Serie A prediction: Juventus should edge out Genoa on their own turf

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sun 11.April
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Stadium (41507 seats)

3rd position in the Serie A table for Juventus so far, a good performance. The home supporters hope for more joy as 13th-placed Genoa visits Allianz Stadium.

Insights:
  • Juventus have the fewest conceded goals (26) in Serie A
  • Genoa have the fewest scored goals (10) away in Serie A

These are busy days for the home team, as they were in action only four days ago in the Serie A. Thankfully the previous game, versus Napoli, was also a home game here at Allianz Stadium. The away team is better rested.

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Juventus form and stats

35 points is a decent return from 15 Serie A games here at Allianz Stadium for Juventus. The data says 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses.

The Juventus supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Napoli in Serie A and win 2-1. 2-2 away at Torino before that.

Manager A. Pirlo felt very clever after Paulo Dybala scored the winning goal against Napoli, having brought on that player as a substitute in the 69th minute.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (31 in 15 games), Juventus's attacking play is working. Juventus have only conceded 11 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Genoa form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Genoa, who have the fewest scored goals (10) away in Serie A, so far with only 14 points returning home. The records show 3-5-6 (win-draw-lose).

There were no winners in Genoa's previous match, a Serie A home game that ended 1-1 vs Fiorentina (placed 14th). Before that one, a nice away victory 2-1 at Parma.

With the home team given a winning probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any positive result for the visitors would be a surprise. Checking earlier matches with similar odds with Genoa as the away team, we found five results. Statistics from these were zero away wins, two draws and three defeats. The outsiders lost two of these games by at least two goals.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Genoa as they have only managed to score 10 times from 14 away games in the league. 19 goals have been conceded by Genoa in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Genoa - Juventus 1-3 entered in the official records. Juventus-Genoa H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Juventus eight wins, Genoa one win, one draw. six of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

JuventusC. Ronaldo
C. Ronaldo
25 goals
GenoaM. Destro
M. Destro
10 goals
JuventusÁ. Morata Martín
Á. Morata Martín
7 goals

Juventus missing players

Genoa missing players

Juventus Genoa
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 15 6 Played P 3 14 29
17 11 5 Won W 0 3 7
8 2 1 Drew D 1 5 11
4 2 0 Lost L 2 6 11
58 31 15 Scored S 0 10 31
26 11 3 Conceded C 9 19 41
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 79% 90%
93% 93% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 64% 79%
55% 60% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 43% 48%
34% 20% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 7% 21%
7% 7% 17% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 7% 7%
59% 47% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 36% 59%
28% 40% 50% Clean Sheets C S 33% 29% 21%
14% 13% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 57% 31%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.1 2.1 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.6 2.3
5 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
15.6 17.3 18.2 Shots (avg) S ( 5 7.6 8.3
5.7 6.1 6.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.4 2.8
35% 34% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 29% 39%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Genoa have the fewest scored goals (10) away in Serie A
  • Juventus have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Juventus have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Juventus have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Genoa have scored away.
  • Juventus have the fewest conceded goals (11) at home in Serie A
  • Juventus have the fewest conceded goals (26) in Serie A
  • Juventus have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (14) in Serie A
  • Juventus haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inter 29 22 5 2 68 27 14 12 1 1 38 15 15 10 4 1 30 12 41 71
2 Milan 29 18 6 5 54 34 15 6 5 4 26 21 14 12 1 1 28 13 20 60
3 Juventus 29 17 8 4 58 26 15 11 2 2 31 11 14 6 6 2 27 15 32 59
4 Atalanta 29 17 7 5 68 36 15 9 3 3 41 22 14 8 4 2 27 14 32 58
5 Napoli 29 18 2 9 63 34 14 10 1 3 37 14 15 8 1 6 26 20 29 56
6 Lazio 28 16 4 8 45 38 14 9 2 3 23 17 14 7 2 5 22 21 7 52
7 Roma 29 15 6 8 53 44 15 10 3 2 33 17 14 5 3 6 20 27 9 51
8 Hellas Verona 29 11 8 10 38 34 14 6 3 5 18 16 15 5 5 5 20 18 4 41
9 Sassuolo 29 10 10 9 48 48 14 4 7 3 23 22 15 6 3 6 25 26 0 40
10 Sampdoria 29 10 6 13 39 43 14 6 2 6 22 21 15 4 4 7 17 22 -4 36
11 Bologna 29 9 7 13 39 45 14 6 3 5 24 22 15 3 4 8 15 23 -6 34
12 Udinese 29 8 9 12 32 39 14 5 3 6 12 13 15 3 6 6 20 26 -7 33
13 Genoa 29 7 11 11 31 41 15 4 6 5 21 22 14 3 5 6 10 19 -10 32
14 Fiorentina 29 7 9 13 36 46 15 5 5 5 20 19 14 2 4 8 16 27 -10 30
15 Benevento 29 7 9 13 30 54 15 2 6 7 15 30 14 5 3 6 15 24 -24 30
16 Spezia 29 7 8 14 37 53 14 3 5 6 17 23 15 4 3 8 20 30 -16 29
17 Torino 28 4 12 12 41 52 14 1 8 5 20 25 14 3 4 7 21 27 -11 24
18 Cagliari 29 5 7 17 31 50 15 3 3 9 15 26 14 2 4 8 16 24 -19 22
19 Parma 29 3 11 15 28 56 15 2 5 8 9 24 14 1 6 7 19 32 -28 20
20 Crotone 29 4 3 22 35 74 14 4 1 9 20 29 15 0 2 13 15 45 -39 15

Juventus:
Genoa:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.