Home advantage could prove decisive in Nagoya Grampus - Tokushima Vortis battle

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Fri 10.September
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium (27000 seats)

Nagoya Grampus are enjoying their stay in the top table places while Tokushima Vortis are more nervous about avoiding relegation. Who wins the prize?

Insights:
  • Nagoya Grampus have the most clean sheets (17) in J-League
  • Tokushima Vortis have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Nagoya Grampus form and stats

Overall J-League results at home this season for Nagoya Grampus, who have the most clean sheets (17) in J-League, are 7-2-4 (wins-draws-losses).

Grampus enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Kashima Antlers's place. The match ended 2-0 with J. Świerczok and S. Inagaki scoring.

Before that game, the 2-0 home victory against Kashima Antlers.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Nagoya Grampus handle that role? We have found twelve games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are six wins, four draws and two defeats.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Grampus, as the AFC Champions League home game vs Daegu is only four days away.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Grampus here at Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (12 from 13 games). From these home matches, Nagoya Grampus have conceded only 10 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Tokushima Vortis form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Tokushima Vortis so far with only 10 points returning home. The records show 3-1-9 (win-draw-lose). It's looking increasingly bleak for Tokushima Vortis who now has to deal with a four game losing streak. Gamba Osaka was the last time a defeat was avoided.

K. Nishiya was the last player to score for the away team. Tokushima haven't scored a league goal in the last 405 minutes.

Tokushima are travelling again after losing away to Avispa Fukuoka in their previous match (0-3). Shota Fukuoka was the top performer of the team in that game with a match score of 7.45. The defender Fukuoka hit one key pass and won 6 of 13 duels.

A loss against Kashiwa Reysol was the result prior to that, in a home game.

We have checked recent matches where Tokushima have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those three games were one victory, zero draws and two defeats.

The attacking power of Tokushima when travelling is not overwhelming with 9 goals scored from 13 league matches away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. In the opposite end, Tokushima have conceded 22 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

Nagoya Grampus and Tokushima Vortis have met previously this season: Tokushima Vortis - Nagoya Grampus 0-0. H2H stats regardless of arena (last six matches): Nagoya Grampus two wins, three draws and Tokushima Vortis one victory. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Nagoya GrampusS. Inagaki
S. Inagaki
7 goals
GrampusM. dos Santos Castro
M. dos Santos Castro
6 goals
Tokushima VortisT. Miyashiro
T. Miyashiro
6 goals

Nagoya Grampus missing players

Tokushima Vortis missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Nagoya Grampus Tokushima Vortis
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
27 13 4 Played P 4 13 27
14 7 2 Won W 0 3 6
5 2 1 Drew D 0 1 5
8 4 1 Lost L 4 9 16
28 12 5 Scored S 0 9 20
21 10 2 Conceded C 8 22 37
85% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
52% 46% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 69% 59%
30% 23% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 46% 41%
11% 8% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 8% 7%
4% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 4%
19% 15% 25% BTTS BTTS 0% 31% 41%
63% 62% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 15% 15%
33% 31% 25% Failed to Score F T 100% 54% 48%
 
4.1 4.4 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.2 3.9
4.2 4.3 2.8 Corners against (avg) C A 4.8 4.3 4.3
0.9 1 0.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 0.7 1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
8.1 8 12.5 Shots (avg) S ( 4 7 8.1
3.9 3.7 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.2 2.4 2.7
27% 25% 21% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 29% 27%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Nagoya Grampus have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (9) in J-League
  • Nagoya Grampus have the fewest points from losing position (0) in J-League
  • Nagoya Grampus have the most clean sheets (17) in J-League
  • Tokushima Vortis have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Tokushima Vortis have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Tokushima Vortis have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Tokushima Vortis haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 27 20 6 1 58 17 13 11 2 0 27 10 14 9 4 1 31 7 41 66
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 27 19 5 3 60 23 15 11 3 1 35 9 12 8 2 2 25 14 37 62
3 Vissel Kobe 27 13 9 5 41 26 13 6 4 3 19 9 14 7 5 2 22 17 15 48
4 Kashima Antlers 27 14 5 8 46 25 12 7 3 2 25 12 15 7 2 6 21 13 21 47
5 Sagan Tosu 27 13 8 6 36 22 13 8 3 2 23 10 14 5 5 4 13 12 14 47
6 Nagoya Grampus 27 14 5 8 28 21 13 7 2 4 12 10 14 7 3 4 16 11 7 47
7 Urawa Reds 27 13 6 8 29 26 14 9 3 2 18 13 13 4 3 6 11 13 3 45
8 Tokyo 27 12 6 9 36 35 11 6 1 4 19 18 16 6 5 5 17 17 1 42
9 Avispa Fukuoka 27 11 6 10 30 30 14 8 1 5 18 13 13 3 5 5 12 17 0 39
10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 27 8 12 7 31 27 14 4 6 4 15 13 13 4 6 3 16 14 4 36
11 Consadole Sapporo 26 10 6 10 33 36 14 7 2 5 23 20 12 3 4 5 10 16 -3 36
12 Cerezo Osaka 26 8 9 9 35 35 14 6 5 3 20 18 12 2 4 6 15 17 0 33
13 Gamba Osaka 27 8 6 13 19 27 13 3 3 7 10 16 14 5 3 6 9 11 -8 30
14 Kashiwa Reysol 27 9 3 15 28 37 14 5 1 8 17 22 13 4 2 7 11 15 -9 30
15 Shonan Bellmare 27 5 11 11 28 31 14 2 8 4 10 11 13 3 3 7 18 20 -3 26
16 Shimizu S-Pulse 27 5 11 11 26 39 13 2 5 6 10 21 14 3 6 5 16 18 -13 26
17 Tokushima Vortis 27 6 5 16 20 37 14 3 4 7 11 15 13 3 1 9 9 22 -17 23
18 Vegalta Sendai 27 3 10 14 19 44 14 2 5 7 9 18 13 1 5 7 10 26 -25 19
19 Yokohama 27 4 6 17 21 57 13 3 4 6 14 21 14 1 2 11 7 36 -36 18
20 Oita Trinita 27 4 5 18 18 47 14 3 5 6 10 18 13 1 0 12 8 29 -29 17

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 27 20 6 1 58 17 13 11 2 0 27 10 14 9 4 1 31 7 41 66
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 27 19 5 3 60 23 15 11 3 1 35 9 12 8 2 2 25 14 37 62
3 Vissel Kobe 27 13 9 5 41 26 13 6 4 3 19 9 14 7 5 2 22 17 15 48
4 Kashima Antlers 27 14 5 8 46 25 12 7 3 2 25 12 15 7 2 6 21 13 21 47
5 Sagan Tosu 27 13 8 6 36 22 13 8 3 2 23 10 14 5 5 4 13 12 14 47
6 Nagoya Grampus 27 14 5 8 28 21 13 7 2 4 12 10 14 7 3 4 16 11 7 47
7 Urawa Reds 27 13 6 8 29 26 14 9 3 2 18 13 13 4 3 6 11 13 3 45
8 Tokyo 27 12 6 9 36 35 11 6 1 4 19 18 16 6 5 5 17 17 1 42
9 Avispa Fukuoka 27 11 6 10 30 30 14 8 1 5 18 13 13 3 5 5 12 17 0 39
10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 27 8 12 7 31 27 14 4 6 4 15 13 13 4 6 3 16 14 4 36
11 Consadole Sapporo 26 10 6 10 33 36 14 7 2 5 23 20 12 3 4 5 10 16 -3 36
12 Cerezo Osaka 26 8 9 9 35 35 14 6 5 3 20 18 12 2 4 6 15 17 0 33
13 Gamba Osaka 27 8 6 13 19 27 13 3 3 7 10 16 14 5 3 6 9 11 -8 30
14 Kashiwa Reysol 27 9 3 15 28 37 14 5 1 8 17 22 13 4 2 7 11 15 -9 30
15 Shonan Bellmare 27 5 11 11 28 31 14 2 8 4 10 11 13 3 3 7 18 20 -3 26
16 Shimizu S-Pulse 27 5 11 11 26 39 13 2 5 6 10 21 14 3 6 5 16 18 -13 26
17 Tokushima Vortis 27 6 5 16 20 37 14 3 4 7 11 15 13 3 1 9 9 22 -17 23
18 Vegalta Sendai 27 3 10 14 19 44 14 2 5 7 9 18 13 1 5 7 10 26 -25 19
19 Yokohama 27 4 6 17 21 57 13 3 4 6 14 21 14 1 2 11 7 36 -36 18
20 Oita Trinita 27 4 5 18 18 47 14 3 5 6 10 18 13 1 0 12 8 29 -29 17

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