Football betting preview: Napoli favourites when Parma visits

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sun 31.January
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio San Paolo, Napoli (60240 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Napoli fans are optimistic that the difference between 6th and Parma's 19th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Insights:
  • Napoli has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (6) in Serie A
  • Parma has the fewest scored goals (14) in Serie A

These are busy days for the home team, as they were in action only three days ago in the Coppa Italia. This match was also played here at Stadio San Paolo, Napoli. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Parma have had more rest.

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Napoli form and stats

Napoli, who have the the best goal difference (+15) at home in Serie A, have played 9 Serie A games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 5-1-3 (wins-draws-losses).

Napoli's previous game was a Coppa Italia match also played at home, ending 4-2 versus Spezia (placed 15th). The home side are looking to build on that result. Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Hellas Verona (1-3).

A goal frenzy last time out for Napoli, with a total of 6 goals in the match against Spezia. Fun stuff to watch!

Napoli are believed to win this game, given a winning chance of about 70% by the bookmakers. We have checked our records for their performance in similar circumstances and found ten matches and the win/draw/lost stats: Won four, drew two and lost four.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Atalanta are coming to town in three days.

Napoli are showing their attacking force in their league home games this season, scoring more than 2,5 goals per game on average (25 goals in 9 games). Napoli have conceded 10 in these home matches.

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Parma form and stats

Parma, who have the fewest scored goals (14) in Serie A, have only collected 6 points from their away games in the Serie A, after 1-3-5 (9 played). The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for Parma, who have now gone ten games without a victory. The Genoa game was their last win and it’s been a dry spell since.

The manager R. D'Aversa was unhappy after their last game, a Serie A match played at their home ground Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma). Parma suffered a 0-2 loss to Sampdoria (placed 10th). A 1-2 defeat away at Lazio before that.

Hitting the posts three times in the Sampdoria game proved expensive as Parma lost 0-2.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where Parma played away with similar odds. This revealed eleven games. The visitors overcame the odds to win one time, three were draws and the home team won as expected seven times.

Parma have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 9 league away games 11 goals have been scored. Parma have conceded 21 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Parma - Napoli 0-2 played earlier this season. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: five wins for Napoli, one draw and four wins for Parma. Over 2,5 goals: six times; under 2,5 goals: four games.

Top Goalscorers

NapoliH. Lozano Bahena
H. Lozano Bahena
9 goals
NapoliL. Insigne
L. Insigne
9 goals
NapoliP. Zieliński
P. Zieliński
4 goals

Napoli missing players

Parma missing players

Napoli Parma
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
18 9 3 Played P 4 9 19
11 5 1 Won W 0 1 2
1 1 1 Drew D 2 3 7
6 3 1 Lost L 2 5 10
41 25 8 Scored S 4 11 14
19 10 3 Conceded C 10 21 36
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 84%
89% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 79%
67% 78% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 89% 58%
44% 56% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 44% 32%
22% 33% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 22% 11%
50% 56% 67% BTTS BTTS 50% 78% 42%
33% 33% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 21%
17% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 22% 53%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.8 1.9 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 2.1 2.1
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
17.8 18.2 20.3 Shots (avg) S ( 3.5 6.9 9.2
6.3 7.7 8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.6 2.7
36% 36% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 48% 27%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • All of Napoli's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • All of Parma's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Napoli has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (6) in Serie A
  • Napoli has the the best goal difference (+15) at home in Serie A
  • Napoli have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Napoli have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Napoli have scored more than double the goals of Parma.
  • Napoli haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Parma has the fewest clean sheets (0) away in Serie A
  • Parma has the fewest scored goals (14) in Serie A
  • Parma has the fewest scored goals in the first half (6) in Serie A
  • Parma has the fewest scored goals in the second half (8) in Serie A
  • Parma has the the worst goal difference (-22) in Serie A
  • Parma have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Parma have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Parma have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Parma haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Milan 19 13 4 2 39 22 10 5 3 2 20 15 9 8 1 0 19 7 17 43
2 Inter 19 12 5 2 45 23 9 7 1 1 25 13 10 5 4 1 20 10 22 41
3 Roma 19 11 4 4 41 32 10 7 3 0 25 12 9 4 1 4 16 20 9 37
4 Atalanta 19 10 6 3 44 23 9 5 2 2 22 10 10 5 4 1 22 13 21 36
5 Juventus 18 10 6 2 37 18 9 6 2 1 18 8 9 4 4 1 19 10 19 36
6 Napoli 18 11 1 6 41 19 9 5 1 3 25 10 9 6 0 3 16 9 22 34
7 Lazio 19 10 4 5 32 26 10 5 2 3 16 14 9 5 2 2 16 12 6 34
8 Hellas Verona 19 8 6 5 25 18 10 5 2 3 15 10 9 3 4 2 10 8 7 30
9 Sassuolo 19 8 6 5 32 29 9 3 4 2 13 12 10 5 2 3 19 17 3 30
10 Sampdoria 19 8 2 9 30 29 9 4 1 4 17 14 10 4 1 5 13 15 1 26
11 Fiorentina 20 5 7 8 21 31 10 4 4 2 11 9 10 1 3 6 10 22 -10 22
12 Benevento 19 6 4 9 23 36 10 2 3 5 11 20 9 4 1 4 12 16 -13 22
13 Bologna 19 5 5 9 24 33 9 4 2 3 17 17 10 1 3 6 7 16 -9 20
14 Udinese 19 4 6 9 20 28 10 2 3 5 7 12 9 2 3 4 13 16 -8 18
15 Spezia 19 4 6 9 26 36 9 1 3 5 10 18 10 3 3 4 16 18 -10 18
16 Genoa 19 4 6 9 19 30 10 3 2 5 14 16 9 1 4 4 5 14 -11 18
17 Torino 20 2 9 9 29 38 10 0 6 4 14 19 10 2 3 5 15 19 -9 15
18 Cagliari 19 3 5 11 23 37 9 2 2 5 12 18 10 1 3 6 11 19 -14 14
19 Parma 19 2 7 10 14 36 10 1 4 5 3 15 9 1 3 5 11 21 -22 13
20 Crotone 19 3 3 13 22 43 9 3 1 5 13 17 10 0 2 8 9 26 -21 12

Napoli:
Parma:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.