J-League preview: Can Nagoya Grampus edge out victory against Shimizu S-Pulse?

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sun 29.August
Match begins: 09:00 (UTC)
Venue: Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium (27000 seats)

The league table in J-League tells a story about these teams so far, with Nagoya Grampus leading Shimizu S-Pulse by 21 points. Match preview to follow:

Insights:
  • Nagoya Grampus have the most clean sheets (17) in J-League
  • Shimizu S-Pulse have won significantly less corners away then at home.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Grampus and Shimizu S-Pulse.

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Nagoya Grampus form and stats

All-inclusive J-League stats at home this season for Nagoya Grampus, who have the most clean sheets (17) in J-League, are 7-1-4 (wins-draws-losses). Two home wins in a row for Grampus bring valid hopes of a third.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Mitchell James Langerak not having conceded a league goal in 327 minutes.

Nagoya Grampus are returning here after visiting Consadole Sapporo in a J-League game and winning with a 2-0 scoreline. Sho Inagaki (2) scored the goal(s). Sho Inagaki (midfield was the top team player in that game with a rating of 8.65/10. Inagaki scored two goals.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Avispa Fukuoka in a game that was won 1-0.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Grampus's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played five games, won two matches, drawn one and lost two.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Nabisco Cup game versus Kashima Antlers in only three days. This game is also played here at Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Grampus here at Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (11 from 12 games). Grampus are not conceding a lot of goals here at Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 9 from 12 matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Shimizu S-Pulse form and stats

3-5-5 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Shimizu S-Pulse in their J-League matches away. It's three draws from Shimizu's last three away games, a decent catch but one that could be so much better.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a J-League home defeat versus Kashima Antlers with 0-4 on the scoreboard. Shuichi Gonda was the team player of the game with the player rating of 7.4. The agile goalkeeper Gonda stopped the opponent with seven saves. Shimizu S-Pulse lost the plot completely in their previous game, as mentioned above. They need to recover quickly from that 0-4 beating and focus on this one. It's a bit worrying for Shimizu that their goalkeeper Shuichi Gonda made seven saves in the Kashima Antlers game last time out, but still couldn't prevent the loss.

A 1-1 draw at Shonan Bellmare's stadium before that.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Shimizu when being an outsider away as they are today, we find two matches with the visitors losing zero times, drawing zero and winning two games.

Shimizu S-Pulse are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 15 away goals from 13 games (in the league). As opposed to that, Shimizu have seen the ball go into their own net 17 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

This isn't the first time these parties face each other this campaign, as the results database show this recent match: Shimizu S-Pulse - Grampus 0-3. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: five - one - four (Grampus wins - draws - Shimizu S-Pulse wins). As for goals, nine matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), one had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

GrampusS. Inagaki
S. Inagaki
7 goals
Shimizu S-PulseT. Santos Santana
T. Santos Santana
7 goals
Nagoya GrampusM. dos Santos Castro
M. dos Santos Castro
6 goals

Nagoya Grampus missing players

Shimizu S-Pulse missing players

Nagoya Grampus Shimizu S-Pulse
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
26 12 3 Played P 3 13 26
14 7 2 Won W 1 3 5
4 1 0 Drew D 1 5 10
8 4 1 Lost L 1 5 11
27 11 4 Scored S 5 15 25
20 9 1 Conceded C 4 17 38
85% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 92%
50% 42% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 77% 77%
31% 25% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 46% 46%
12% 8% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 23% 23%
4% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 4%
15% 8% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 69% 50%
65% 67% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 8% 15%
35% 33% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 31% 42%
 
4.1 4.3 4.7 Corners for (avg) C F 2 3.1 4.2
4.3 4.5 3 Corners against (avg) C A 5.3 6 5.5
0.9 1.1 0.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0.4 0.7
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
7.9 7.5 12 Shots (avg) S ( 7.7 9 9.5
3.8 3.5 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.7 3.5 3.6
28% 26% 22% Goal Efficiency G E 62% 33% 27%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Nagoya Grampus have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (8) in J-League
  • Nagoya Grampus have the fewest points from losing position (0) in J-League
  • Nagoya Grampus have the most clean sheets (17) in J-League
  • Shimizu S-Pulse have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 26 19 6 1 56 17 13 11 2 0 27 10 13 8 4 1 29 7 39 63
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 26 19 5 2 60 21 14 11 3 0 35 7 12 8 2 2 25 14 39 62
3 Vissel Kobe 25 13 8 4 40 24 12 6 4 2 19 8 13 7 4 2 21 16 16 47
4 Nagoya Grampus 26 14 4 8 27 20 12 7 1 4 11 9 14 7 3 4 16 11 7 46
5 Kashima Antlers 26 13 5 8 44 25 12 7 3 2 25 12 14 6 2 6 19 13 19 44
6 Sagan Tosu 26 12 8 6 35 22 13 8 3 2 23 10 13 4 5 4 12 12 13 44
7 Urawa Reds 26 13 5 8 29 26 14 9 3 2 18 13 12 4 2 6 11 13 3 44
8 Tokyo 26 11 6 9 35 35 11 6 1 4 19 18 15 5 5 5 16 17 0 39
9 Consadole Sapporo 25 10 6 9 33 34 13 7 2 4 23 18 12 3 4 5 10 16 -1 36
10 Avispa Fukuoka 26 10 6 10 27 30 13 7 1 5 15 13 13 3 5 5 12 17 -3 36
11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 25 7 11 7 26 25 12 3 5 4 10 11 13 4 6 3 16 14 1 32
12 Cerezo Osaka 25 7 9 9 34 35 14 6 5 3 20 18 11 1 4 6 14 17 -1 30
13 Gamba Osaka 26 8 6 12 19 26 12 3 3 6 10 15 14 5 3 6 9 11 -7 30
14 Kashiwa Reysol 26 8 3 15 26 36 13 4 1 8 15 21 13 4 2 7 11 15 -10 27
15 Shonan Bellmare 26 5 10 11 28 31 13 2 7 4 10 11 13 3 3 7 18 20 -3 25
16 Shimizu S-Pulse 26 5 10 11 25 38 13 2 5 6 10 21 13 3 5 5 15 17 -13 25
17 Tokushima Vortis 26 6 5 15 20 34 14 3 4 7 11 15 12 3 1 8 9 19 -14 23
18 Vegalta Sendai 26 3 10 13 19 43 13 2 5 6 9 17 13 1 5 7 10 26 -24 19
19 Yokohama 26 4 6 16 20 55 13 3 4 6 14 21 13 1 2 10 6 34 -35 18
20 Oita Trinita 26 4 5 17 17 43 14 3 5 6 10 18 12 1 0 11 7 25 -26 17