NB 1 prediction and preview: Debrecen modest favorites to beat Paksi SE

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Competition: Hungary NB 1
Date: Sat 02.November
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Nagyerdei Stadion (20340 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Debrecen are in the 7th position while the guests worry at 9th.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Debrecen and Paksi SE.

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Debrecen form and stats

3-0-2 (win-draw-lost) are the NB 1 numbers at home for Debrecen, who have the fewest clean sheets (0) in NB 1, so far this season.

A good away victory last time out for Debrecen, who won 2-0 against Tatabanya. Prior to that, an away loss at Mezokovesd-Zsory in the NB 1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Debrecen have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found nine games) they have won 5 times, drawn 0 and lost 4.

Goals decide football matches and Debrecen are scoring many of them at home; 10 on target from 5 league matches. Debrecen's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 7 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Paksi SE form and stats

As the visiting team in NB 1 matches, Paksi SE have produced an overall stat of 1-1-3 so far. With two straight losses from their last two away games, Paksi SE are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

It's the second away game in a row for Paksi SE, but there's smiles all around after the 7-1 victory versus Salgotarjani BTC in the Hungarian Cup last time out. Preceding that, the 1-2 home loss versus Diósgyőr.

As mentioned above, Paksi SE was the only team on the pitch versus Salgotarjani BTC in their previous game, winning 7-1. This could be a tougher task.

Paksi SE are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats. From a total of eleven matches.

Paksi SE find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 6 goals from 5 away fixtures in the league. Paksi SE have conceded 9 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Debrecen-Paksi SE H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Debrecen 5 wins, Paksi SE 2 wins, 3 draws. 6 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

DebrecenM. Szécsi
M. Szécsi
4 goals
Paksi SEJ. Hahn
J. Hahn
4 goals
DebrecenH. Garba
H. Garba
3 goals

Debrecen missing players

Paksi SE missing players

Debrecen Paksi SE
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
9 5 3 Played P 2 5 10
4 3 2 Won W 0 1 3
0 0 0 Drew D 1 1 1
5 2 1 Lost L 1 3 6
17 10 5 Scored S 1 6 12
17 7 4 Conceded C 2 9 19
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
89% 80% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 80% 90%
89% 80% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 40% 60%
56% 40% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 40% 40%
44% 40% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 10%
89% 80% 67% BTTS BTTS 50% 60% 60%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 10%
11% 20% 33% Failed to Score F T 50% 20% 30%
 
5.2 6.4 6 Corners For (avg) C F 5.5 6.4 6.2
6.6 6.6 6.7 Corners Against (avg) C A 5.5 6.4 5.8
3.2 3.4 3.3 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2 2.2 2.6
1 1 1 Red Cards R C 0 2 3
Key stats this season:
  • Debrecen have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Debrecen have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Debrecen haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Paksi SE haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Debrecen
28-09-19 NB1 Debrecen 1 - 2 Puskás
05-10-19 NB1 MOL Vidi 2 - 1 Debrecen
19-10-19 NB1 Debrecen 2 - 1 Diósgyőr
26-10-19 NB1 Mezokovesd-Zsory 3 - 1 Debrecen
30-10-19 HC Tatabanya 0 - 2 Debrecen
02-11-19 NB1 Debrecen 17:00 Paksi SE
10-11-19 NB1 Debrecen 17:15 Ferencváros
23-11-19 NB1 Várda SE 17:00 Debrecen
30-11-19 NB1 Zalaegerszegi TE 01:00 Debrecen
07-12-19 NB1 Debrecen 01:00 Honvéd
Paksi SE
28-09-19 NB1 Zalaegerszegi TE 3 - 1 Paksi SE
05-10-19 NB1 Paksi SE 2 - 1 Kaposvári Rákóczi
19-10-19 NB1 Puskás 4 - 2 Paksi SE
26-10-19 NB1 Paksi SE 1 - 2 Diósgyőr
30-10-19 HC Salgotarjani BTC 1 - 7 Paksi SE
02-11-19 NB1 Debrecen 17:00 Paksi SE
09-11-19 NB1 Paksi SE 17:00 Várda SE
23-11-19 NB1 Honvéd 17:00 Paksi SE
30-11-19 NB1 Paksi SE 01:00 Újpest
07-12-19 NB1 MOL Vidi 01:00 Paksi SE

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 MOL Vidi 10 7 1 2 20 8 6 4 0 2 15 8 4 3 1 0 5 0 12 22
2 Mezokovesd-Zsory 10 7 1 2 15 8 6 3 1 2 6 5 4 4 0 0 9 3 7 22
3 Ferencváros 9 7 1 1 13 6 4 4 0 0 4 0 5 3 1 1 9 6 7 22
4 Puskás 10 6 2 2 18 10 4 3 0 1 10 5 6 3 2 1 8 5 8 20
5 Honvéd 10 4 1 5 13 15 5 1 1 3 5 7 5 3 0 2 8 8 -2 13
6 Várda SE 10 4 1 5 13 15 5 2 1 2 7 6 5 2 0 3 6 9 -2 13
7 Debrecen 9 4 0 5 17 17 5 3 0 2 10 7 4 1 0 3 7 10 0 12
8 Újpest 10 3 2 5 12 15 6 1 2 3 8 11 4 2 0 2 4 4 -3 11
9 Paksi SE 10 3 1 6 12 19 5 2 0 3 6 10 5 1 1 3 6 9 -7 10
10 Diósgyőr 10 3 1 6 9 18 5 2 1 2 5 7 5 1 0 4 4 11 -9 10
11 Zalaegerszegi TE 10 2 3 5 14 13 4 1 1 2 5 5 6 1 2 3 9 8 1 9
12 Kaposvári Rákóczi 10 2 0 8 7 19 4 1 0 3 3 8 6 1 0 5 4 11 -12 6