Serie A match prediction: Little separates Spezia and Parma in quality

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sat 27.February
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco (10336 seats)

Spezia are welcoming Parma for another important game after their 0-3 result against 14th-placed Fiorentina.

Insights:
  • Spezia has the most conceded goals in the second half (29) in Serie A
  • Parma has the fewest scored goals (17) in Serie A

Both teams have had enough rest since their last competitive action. Let's hope for an energetic game!

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Spezia form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Serie A this season. Spezia have only managed 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from their games here at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Spezia faced defeat in their previous match, away at Fiorentina (0-3). Previous to that game, a home match hosting Milan in a game that was won 2-0.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Spezia have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found six matches with the results: Won two, drawn three and lost one.

The manager V. Italiano will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Juventus in only three days.

The Spezia fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 12 in 11 matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 19 goals have been conceded. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Parma form and stats

There's been little loot from Parma's travels as they have only collected 6 points from 11 away games in the Serie A. Parma, who have the fewest scored goals (17) in Serie A, only have 1 win to counter their 7 defeats and 3 draws. Parma are desperate to end a 14-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Genoa fixture. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Parma have lost on their last two travels.

Parma's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Udinese that finished 2-2. Preceding that game, the 1-2 loss visiting Hellas Verona's place.

Drawing 2-2 against Udinese after 90 minutes last time out was very disappointing after leading the match 2-0. Their manager R. D'Aversa needs to evaluate why the team couldn't defend their result.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found three similar matches played by Parma in our archives, and the results are: one win for Parma, one draw and one defeat.

Parma have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 11 league away games 12 goals have been scored. For Parma, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Parma - Spezia 2-2 earlier this season. As for the last three games between these two teams, there's zero Spezia victories, two draws and one Parma win. Over/under statistics; one of these games ended with three goals or more, two matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

SpeziaM. N'Zola
M. N'Zola
9 goals
ParmaJ. Kucka
J. Kucka
5 goals
ParmaG. Kouassi
G. Kouassi
4 goals

Spezia missing players

Parma missing players

Spezia Parma
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
23 11 1 Played P 1 11 23
6 2 0 Won W 0 1 2
6 3 1 Drew D 0 3 8
11 6 0 Lost L 1 7 13
30 12 2 Scored S 1 12 17
41 19 2 Conceded C 2 25 45
91% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 87%
83% 73% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 83%
74% 64% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 82% 61%
35% 36% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 36% 30%
17% 18% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 18% 9%
61% 64% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 73% 43%
22% 18% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 17%
26% 27% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 27% 52%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
3.3 3.7 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 6 2.3 2.4
5 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
10 11.3 12 Shots (avg) S ( 14 7.3 9.6
3.4 3.3 2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6 2.4 2.8
38% 33% 100% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 46% 27%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • All of Parma's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Parma has the fewest clean sheets (0) away in Serie A
  • Parma has the fewest scored goals (17) in Serie A
  • Parma has the fewest scored goals in the second half (8) in Serie A
  • Parma have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Parma have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Parma have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Parma haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Spezia has the most conceded goals in the second half (29) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inter 23 16 5 2 57 24 11 9 1 1 32 14 12 7 4 1 25 10 33 53
2 Milan 23 15 4 4 45 28 12 6 3 3 24 18 11 9 1 1 21 10 17 49
3 Roma 23 13 5 5 47 35 12 9 3 0 31 13 11 4 2 5 16 22 12 44
4 Atalanta 23 12 7 4 53 31 12 6 3 3 30 18 11 6 4 1 23 13 22 43
5 Lazio 23 13 4 6 38 30 12 7 2 3 18 14 11 6 2 3 20 16 8 43
6 Juventus 21 12 6 3 41 19 10 7 2 1 20 8 11 5 4 2 21 11 22 42
7 Napoli 22 13 1 8 47 25 11 7 1 3 28 10 11 6 0 5 19 15 22 40
8 Sassuolo 23 9 8 6 37 34 11 3 5 3 15 15 12 6 3 3 22 19 3 35
9 Hellas Verona 23 9 7 7 30 26 11 6 2 3 17 11 12 3 5 4 13 15 4 34
10 Sampdoria 23 9 3 11 33 34 11 5 1 5 19 17 12 4 2 6 14 17 -1 30
11 Genoa 23 6 8 9 26 33 12 4 3 5 18 19 11 2 5 4 8 14 -7 26
12 Bologna 23 6 7 10 30 37 11 4 3 4 19 20 12 2 4 6 11 17 -7 25
13 Udinese 23 6 7 10 25 33 11 3 3 5 9 12 12 3 4 5 16 21 -8 25
14 Fiorentina 23 6 7 10 25 35 12 5 4 3 14 11 11 1 3 7 11 24 -10 25
15 Benevento 23 6 7 10 25 42 12 2 5 5 12 21 11 4 2 5 13 21 -17 25
16 Spezia 23 6 6 11 30 41 11 2 3 6 12 19 12 4 3 5 18 22 -11 24
17 Torino 23 3 11 9 33 41 11 0 7 4 14 19 12 3 4 5 19 22 -8 20
18 Cagliari 23 3 6 14 24 41 12 2 3 7 13 21 11 1 3 7 11 20 -17 15
19 Parma 23 2 8 13 17 45 12 1 5 6 5 20 11 1 3 7 12 25 -28 14
20 Crotone 22 3 3 16 23 52 11 3 1 7 14 22 11 0 2 9 9 30 -29 12

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.