Bundesliga prediction: Home win expected when Bayern München takes on Paderborn

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Fri 21.February
Match begins: 19:30 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Arena (75000 seats)

There should be a significant difference in quality between these teams based on table positions so far, with Bayern München leading Paderborn by 30 points.

Bayern München and Paderborn should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

W D W W W

Bayern München form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Allianz Arena as Bayern München, who have the the best goal difference (+38) in Bundesliga, have scored 33 goals to get 23 points from 11 games. The overall stats in the Bundesliga are 7-2-2 (wins-draws-losses).

Happy days for Bayern München in their previous game, a Bundesliga match away at Köln (placed 14th) that ended with a 4-1 victory. In the match before that, Bayern München hosted RB Leipzig and drew the game 0-0.

Bayern München are huge favourites in this match and it would be a big surprise if they fail to leave Allianz Arena with a victory. The home side has been in this situation before, with huge expectations of a win. 25 earlier games are comparable to this one, and Bayern München has won 18 times, drawn five and lost two. Sports bettors who like handicap betting will like to know that Bayern München has won by at least two goals 14 times when in this position.

There will be little rest for Bayern München after this match as they are travelling to Chelsea for a Champions League game in only four days.

Goals are plentiful at Allianz Arena in the league this season as Bayern München has scored 33 goals here in 11 home games. Bayern München are not conceding a lot of goals here at Allianz Arena in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 9 from 11 matches.

L D L W L

Paderborn form and stats

Paderborn have only collected 9 points from their away games in the Bundesliga, after 2-3-5 (10 played).

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Bundesliga home defeat versus Hertha BSC with 1-2 on the scoreboard. A 1-1 draw at Schalke 04's stadium before that.

Paderborn are huge outsiders in this game. Running a check in our games database we found six matches where they were as big outsiders as an away team. Results were one win, three draws and two defeats. Of the defeats, zero games were lost by at least two goals margin.

Paderborn have scored 11 goals on their travels this season, from 10 away games in the league. In the opposite end, Paderborn have conceded 18 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Paderborn - Bayern München 2-3. H2H stats regardless of arena (last four matches): Bayern München four wins, zero draws and Paderborn zero victories. As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), zero games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Bayern MünchenR. Lewandowski
R. Lewandowski
23 goals
Bayern MünchenS. Gnabry
S. Gnabry
9 goals
Bayern MünchenP. Coutinho Correia
P. Coutinho Correia
6 goals

Bayern München missing players

Paderborn missing players

Bayern München Paderborn
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 11 4 Played P 4 10 22
14 7 3 Won W 0 2 4
4 2 1 Drew D 2 3 4
4 2 0 Lost L 2 5 14
62 33 18 Scored S 6 11 27
24 9 4 Conceded C 9 18 47
95% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
95% 91% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 90% 91%
86% 82% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 64%
64% 55% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 20% 36%
27% 27% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 20% 32%
64% 55% 75% BTTS BTTS 75% 50% 68%
36% 45% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 14%
5% 9% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 30% 18%
 
7.1 9.2 10.5 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 5.8 5.5
3.3 2.4 1.8 Corners against (avg) C A 8.8 7.3 6.7
2 1.9 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 2.2 2.3
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
421 229 91 Total Shots T S 44 126 286
163 91 36 Shots on Target S O 17 41 98
38% 36% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 35% 27% 28%
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • Bayern München has the fewest conceded goals (9) at home
  • Bayern München has the most scored goals in the first half (26)
  • Bayern München has the the best goal difference (+38)
  • Bayern München have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Bayern München have scored more than double the goals of Paderborn.
  • Bayern München have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Bayern München have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Bayern München is in the best form (5-1-0)
  • Paderborn has the most conceded goals in the first half (24)
  • Paderborn haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 22 14 4 4 62 24 11 7 2 2 33 9 11 7 2 2 29 15 38 46
2 RB Leipzig 22 13 6 3 56 25 11 7 3 1 31 12 11 6 3 2 25 13 31 45
3 Borussia Dortmund 22 12 6 4 63 32 11 8 3 0 40 10 11 4 3 4 23 22 31 42
4 Borussia M'gladbach 21 13 3 5 42 24 10 8 1 1 26 12 11 5 2 4 16 12 18 42
5 Bayer Leverkusen 22 12 4 6 38 29 11 5 4 2 19 13 11 7 0 4 19 16 9 40
6 Schalke 04 22 9 9 4 32 27 11 5 5 1 17 12 11 4 4 3 15 15 5 36
7 Freiburg 22 9 6 7 31 31 10 5 2 3 13 11 12 4 4 4 18 20 0 33
8 Hoffenheim 22 10 3 9 33 35 12 5 1 6 19 25 10 5 2 3 14 10 -2 33
9 Wolfsburg 22 8 7 7 28 28 11 3 5 3 12 13 11 5 2 4 16 15 0 31
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 22 8 4 10 37 35 11 6 3 2 26 14 11 2 1 8 11 21 2 28
11 Augsburg 22 7 6 9 34 45 11 5 3 3 22 18 11 2 3 6 12 27 -11 27
12 Union Berlin 22 8 2 12 27 35 11 6 0 5 16 14 11 2 2 7 11 21 -8 26
13 Hertha BSC 22 7 5 10 27 38 11 3 2 6 12 21 11 4 3 4 15 17 -11 26
14 Köln 21 7 2 12 28 42 11 5 1 5 17 16 10 2 1 7 11 26 -14 23
15 Mainz 05 22 7 1 14 31 48 11 3 1 7 12 20 11 4 0 7 19 28 -17 22
16 Fortuna Düsseldorf 22 4 5 13 21 46 11 3 2 6 10 20 11 1 3 7 11 26 -25 17
17 Werder Bremen 22 4 5 13 25 51 10 1 2 7 8 24 12 3 3 6 17 27 -26 17
18 Paderborn 22 4 4 14 27 47 12 2 1 9 16 29 10 2 3 5 11 18 -20 16

Paderborn:
Bundesliga:
Germany:

Read more about Bundesliga

The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.