Serie A prediction and preview: Spezia modest favorites to beat Crotone

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sat 10.April
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Alberto Picco (10336 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the Serie A, Spezia holding 16th place and Crotone lying 20th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

Insights:
  • Spezia have the most conceded goals in the second half (38) in Serie A
  • Crotone have the most conceded goals (74) in Serie A

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

This pitch has artifical turf, which is not Crotone's usual surface at their own ground. When playing on artifical turf Crotone have performed like this: Played four matches resulting in 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats with the goal stats 6-7 (scored/conceded).

It's quite the trip for Crotone when visiting Spezia as the cities are 1000 kilometers apart.

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Spezia form and stats

Spezia's struggle is real here at Stadio Alberto Picco with only 14 points collected from 14 Serie A games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 3-5-6.

In their previous game, the manager V. Italiano led his Spezia to a defeat in the Serie A match away at Lazio. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Stadio Alberto Picco. Before that, Spezia had a home game versus Cagliari which ended with a victory 2-1.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Spezia handle that role? We have found 17 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are nine wins, two draws and six defeats.

Spezia has scored 17 league goals at home this season, in 14 matches. Spezia have conceded 23 from these games.

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Crotone form and stats

There's been little loot from Crotone's travels as they have only collected 2 points from 15 away games in the Serie A. Crotone, who have the most conceded goals (74) in Serie A, only have 0 wins to counter their 13 defeats and 2 draws. The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Crotone have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone 16 consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Livorno game. It's a growing despair in Crotone as they have recorded three consecutive losses.

There might be some fixture complaints from Crotone as they are again playing away from home after losing on the road in their previous match, the Serie A match against Napoli (3-4). Preceding that, the 2-3 home loss versus Bologna.

As you can tell from the result, the match against Napoli was as crazy as a clown in a village circus. Great fun for the neutral supporter with 7 goals, will the fun continue today?

Crotone are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, two draws and six defeats. From a total of ten matches.

Crotone have scored 15 goals on their travels this season, from 15 away games in the league. Crotone can't defend away. 45 goals have been scored by the opposition in 15 matches, an average of more than three per game. You might want to look at the total goal statistics, which can be found on the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Crotone - Spezia 4-1 earlier this season. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: five wins for Spezia, one draw and four wins for Crotone. Over 2,5 goals: six times; under 2,5 goals: four games.

Top Goalscorers

CrotoneS. Tochukwu Nwankwo
S. Tochukwu Nwankwo
15 goals
SpeziaM. N'Zola
M. N'Zola
9 goals
CrotoneJ. Messias
J. Messias
8 goals

Spezia missing players

Crotone missing players

Spezia Crotone
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
29 14 4 Played P 3 15 29
7 3 1 Won W 0 0 4
8 5 3 Drew D 1 2 3
14 6 0 Lost L 2 13 22
37 17 7 Scored S 3 15 35
53 23 6 Conceded C 6 45 74
93% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 87% 93%
86% 79% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 80% 90%
76% 64% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 80% 76%
34% 36% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 60% 52%
14% 14% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 47% 38%
66% 71% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 67% 66%
17% 14% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 13% 7%
24% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 33% 34%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.9 3.4 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.3 2.8 2.7
5 2 0 Red cards R C 2 2 3
 
9.8 10.9 10.2 Shots (avg) S ( 10 9.5 10
3.3 3.4 3.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 2.9 3.3
39% 36% 54% Goal Efficiency G E 27% 35% 36%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Crotone have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Crotone have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Crotone have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Serie A
  • Crotone have the fewest points (2) away in Serie A
  • Crotone have the fewest points from losing position (0) in Serie A
  • Crotone have the most conceded goals (45) away in Serie A
  • Crotone have the most conceded goals (74) in Serie A
  • Crotone have the most conceded goals in the first half (39) in Serie A
  • Crotone have the most matches over the total-line (20) in Serie A
  • Crotone have the the worst goal difference (-30) away in Serie A
  • Crotone have the the worst goal difference (-39) in Serie A
  • Crotone have yet to win a game away.
  • Crotone is in the worst form (1-0-5)
  • Spezia have the most conceded goals in the second half (38) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inter 28 21 5 2 66 26 13 11 1 1 36 14 15 10 4 1 30 12 40 68
2 Milan 29 18 6 5 54 34 15 6 5 4 26 21 14 12 1 1 28 13 20 60
3 Atalanta 29 17 7 5 68 36 15 9 3 3 41 22 14 8 4 2 27 14 32 58
4 Juventus 28 16 8 4 56 25 14 10 2 2 29 10 14 6 6 2 27 15 31 56
5 Napoli 28 18 2 8 62 32 14 10 1 3 37 14 14 8 1 5 25 18 30 56
6 Lazio 28 16 4 8 45 38 14 9 2 3 23 17 14 7 2 5 22 21 7 52
7 Roma 29 15 6 8 53 44 15 10 3 2 33 17 14 5 3 6 20 27 9 51
8 Hellas Verona 29 11 8 10 38 34 14 6 3 5 18 16 15 5 5 5 20 18 4 41
9 Sassuolo 28 10 10 8 47 46 14 4 7 3 23 22 14 6 3 5 24 24 1 40
10 Sampdoria 29 10 6 13 39 43 14 6 2 6 22 21 15 4 4 7 17 22 -4 36
11 Bologna 29 9 7 13 39 45 14 6 3 5 24 22 15 3 4 8 15 23 -6 34
12 Udinese 29 8 9 12 32 39 14 5 3 6 12 13 15 3 6 6 20 26 -7 33
13 Genoa 29 7 11 11 31 41 15 4 6 5 21 22 14 3 5 6 10 19 -10 32
14 Fiorentina 29 7 9 13 36 46 15 5 5 5 20 19 14 2 4 8 16 27 -10 30
15 Benevento 29 7 9 13 30 54 15 2 6 7 15 30 14 5 3 6 15 24 -24 30
16 Spezia 29 7 8 14 37 53 14 3 5 6 17 23 15 4 3 8 20 30 -16 29
17 Torino 28 4 12 12 41 52 14 1 8 5 20 25 14 3 4 7 21 27 -11 24
18 Cagliari 29 5 7 17 31 50 15 3 3 9 15 26 14 2 4 8 16 24 -19 22
19 Parma 29 3 11 15 28 56 15 2 5 8 9 24 14 1 6 7 19 32 -28 20
20 Crotone 29 4 3 22 35 74 14 4 1 9 20 29 15 0 2 13 15 45 -39 15

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.