Serie A prediction and guide: Inter small front runner to overwhelm Lazio

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sun 30.April
Match begins: 10:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (80018 seats)

A important game in Serie A as both sides are battling for the top spots. With Inter in 6th place and Lazio placed 2nd, this has all the looks of an exciting battle. Read on to find out more!

Insights:
  • Inter have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Lazio have the most clean sheets (18) in Serie A

These are full days for the hometeam, as they played only four days ago in the Coppa Italia. Thankfully the previous game, versus Juventus, was also a home game here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The away team is better rested.

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Inter form and stats

Inter have performed here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza this season with 11 wins from 16 Serie A matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 0 games and lost 5. Three consecutive losses here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza is hard to swallow for the home team. Both players, staff and the home crowd are desperate to get something from this match.

Inter's previous match was a Coppa Italia game also played at their own arena, finishing 1-0 versus Juventus. The home side are looking to continue in that form. Midfielder Barella was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.62 (out of ten) in that game. Barella served one assist, hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times and had 28 successful passes (of 32 total).

In the game before, an away victory in the Serie A match versus Empoli with a 3-0 scoreline.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Inter handle that role? We have found 8 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Inter as they are travelling to their away game against Hellas Verona in the Serie A. That match is three days after this one.

A decent goal production from Inter in their home games so far, with 27 goals from 16 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. From these home matches, Inter have conceded only 9 goals.

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Lazio form and stats

Lazio's travelling support has been rewarded for their time and money so far this season, having witnessed Lazio collect 31 points from their 15 away matches in the Serie A. 9 victories and 4 draws have created these points (and only 2 defeats). Lazio are enjoying a nice run from their away games now, having played seven in a row without losing.

Lazio failed to get anything from their last game, a home match vs Torino (placed 11th) that ended with defeat 0-1. Before that defeat this team had won at least one point from eight league fixtures in a row. Attacker Anderson got a player rating of 7.14 in the game. "Man of the match" Anderson hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times.

Before that one, a nice away victory 3-0 at Spezia.

Lazio are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. From a total of 8 matches.

Low-scoring game? 10 of this team's last 12 league fixtures have contained two goals or less.

After this away game Lazio return home for a Serie A game against Sassuolo. That game is only three sleeps after this.

Lazio are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 24 times in 15 away games so far. Lazio are tighter than a frog's bottom, as only {7 away goals} have been conceded so far. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The teams have met each other previously this season, with the final score Lazio - Inter 3-1 registered in the official records. Inter-Lazio H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Inter four wins, Lazio four wins, two draws. six of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

InterL. Martínez
L. Martínez
15 goals
LazioC. Immobile
C. Immobile
10 goals
LazioM. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
10 goals

Inter missing players

Lazio missing players

Inter Lazio
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
31 16 4 Played P 3 15 31
17 11 2 Won W 2 9 18
3 0 0 Drew D 0 4 7
11 5 2 Lost L 1 2 6
51 27 3 Scored S 2 24 49
34 9 3 Conceded C 3 7 21
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 87% 90%
68% 50% 25% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 73% 71%
55% 38% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 33% 42%
29% 19% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 13% 23%
13% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
48% 25% 25% BTTS BTTS 0% 20% 32%
32% 50% 50% Clean Sheets C S 67% 73% 58%
23% 25% 25% Failed to Score F T 33% 20% 19%
 
6 5.5 6 Corners for (avg) C F 3.7 4.3 4.5
3.6 4 2.2 Corners against (avg) C A 4.7 5.4 4.8
1.8 1.6 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.2 2.2
2 2 1 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
17 15.9 15.2 Shots (avg) S ( 6.7 10.2 11.1
5.3 4.8 3.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.7 3.8 4.2
31% 36% 21% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 42% 38%
 
10.9 9.2 8 Shots against (avg) S A 11.7 12.4 12.2
3.6 2.9 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.3 2.4 3.2
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Inter have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Inter haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Lazio have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Lazio have the fewest conceded goals (7) away in Serie A
  • Lazio have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (6) in Serie A
  • Lazio have the most clean sheets (11) away in Serie A
  • Lazio have the most clean sheets (18) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Napoli 31 25 3 3 67 21 15 11 2 2 33 13 16 14 1 1 34 8 46 78
2 Lazio 31 18 7 6 49 21 16 9 3 4 25 14 15 9 4 2 24 7 28 61
3 Juventus 31 18 5 8 47 26 16 11 3 2 34 13 15 7 2 6 13 13 21 59
4 Milan 31 16 8 7 51 37 15 10 3 2 30 17 16 6 5 5 21 20 14 56
5 Roma 31 17 5 9 43 29 15 10 1 4 23 9 16 7 4 5 20 20 14 56
6 Inter 31 17 3 11 51 34 16 11 0 5 27 9 15 6 3 6 24 25 17 54
7 Atalanta 31 15 7 9 51 36 15 7 3 5 27 19 16 8 4 4 24 17 15 52
8 Bologna 31 12 8 11 40 39 16 7 6 3 21 11 15 5 2 8 19 28 1 44
9 Udinese 31 10 12 9 42 39 15 5 8 2 27 17 16 5 4 7 15 22 3 42
10 Fiorentina 31 11 9 11 37 36 16 6 6 4 21 21 15 5 3 7 16 15 1 42
11 Torino 31 11 9 11 32 36 15 5 5 5 12 14 16 6 4 6 20 22 -4 42
12 Monza 31 11 8 12 38 43 16 6 4 6 22 20 15 5 4 6 16 23 -5 41
13 Sassuolo 31 11 7 13 38 46 15 7 3 5 19 16 16 4 4 8 19 30 -8 40
14 Salernitana 31 7 12 12 37 50 16 5 5 6 23 21 15 2 7 6 14 29 -13 33
15 Empoli 31 7 11 13 25 40 15 5 4 6 13 18 16 2 7 7 12 22 -15 32
16 Lecce 31 6 10 15 26 38 15 2 7 6 15 20 16 4 3 9 11 18 -12 28
17 Spezia 31 5 12 14 26 49 16 3 8 5 16 24 15 2 4 9 10 25 -23 27
18 Hellas Verona 31 6 8 17 26 44 16 6 2 8 19 24 15 0 6 9 7 20 -18 26
19 Cremonese 31 3 10 18 27 57 15 2 3 10 9 25 16 1 7 8 18 32 -30 19
20 Sampdoria 31 3 8 20 20 52 16 1 5 10 9 23 15 2 3 10 11 29 -32 17

Inter:
Lazio:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.