J-League fixture prognosis and statistics for the Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu encounter

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sun 08.May
Match begins: 06:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ajinomoto Stadium (50100 seats)

Tokyo and Sagan Tosu are both high-flying in the J-League with their 5th and 6th spots respectively. This could be a top fixture!

Insights:
  • Tokyo have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Sagan Tosu have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It's quite the trip for Sagan Tosu when visiting Tokyo as the cities are 1000 kilometers apart.

Tokyo and Sagan Tosu should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Tokyo form and stats

When playing at home in the J-League, Tokyo have managed 3 wins, 2 draws and suffered 0 defeats from 5 games.

Tokyo lost their last game at Avispa Fukuoka (placed 8th) after a 1-5 scoreline. As you see from the result above, Tokyo suffered greatly in their last game. Thankfully the team has a new chance to prove themselves in this one. Midfield player Matsuki got a match rating of 7.35 in that game, the max score being 10. Matsuki scored one goal.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Gamba Osaka in a game that was won 2-0.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Tokyo have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won seven, drawn zero and lost four.

The Tokyo fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 7 in 5 matches. As for guarding their own goal, Tokyo have only let in 2 goals at home.

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Sagan Tosu form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their J-League travels is 1 win, 4 draws and 1 defeat.

Sagan Tosu's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Cerezo Osaka that finished 1-1. As mentioned above, Sagan Tosu drew the match against Cerezo Osaka. Manager Kawai brought on Fujita to rescue the draw from a losing position and it worked. Midfield player Koizumi was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.45/10. Koizumi dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times and had 55 successful passes (of 60 total).

Preceding that game was the away victory against Kashiwa Reysol with the score of 4-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Sagan Tosu playing away and similar expectations, we found eleven relevant matches. Results were two Sagan Tosu wins, three draws and six defeats.

They concede less than a goal on average per away game (5 so far).

Head 2 Head

Head to head numbers (for the prior ten meetings): Tokyo won three games, two matches ended with a draw and Sagan Tosu managed five wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / six

Top Goalscorers

TokyoA. dos Santos da Silva
A. dos Santos da Silva
3 goals
Sagan TosuY. Kakita
Y. Kakita
3 goals
TokyoM. Morishige
M. Morishige
2 goals

Tokyo missing players

Sagan Tosu missing players

Tokyo Sagan Tosu
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
11 5 0 Played P 2 6 11
5 3 0 Won W 1 1 3
3 2 0 Drew D 1 4 7
3 0 0 Lost L 0 1 1
11 7 0 Scored S 4 6 14
10 2 0 Conceded C 1 5 7
73% 60% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 50% 64%
45% 60% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 50% 55%
36% 40% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 33% 27%
18% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 33% 27%
9% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 17% 18%
36% 40% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 45%
55% 60% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 50% 55%
36% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 50% 36%
 
5.6 4.8 0 Corners for (avg) C F 6 5.2 5.4
5.7 5.6 0 Corners against (avg) C A 3 4.2 3.6
1.5 0.8 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.2 0.9
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
8.8 10.4 0 Shots (avg) S ( 9 6.5 9
4.1 4.8 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.7 3.1
24% 29% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 80% 38% 41%
 
11.1 11.4 0 Shots against (avg) S A 9.5 9 8.6
4.2 3.8 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3 3.8 3.2
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Sagan Tosu have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Tokyo have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Tokyo have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Tokyo have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kashima Antlers 11 8 1 2 17 9 7 4 1 2 8 8 4 4 0 0 9 1 8 25
2 Kawasaki Frontale 10 6 2 2 15 12 5 4 0 1 6 5 5 2 2 1 9 7 3 20
3 Kashiwa Reysol 11 6 1 4 13 11 5 3 0 2 7 7 6 3 1 2 6 4 2 19
4 Yokohama F. Marinos 10 5 3 2 17 11 6 4 2 0 12 5 4 1 1 2 5 6 6 18
5 Tokyo 11 5 3 3 11 10 5 3 2 0 7 2 6 2 1 3 4 8 1 18
6 Sagan Tosu 11 3 7 1 14 7 5 2 3 0 8 2 6 1 4 1 6 5 7 16
7 Kyoto Sanga 11 4 4 3 14 12 6 2 1 3 6 8 5 2 3 0 8 4 2 16
8 Avispa Fukuoka 11 3 5 3 10 7 6 1 4 1 6 3 5 2 1 2 4 4 3 14
9 Cerezo Osaka 11 3 5 3 14 13 5 0 2 3 3 8 6 3 3 0 11 5 1 14
10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 11 3 5 3 12 12 6 2 2 2 5 5 5 1 3 1 7 7 0 14
11 Consadole Sapporo 10 2 7 1 9 11 5 1 4 0 4 3 5 1 3 1 5 8 -2 13
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 11 2 6 3 13 14 5 0 4 1 5 7 6 2 2 2 8 7 -1 12
13 Nagoya Grampus 11 2 5 4 9 12 6 2 3 1 7 6 5 0 2 3 2 6 -3 11
14 Júbilo Iwata 11 2 5 4 14 18 5 1 3 1 7 7 6 1 2 3 7 11 -4 11
15 Urawa Reds 10 2 4 4 11 10 5 2 2 1 9 5 5 0 2 3 2 5 1 10
16 Gamba Osaka 10 2 4 4 12 15 5 1 1 3 8 10 5 1 3 1 4 5 -3 10
17 Shonan Bellmare 11 1 3 7 6 16 5 0 2 3 2 8 6 1 1 4 4 8 -10 6
18 Vissel Kobe 10 0 4 6 5 16 4 0 1 3 1 6 6 0 3 3 4 10 -11 4