Betting preview: Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka should be interesting

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 14.May
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)

J-League: Nagoya Grampus are 6 points after Cerezo Osaka, but intend to go full throttle. Let's go!

Insights:
  • All of Nagoya Grampus's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Cerezo Osaka have the most matches over the total-line (4) in J-League

Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Nagoya Grampus form and stats

The J-League stats at home this season for Nagoya Grampus are 2-3-1 (wins-draws-losses).

In their previous game, the manager Hasegawa led his Nagoya Grampus to a defeat away at Yokohama F. Marinos. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here. Mateus, who plays in attack, was the declared top player for the team in that fixture, earning a rating of 7.53 (out of 10). Mateus hit the woodwork once, served one assist, hit three key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 1-1 versus Kyoto Sanga.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Grampus have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 15 matches with the results: Won ten, drawn three and lost two.

There will be little rest for Nagoya Grampus after this match as they are travelling to Tokushima Vortis for a Nabisco Cup game in only four days.

Grampus are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 7 goals in 6 games.

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Cerezo Osaka form and stats

The away team have been very comfortable on their travels so far, racking up 3 wins, 3 draws and only 0 losses in the J-League. Cerezo Osaka has drawn their two previous away games.

Cerezo Osaka are travelling after their nice 2-1 home win in the match against Jubilo Iwata (placed 15th). Midfielder Maikuma was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 8.22. Maikuma scored two goals, hit one key pass and had 25 successful passes (of 30 total).

Before that, Cerezo Osaka travelled to Sagan Tosu and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Cerezo playing away and similar expectations, we found eleven relevant matches. Results were two Cerezo Osaka wins, three draws and six defeats.

The schedule is very tough for Cerezo Osaka now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Nabisco Cup game at Oita Trinita is waiting in only four days.

Cerezo Osaka has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 11 goals from 6 games. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (5 so far).

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's five Grampus victories, one draw and four Cerezo Osaka wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Nagoya GrampusM. dos Santos Castro
M. dos Santos Castro
3 goals
Cerezo OsakaT. Inui
T. Inui
3 goals
Cerezo OsakaH. Yamada
H. Yamada
3 goals

Nagoya Grampus missing players

Cerezo Osaka missing players

Nagoya Grampus Cerezo Osaka
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
12 6 3 Played P 2 6 12
2 2 0 Won W 2 3 4
5 3 2 Drew D 0 3 5
5 1 1 Lost L 0 0 3
10 7 2 Scored S 4 11 16
14 6 4 Conceded C 1 5 14
83% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 92%
75% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 67% 67%
33% 17% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 50%
8% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 50% 33%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 8%
58% 67% 67% BTTS BTTS 50% 67% 58%
25% 17% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 33% 17%
33% 17% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 17% 33%
 
6.7 6.8 9.3 Corners for (avg) C F 2 3.5 5
5.8 6.3 5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 5.7 4.3
1 1.5 1.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 1 1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
9.8 10.3 10 Shots (avg) S ( 13 12.2 11.3
3.8 4 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 4.5 4.4
22% 29% 17% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 41% 30%
 
9 7.5 5.7 Shots against (avg) S A 12.5 14.7 11.8
4 3.3 2.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 5.3 4.8
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • All of Nagoya Grampus's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Cerezo Osaka have not yet lost a game away.
  • Cerezo Osaka have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded away.
  • Cerezo Osaka have the most matches over the total-line (4) in J-League
  • Cerezo Osaka have the the best goal difference (+6) away in J-League
  • Cerezo Osaka have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Nagoya Grampus haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kashima Antlers 12 8 1 3 17 12 7 4 1 2 8 8 5 4 0 1 9 4 5 25
2 Kawasaki Frontale 11 7 2 2 17 12 5 4 0 1 6 5 6 3 2 1 11 7 5 23
3 Yokohama F. Marinos 11 6 3 2 19 12 7 5 2 0 14 6 4 1 1 2 5 6 7 21
4 Kashiwa Reysol 11 6 1 4 13 11 5 3 0 2 7 7 6 3 1 2 6 4 2 19
5 Tokyo 11 5 3 3 11 10 5 3 2 0 7 2 6 2 1 3 4 8 1 18
6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 4 5 3 15 12 7 3 2 2 8 5 5 1 3 1 7 7 3 17
7 Cerezo Osaka 12 4 5 3 16 14 6 1 2 3 5 9 6 3 3 0 11 5 2 17
8 Consadole Sapporo 12 3 8 1 10 11 6 2 4 0 5 3 6 1 4 1 5 8 -1 17
9 Sagan Tosu 11 3 7 1 14 7 5 2 3 0 8 2 6 1 4 1 6 5 7 16
10 Kyoto Sanga 12 4 4 4 14 13 6 2 1 3 6 8 6 2 3 1 8 5 1 16
11 Avispa Fukuoka 12 3 6 3 10 7 7 1 5 1 6 3 5 2 1 2 4 4 3 15
12 Gamba Osaka 12 3 5 4 14 15 7 2 2 3 10 10 5 1 3 1 4 5 -1 14
13 Shimizu S-Pulse 12 2 6 4 13 16 6 0 4 2 5 9 6 2 2 2 8 7 -3 12
14 Nagoya Grampus 12 2 5 5 10 14 6 2 3 1 7 6 6 0 2 4 3 8 -4 11
15 Jubilo Iwata 12 2 5 5 15 20 5 1 3 1 7 7 7 1 2 4 8 13 -5 11
16 Urawa Reds 10 2 4 4 11 10 5 2 2 1 9 5 5 0 2 3 2 5 1 10
17 Shonan Bellmare 12 1 4 7 6 16 5 0 2 3 2 8 7 1 2 4 4 8 -10 7
18 Vissel Kobe 11 0 4 7 5 18 4 0 1 3 1 6 7 0 3 4 4 12 -13 4