OTP Bank Liga match prediction: Little separates Honvéd and Újpest in quality

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Competition: Hungary OTP Bank Liga
Competition: Sun 27.September
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion (5322 seats)

The OTP Bank Liga league table might not tell the truth so early on, but it's the best truth we have so far. Honvéd and Újpest are placed 12th and 8th respectively.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

This is a match between teams from the same area, a local derby. The community is buzzing.

W L W L W

Honvéd form and stats

The home fans saw their team lose the first OTP Bank Liga game of the season here at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion. Last season these fans witnessed 6 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses from Honvéd's 17 home games.

It's back home for Honvéd, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Tiszaujvaros away with the result 7-1. Preceding that match was the home Europa League game against Malmö FF that was lost 0-2.

As mentioned above, Honvéd "killed" Tiszaujvaros in their previous game. They need to reset completely for this one and beware of complacency.

This is expected to be a close game, with Honvéd perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Honvéd as a small favourite), we find five games. Honvéd has won one of these, drawn three and lost one.

Honvéd has scored 1 goal so far and conceded 2 goals from 1 home game. These are numbers from the league only.

L L D W L

Újpest form and stats

Újpest are doing rather OK so far in their away games in the OTP Bank Liga, having played 2 games and collected 3 points (1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss).

Home advantage was not enough for Újpest in their previous game, as they lost their OTP Bank Liga-match, hosting Varda SE, 2-4. Prior to that match, the Újpest manager P. Rogan faced defeat when travelling to Puskas and losing 2-3.

As you can tell from the result, the match against Varda SE was as crazy as a clown in a village circus. Great fun for the neutral supporter with 6 goals, will the fun continue today?

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Újpest playing away and similar expectations, we found seven relevant matches. Results were two Újpest wins, two draws and three defeats.

Újpest have the goal stats of 4-4 (for/against) from 2 business trips in the league at this early stage of the season.

Head 2 Head

Honvéd-Újpest H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Honvéd two wins, Újpest two wins, six draws. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Honvéd missing players

Újpest missing players

Honvéd Újpest
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
3 1 1 Played P 1 2 4
1 0 0 Won W 1 1 1
0 0 0 Drew D 0 0 1
2 1 1 Lost L 0 1 2
6 1 1 Scored S 2 4 7
7 2 2 Conceded C 1 4 9
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 100% 75%
67% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 50% 50%
33% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 50% 50%
100% 100% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 100% 100%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 0%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.7 2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 0.5 1.2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
23 3 3 Total Shots T S 14 17 39
14 2 2 Shots on Target S O 6 9 19
43% 50% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 44% 37%
Key stats in OTP Bank Liga this season:
  • Honvéd is in the worst form (1-0-2)
Honvéd Last season Újpest
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
33 17   Played P   16 33
12 6   Won W   6 12
8 4   Drew D   3 7
13 7   Lost L   7 14
36 21   Scored S   21 45
44 26   Conceded C   23 45
85% 88%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   94% 94%
70% 76%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   69% 70%
45% 47%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   56% 52%
24% 35%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   38% 36%
12% 18%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   12% 18%
52% 53%   BTTS BTTS   50% 55%
30% 29%   Clean Sheets C S   19% 21%
33% 29%   Failed to Score F T   38% 30%
 
0 0   Corners for (avg) C F   0 0
0 0   Corners against (avg) C A   0 0
2.3 2.2   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.5 1.9
5 3   Red cards R C   3 4
 
291 153   Total Shots T S   154 334
100 45   Shots on Target S O   60 128
36% 47%   Goal Efficiency G E   35% 35%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Puskas 4 3 0 1 8 5 2 2 0 0 4 2 2 1 0 1 4 3 3 9
2 MOL Vidi 4 2 2 0 11 6 2 1 1 0 4 2 2 1 1 0 7 4 5 8
3 Zalaegerszegi TE 5 2 2 1 11 7 3 1 1 1 7 6 2 1 1 0 4 1 4 8
4 Ferencvaros 3 2 1 0 8 2 1 1 0 0 5 0 2 1 1 0 3 2 6 7
5 Mezokovesd-Zsory 5 2 1 2 5 5 2 1 1 0 2 1 3 1 0 2 3 4 0 7
6 Varda SE 4 2 0 2 7 8 1 0 0 1 0 3 3 2 0 1 7 5 -1 6
7 MTK 5 1 2 2 5 10 3 1 1 1 4 5 2 0 1 1 1 5 -5 5
8 Újpest 4 1 1 2 7 9 2 0 1 1 3 5 2 1 0 1 4 4 -2 4
9 Paksi SE 5 1 1 3 7 10 3 1 0 2 6 4 2 0 1 1 1 6 -3 4
10 Diosgyor 4 1 1 2 6 9 3 1 1 1 5 6 1 0 0 1 1 3 -3 4
11 Budafoki MTE 4 1 1 2 4 7 2 1 0 1 3 5 2 0 1 1 1 2 -3 4
12 Honvéd 3 1 0 2 6 7 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 1 0 1 5 5 -1 3
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ferencvaros 33 23 7 3 58 24 17 14 3 0 30 6 16 9 4 3 28 18 34 76
2 MOL Vidi 33 18 9 6 56 29 17 10 3 4 32 18 16 8 6 2 24 11 27 63
3 Puskas 33 14 12 7 52 41 16 7 4 5 27 23 17 7 8 2 25 18 11 54
4 Mezokovesd-Zsory 33 14 8 11 42 31 17 7 3 7 18 16 16 7 5 4 24 15 11 50
5 Honvéd 33 12 8 13 36 44 17 6 4 7 21 26 16 6 4 6 15 18 -8 44
6 Zalaegerszegi TE 33 11 10 12 51 44 16 5 7 4 24 21 17 6 3 8 27 23 7 43
7 Újpest 33 12 7 14 45 45 17 6 4 7 24 22 16 6 3 7 21 23 0 43
8 Varda SE 33 12 6 15 42 43 16 7 4 5 23 18 17 5 2 10 19 25 -1 42
9 Paksi SE 33 11 8 14 46 53 16 7 4 5 25 23 17 4 4 9 21 30 -7 41
10 Diosgyor 33 12 5 16 40 52 16 7 2 7 19 20 17 5 3 9 21 32 -12 41
11 Debrecen 33 11 6 16 48 57 17 7 5 5 30 26 16 4 1 11 18 31 -9 39
12 Kaposvári Rákóczi 33 4 2 27 27 80 16 3 1 12 16 35 17 1 1 15 11 45 -53 14

Read more about OTP Bank Liga

The Nemzeti Bajnokság I (meaning “National Championship I”) is the top level of Hungarian football. Is also known by the sponsorship name OTP Bank Liga, or shortened to NB 1. It was founded in 1901. The present format has twelve teams playing each other three times for a total of 33 fixtures.