Serie B prediction and preview: Spezia modest favorites to beat Ascoli

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Competition: Italy Serie B
Competition: Sat 15.February
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco (10336 seats)

Spezia perform at a high level so far being 2nd in the table. Ascoli can look both up and down from their 13th position.

It's no vacation for neither Spezia nor Ascoli as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups. It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only zero days ago in the Serie B.

Spezia's stadium, Stadio Alberto Picco, has a artifical turf surface. Ascoli have grass on their own stadium. This might or might not make a difference, and to help evaluate that we give you the recent performance numbers for Ascoli when playing on artifical turf; 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from eight matches. They have scored 12 goals in these games and conceded 9.

L W W W W

Spezia form and stats

Spezia have collected 21 points from their Serie B home games so far after 6-3-3.

The Spezia fans got no joy from their last match, a Serie B game also here at Stadio Alberto Picco: A 0-1 defeat against Ascoli (placed 13th). Before that game, the 3-2 home victory against Cremonese.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Spezia have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 19 games) they have won eleven times, drawn three and lost five.

The Spezia fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 18 goals in 12 league matches. Spezia have conceded 13 in these home matches.

W D W L L

Ascoli form and stats

Ascoli have only collected 8 points from their away games in the Serie B, after 2-2-8 (12 played). Winning streaks in away matches are not that common, but Ascoli are close to a proper streak after winning their two previous away games.

Ascoli play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 1-0 victory visiting Spezia (placed 2nd). A 2-2 draw was the result before that, hosting Juve Stabia.

Ascoli are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is three wins, five draws and eight defeats. From a total of 16 matches.

Ascoli find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 15 goals from 12 away fixtures in the league. Ascoli have conceded 22 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Ascoli - Spezia 3-0. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four Spezia victories, two draws and four Ascoli wins. Over/under statistics; seven of these games ended with three goals or more, three matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

SpeziaA. Ragusa
A. Ragusa
7 goals
AscoliG. Scamacca
G. Scamacca
7 goals
AscoliN. Ninković
N. Ninković
5 goals

Spezia missing players

Ascoli missing players

Spezia Ascoli
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
24 13 4 Played P 4 13 24
10 6 2 Won W 0 3 10
7 3 2 Drew D 1 2 4
7 4 0 Lost L 3 8 10
32 18 5 Scored S 3 16 34
25 14 2 Conceded C 10 22 32
88% 92% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
71% 69% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 85% 79%
46% 38% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 62% 54%
17% 23% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 31% 29%
12% 15% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 8%
46% 46% 25% BTTS BTTS 75% 62% 54%
38% 38% 75% Clean Sheets C S 0% 15% 25%
29% 23% 25% Failed to Score F T 25% 23% 21%
 
4.4 4.4 4.2 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 4.5 4.3
4.8 4.1 5.8 Corners against (avg) C A 5.2 4.8 4.7
2.5 1.9 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.8 2.7 2.7
5 1 1 Red cards R C 1 4 6
 
295 172 50 Total Shots T S 46 162 279
84 54 15 Shots on Target S O 19 65 111
38% 33% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 16% 25% 31%
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • Ascoli have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Ascoli haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Benevento 24 17 6 1 41 13 13 10 3 0 27 5 11 7 3 1 14 8 28 57
2 Spezia 23 10 7 6 32 24 12 6 3 3 18 13 11 4 4 3 14 11 8 37
3 Frosinone 23 10 7 6 27 19 11 7 3 1 20 7 12 3 4 5 7 12 8 37
4 Crotone 24 11 4 9 37 30 12 7 3 2 21 11 12 4 1 7 16 19 7 37
5 Salernitana 23 10 6 7 33 28 11 6 4 1 19 11 12 4 2 6 14 17 5 36
6 Cittadella 24 10 6 8 30 29 12 4 3 5 15 19 12 6 3 3 15 10 1 36
7 Pordenone 24 10 6 8 32 32 12 8 3 1 18 7 12 2 3 7 14 25 0 36
8 Virtus Entella 24 9 8 7 30 26 11 6 4 1 12 5 13 3 4 6 18 21 4 35
9 Perugia 23 9 6 8 27 31 12 6 3 3 15 12 11 3 3 5 12 19 -4 33
10 Pescara 24 9 5 10 35 33 13 4 5 4 21 17 11 5 0 6 14 16 2 32
11 Juve Stabia 24 9 5 10 29 35 13 7 1 5 18 18 11 2 4 5 11 17 -6 32
12 Chievo 23 7 10 6 28 25 11 5 3 3 16 12 12 2 7 3 12 13 3 31
13 Ascoli 23 9 4 10 33 32 11 7 2 2 18 10 12 2 2 8 15 22 1 31
14 Pisa 23 7 9 7 31 30 12 4 5 3 17 15 11 3 4 4 14 15 1 30
15 Empoli 23 7 9 7 26 29 12 5 6 1 18 11 11 2 3 6 8 18 -3 30
16 Venezia 24 6 10 8 22 26 12 2 4 6 9 15 12 4 6 2 13 11 -4 28
17 Cosenza 24 5 8 11 27 28 11 2 4 5 9 11 13 3 4 6 18 17 -1 23
18 Cremonese 23 5 8 10 19 29 11 4 4 3 11 11 12 1 4 7 8 18 -10 23
19 Trapani 23 4 7 12 23 42 11 2 4 5 12 17 12 2 3 7 11 25 -19 19
20 Livorno 24 3 5 16 20 41 12 3 1 8 15 26 12 0 4 8 5 15 -21 14

Read more about Serie B

Serie B is the second highest division in Italian football. It usually has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other. The two top teams of the league table are automatically promoted, with a third following depending on standings and/or a playoff. Matches are usually played on Saturdays.