Serie B prediction and preview: Spezia modest favorites to beat Cremonese

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Competition: Italy Serie B
Competition: Tue 11.February
Match begins: 20:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco (10336 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Spezia fans are optimistic that the difference between 5th and Cremonese's 17th place in the table will show on the pitch.

It's no vacation for neither Spezia nor Cremonese as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

This pitch has artifical turf, which is not Cremonese's usual surface at their own ground. When playing on artifical turf Cremonese have performed like this: Played five matches resulting in 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats with the goal stats 2-6 (scored/conceded).

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Spezia form and stats

Spezia have collected 18 points from their Serie B home games so far after 5-3-3. Spezia haven’t lost a game in ten attempts regardless of arena, a great achievement. Their last loss was the fixture versus Pisa, 94 days ago.

Spezia are confident in defense, having played 223 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

Happy days for Spezia in their previous game, a Serie B match away at Perugia (placed 9th) that ended with a 3-0 victory. Before that, Spezia had a home game versus Pordenone which ended with a victory 1-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Spezia have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 19 games) they have won ten times, drawn four and lost five.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Spezia as they have a new game in only four days, a Serie B match thankfully also at home. Ascoli are visiting.

Spezia are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 15 goals in 11 games. Spezia's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 11 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Cremonese form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Cremonese so far with only 7 points returning home. The records show 1-4-6 (win-draw-lose). Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in ten away games in a row.

Cremonese play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 0-1 to Crotone (placed 2nd). A 3-4 loss hosting Pisa before that.

Cremonese are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, four draws and eight defeats. From a total of 14 matches.

The visitors have scored 6 goals from 11 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. As opposed to that, Cremonese have seen the ball go into their own net 15 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last six meetings: two - one - three (Spezia wins - draws - Cremonese wins). As for goals, one match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

SpeziaA. Ragusa
A. Ragusa
7 goals
SpeziaM. Ricci
M. Ricci
3 goals
SpeziaS. Bidaoui
S. Bidaoui
3 goals

Spezia missing players

Cremonese missing players

Spezia Cremonese
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 11 3 Played P 3 11 22
9 5 2 Won W 0 1 5
7 3 0 Drew D 0 4 8
6 3 1 Lost L 3 6 9
29 15 6 Scored S 0 6 17
22 11 4 Conceded C 4 15 26
86% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 91% 86%
73% 73% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 64% 59%
45% 36% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 18% 23%
14% 18% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 9% 9%
9% 9% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 9% 9%
45% 45% 33% BTTS BTTS 0% 45% 45%
41% 45% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 9% 23%
27% 18% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 55% 45%
 
4.3 4.2 5 Corners for (avg) C F 3.7 3.9 4.5
5.1 4.6 4 Corners against (avg) C A 5 5.2 4.9
2.5 1.9 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.9 2.7
5 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 5
 
261 138 45 Total Shots T S 35 141 305
74 44 14 Shots on Target S O 10 49 106
39% 34% 43% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 12% 16%
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • Cremonese has the fewest scored goals (17)
  • Cremonese has the fewest scored goals in the first half (8)
  • Cremonese have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Spezia have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Cremonese have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Benevento 23 16 6 1 39 12 12 9 3 0 25 4 11 7 3 1 14 8 27 54
2 Crotone 23 11 4 8 35 27 12 7 3 2 21 11 11 4 1 6 14 16 8 37
3 Frosinone 23 10 7 6 27 19 11 7 3 1 20 7 12 3 4 5 7 12 8 37
4 Salernitana 23 10 6 7 33 28 11 6 4 1 19 11 12 4 2 6 14 17 5 36
5 Pordenone 23 10 6 7 31 30 12 8 3 1 18 7 11 2 3 6 13 23 1 36
6 Spezia 22 9 7 6 29 22 11 5 3 3 15 11 11 4 4 3 14 11 7 34
7 Virtus Entella 23 9 7 7 28 24 11 6 4 1 12 5 12 3 3 6 16 19 4 34
8 Cittadella 23 9 6 8 28 28 12 4 3 5 15 19 11 5 3 3 13 9 0 33
9 Perugia 23 9 6 8 27 31 12 6 3 3 15 12 11 3 3 5 12 19 -4 33
10 Pescara 23 9 5 9 34 31 12 4 5 3 20 15 11 5 0 6 14 16 3 32
11 Chievo 23 7 10 6 28 25 11 5 3 3 16 12 12 2 7 3 12 13 3 31
12 Ascoli 23 9 4 10 33 32 11 7 2 2 18 10 12 2 2 8 15 22 1 31
13 Pisa 23 7 9 7 31 30 12 4 5 3 17 15 11 3 4 4 14 15 1 30
14 Empoli 23 7 9 7 26 29 12 5 6 1 18 11 11 2 3 6 8 18 -3 30
15 Juve Stabia 23 8 5 10 26 33 12 6 1 5 15 16 11 2 4 5 11 17 -7 29
16 Venezia 23 6 9 8 20 24 11 2 3 6 7 13 12 4 6 2 13 11 -4 27
17 Cremonese 22 5 8 9 17 26 11 4 4 3 11 11 11 1 4 6 6 15 -9 23
18 Cosenza 23 4 8 11 24 28 11 2 4 5 9 11 12 2 4 6 15 17 -4 20
19 Trapani 23 4 7 12 23 42 11 2 4 5 12 17 12 2 3 7 11 25 -19 19
20 Livorno 23 3 5 15 20 38 11 3 1 7 15 23 12 0 4 8 5 15 -18 14

Read more about Serie B

Serie B is the second highest division in Italian football. It usually has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other. The two top teams of the league table are automatically promoted, with a third following depending on standings and/or a playoff. Matches are usually played on Saturdays.