 4 7 18 20 17 8 3 6 25 34 -11 46
11 Oita Trinita 33 11 9 13 34 43 17 5 5 7 12 19 16 6 4 6 22 24 -9 42
12 Vissel Kobe 33 9 9 15 50 58 17 4 5 8 25 30 16 5 4 7 25 28 -8 36
13 Consadole Sapporo 33 9 9 15 45 58 17 5 5 7 27 29 16 4 4 8 18 29 -13 36
14 Sagan Tosu 33 7 14 12 35 41 16 3 6 7 15 18 17 4 8 5 20 23 -6 35
15 Yokohama 33 8 6 19 35 59 16 5 2 9 19 31 17 3 4 10 16 28 -24 30
16 Vegalta Sendai 33 6 9 18 36 61 16 0 6 10 14 32 17 6 3 8 22 29 -25 27
17 Shonan Bellmare 33 6 8 19 29 48 17 4 4 9 12 19 16 2 4 10 17 29 -19 26
18 Shimizu S-Pulse 33 6 7 20 46 70 17 4 3 10 32 35 16 2 4 10 14 35 -24 25

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 33 25 5 3 85 29 17 15 1 1 48 15 16 10 4 2 37 14 56 80
2 Gamba Osaka 33 20 5 8 46 40 16 8 2 6 19 21 17 12 3 2 27 19 6 65
3 Nagoya Grampus 33 18 6 9 44 28 16 11 3 2 27 12 17 7 3 7 17 16 16 60
4 Cerezo Osaka 33 18 5 10 45 36 17 8 4 5 20 13 16 10 1 5 25 23 9 59
5 Kashima Antlers 33 18 4 11 54 43 16 8 4 4 26 21 17 10 0 7 28 22 11 58
6 Tokyo 33 16 6 11 46 42 16 9 0 7 22 22 17 7 6 4 24 20 4 54
7 Kashiwa Reysol 33 15 7 11 58 43 16 5 4 7 28 27 17 10 3 4 30 16 15 52
8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 33 13 9 11 46 36 17 7 5 5 29 20 16 6 4 6 17 16 10 48
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 33 14 5 14 68 56 17 9 2 6 42 26 16 5 3 8 26 30 12 47
10 Urawa Reds 33 13 7 13 43 54 16 5 4 7 18 20 17 8 3 6 25 34 -11 46
11 Oita Trinita 33 11 9 13 34 43 17 5 5 7 12 19 16 6 4 6 22 24 -9 42
12 Vissel Kobe 33 9 9 15 50 58 17 4 5 8 25 30 16 5 4 7 25 28 -8 36
13 Consadole Sapporo 33 9 9 15 45 58 17 5 5 7 27 29 16 4 4 8 18 29 -13 36
14 Sagan Tosu 33 7 14 12 35 41 16 3 6 7 15 18 17 4 8 5 20 23 -6 35
15 Yokohama 33 8 6 19 35 59 16 5 2 9 19 31 17 3 4 10 16 28 -24 30
16 Vegalta Sendai 33 6 9 18 36 61 16 0 6 10 14 32 17 6 3 8 22 29 -25 27
17 Shonan Bellmare 33 6 8 19 29 48 17 4 4 9 12 19 16 2 4 10 17 29 -19 26
18 Shimizu S-Pulse 33 6 7 20 46 70 17 4 3 10 32 35 16 2 4 10 14 35 -24 25

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