Bundesliga prediction and preview: Fortuna Dusseldorf modest favorites to beat Paderborn

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Fri 13.March
Match begins: 19:30 (UTC)
Venue: Merkur Spiel-Arena (54600 seats)

Fortuna Dusseldorf are welcoming Paderborn for another important game after their 1-1 result against 15th-placed Mainz 05.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Fortuna Düsseldorf form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Bundesliga this season. Fortuna Düsseldorf have only managed 3 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from their games here at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

An away draw last time out for Fortuna Düsseldorf, facing Mainz 05 in a game that ended 1-1. Preceding that game was the away draw at Saarbrucken (after extra-time, 7-6 on penalties) that finished 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Fortuna Düsseldorf have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won four times, drawn two and lost zero.

The Fortuna Düsseldorf fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 13 in 12 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Fortuna Düsseldorf defense is not exactly impregnable. 23 goals conceded from 12 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Paderborn form and stats

Paderborn have only collected 9 points from their away games in the Bundesliga, after 2-3-7 (12 played). It's looking increasingly bleak for Paderborn who now has to deal with a four game losing streak. Schalke 04 was the last time a defeat was avoided. Paderborn has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

Paderborn might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Köln proved too strong as Paderborn slumped to a 1-2 defeat in front of their own fans at Benteler-Arena. It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Mainz 05 wasn't a success with a 0-2 loss.

We have checked recent matches where Paderborn have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those one game were one victory, zero draws and zero defeats.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Paderborn have scored 13 goals in 12 league games away. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Paderborn have conceded 23 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 earlier this season. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Fortuna Düsseldorf won one game, four matches ended with a draw and Paderborn has five wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: five / five

Top Goalscorers

Fortuna DüsseldorfR. Hennings
R. Hennings
11 goals
Fortuna DüsseldorfE. Thommy
E. Thommy
5 goals
PaderbornS. Mamba
S. Mamba
5 goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf missing players

Paderborn missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Fortuna Düsseldorf Paderborn
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
25 12 3 Played P 3 12 25
5 3 1 Won W 1 2 4
7 3 1 Drew D 0 3 4
13 6 1 Lost L 2 7 17
27 13 4 Scored S 2 13 30
50 23 4 Conceded C 4 23 54
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
92% 83% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 92% 92%
60% 58% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 50% 64%
32% 33% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 36%
16% 17% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 25% 32%
60% 58% 33% BTTS BTTS 33% 50% 68%
12% 17% 33% Clean Sheets C S 33% 17% 12%
28% 25% 33% Failed to Score F T 33% 33% 20%
 
4.2 4.4 5.7 Corners for (avg) C F 7.3 5.6 5.4
5.2 4.8 3.3 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 7.4 6.9
2.5 1.9 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.7 2.3 2.4
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
315 160 51 Total Shots T S 44 141 320
90 44 10 Shots on Target S O 18 49 108
30% 30% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 11% 27% 28%
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Paderborn has the most conceded goals in the first half (29)
  • Paderborn haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 25 17 4 4 73 26 13 9 2 2 38 11 12 8 2 2 35 15 47 55
2 Borussia Dortmund 25 15 6 4 68 33 12 9 3 0 41 10 13 6 3 4 27 23 35 51
3 RB Leipzig 25 14 8 3 62 26 12 7 4 1 32 13 13 7 4 2 30 13 36 50
4 Borussia M'gladbach 25 15 4 6 49 30 13 9 2 2 30 16 12 6 2 4 19 14 19 49
5 Bayer Leverkusen 25 14 5 6 45 30 13 7 4 2 25 13 12 7 1 4 20 17 15 47
6 Schalke 04 25 9 10 6 33 36 13 5 6 2 18 18 12 4 4 4 15 18 -3 37
7 Wolfsburg 25 9 9 7 34 30 13 4 6 3 16 13 12 5 3 4 18 17 4 36
8 Freiburg 25 10 6 9 34 35 12 6 2 4 16 14 13 4 4 5 18 21 -1 36
9 Hoffenheim 25 10 5 10 35 43 13 5 1 7 19 31 12 5 4 3 16 12 -8 35
10 Köln 25 10 2 13 39 45 12 6 1 5 20 16 13 4 1 8 19 29 -6 32
11 Union Berlin 25 9 3 13 32 41 12 6 1 5 18 16 13 3 2 8 14 25 -9 30
12 Eintracht Frankfurt 24 8 4 12 38 41 12 6 3 3 27 16 12 2 1 9 11 25 -3 28
13 Hertha BSC 25 7 7 11 32 48 13 3 3 7 14 28 12 4 4 4 18 20 -16 28
14 Augsburg 25 7 6 12 36 52 12 5 3 4 24 21 13 2 3 8 12 31 -16 27
15 Mainz 05 25 8 2 15 34 53 13 4 2 7 15 21 12 4 0 8 19 32 -19 26
16 Fortuna Düsseldorf 25 5 7 13 27 50 12 3 3 6 13 23 13 2 4 7 14 27 -23 22
17 Werder Bremen 24 4 6 14 27 55 11 1 2 8 8 26 13 3 4 6 19 29 -28 18
18 Paderborn 25 4 4 17 30 54 13 2 1 10 17 31 12 2 3 7 13 23 -24 16

Paderborn:
Bundesliga:
Germany:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 25 17 4 4 73 26 13 9 2 2 38 11 12 8 2 2 35 15 47 55
2 Borussia Dortmund 25 15 6 4 68 33 12 9 3 0 41 10 13 6 3 4 27 23 35 51
3 RB Leipzig 25 14 8 3 62 26 12 7 4 1 32 13 13 7 4 2 30 13 36 50
4 Borussia M'gladbach 25 15 4 6 49 30 13 9 2 2 30 16 12 6 2 4 19 14 19 49
5 Bayer Leverkusen 25 14 5 6 45 30 13 7 4 2 25 13 12 7 1 4 20 17 15 47
6 Schalke 04 25 9 10 6 33 36 13 5 6 2 18 18 12 4 4 4 15 18 -3 37
7 Wolfsburg 25 9 9 7 34 30 13 4 6 3 16 13 12 5 3 4 18 17 4 36
8 Freiburg 25 10 6 9 34 35 12 6 2 4 16 14 13 4 4 5 18 21 -1 36
9 Hoffenheim 25 10 5 10 35 43 13 5 1 7 19 31 12 5 4 3 16 12 -8 35
10 Köln 25 10 2 13 39 45 12 6 1 5 20 16 13 4 1 8 19 29 -6 32
11 Union Berlin 25 9 3 13 32 41 12 6 1 5 18 16 13 3 2 8 14 25 -9 30
12 Eintracht Frankfurt 24 8 4 12 38 41 12 6 3 3 27 16 12 2 1 9 11 25 -3 28
13 Hertha BSC 25 7 7 11 32 48 13 3 3 7 14 28 12 4 4 4 18 20 -16 28
14 Augsburg 25 7 6 12 36 52 12 5 3 4 24 21 13 2 3 8 12 31 -16 27
15 Mainz 05 25 8 2 15 34 53 13 4 2 7 15 21 12 4 0 8 19 32 -19 26
16 Fortuna Düsseldorf 25 5 7 13 27 50 12 3 3 6 13 23 13 2 4 7 14 27 -23 22
17 Werder Bremen 24 4 6 14 27 55 11 1 2 8 8 26 13 3 4 6 19 29 -28 18
18 Paderborn 25 4 4 17 30 54 13 2 1 10 17 31 12 2 3 7 13 23 -24 16

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The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.