Ligue 1 prediction and preview: Dijon modest favorites to beat Toulouse

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Competition: France Ligue 1
Competition: Sat 07.March
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Gaston-Gérard (16098 seats)

Dijon are welcoming Toulouse for another important game after their 0-4 result against 1st-placed Paris Saint Germain.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

L D D L D

Dijon form and stats

5 victories, 6 draws and 2 defeats. That’s what Dijon have to build on here at Stade Gaston-Gérard in the Ligue 1. In general it's been a long time since Dijon tasted defeat here at Stade Gaston-Gérard, as they have taken at least one point from their last eleven home games in the league.

No payout for Dijon in their previous match, an away game at Paris Saint Germain that ended in defeat 0-4. In the match before that, Dijon hosted Monaco and drew the game 1-1.

Dijon were outplayed and humiliated in their previous game, as mentioned in the paragraph above. They will need to reinstall their confidence before this one. Dijon's goalkeeper Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson was extremely busy against Paris Saint Germain, saving the team from a uglier defeat with a stunning seven saves.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Dijon have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found five games) they have won three times, drawn one and lost one.

Dijon are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 18 goals in 13 games. Dijon have conceded 14 in these home matches.

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Toulouse form and stats

Toulouse, who have the most conceded goals (56) in Ligue 1, have only collected 4 points from their away games in the Ligue 1, after 0-4-10 (14 played). The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Toulouse have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone 14 consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Brest game. The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for Toulouse, who have now gone 17 games without a victory. The Lille game was their last win and it’s been a dry spell since.

The attacking players of Toulouse have been feeble for some time now, the team not scoring a league goal in the last 699 minutes.

Toulouse failed to get anything from their last game, a Ligue 1 home match vs Rennes (placed 3rd) that ended with defeat 0-2. A 0-3 defeat away at Lille before that.

Toulouse are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, four draws and seven defeats. From a total of 13 matches.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Toulouse as they have only managed to score 10 times from 14 away games in the league. Toulouse have conceded 32 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Toulouse - Dijon 1-0. Head-to-head totals (for the last nine meetings): Dijon won four games, three matches ended with a draw and Toulouse has two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / six

Top Goalscorers

Dijon
M. Baldé
6 goals
DijonJ. Tavares
J. Tavares
5 goals
Dijon
S. Mavididi
5 goals

Dijon missing players

Toulouse missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Dijon Toulouse
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
27 13 4 Played P 5 14 27
6 5 1 Won W 0 0 3
9 6 2 Drew D 4 4 4
12 2 1 Lost L 1 10 20
25 18 6 Scored S 5 10 21
36 14 4 Conceded C 6 32 56
89% 85% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 93% 96%
67% 69% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 79% 78%
44% 54% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 71% 56%
19% 23% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 36% 30%
4% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 15%
44% 54% 50% BTTS BTTS 60% 43% 41%
22% 38% 50% Clean Sheets C S 20% 7% 11%
44% 23% 25% Failed to Score F T 40% 57% 52%
 
4.3 5.8 6.8 Corners for (avg) C F 6.2 4.3 4.5
5.9 4.8 4 Corners against (avg) C A 5.8 6.6 6
1.6 1.8 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 1.8 1.7
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 5
 
330 189 63 Total Shots T S 58 139 311
104 58 19 Shots on Target S O 20 45 95
24% 31% 32% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 22% 22%
Key stats in Ligue 1 this season:
  • Dijon has the fewest scored goals in the second half (11)
  • Dijon have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Dijon have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Toulouse has the fewest clean sheets (3)
  • Toulouse has the fewest points (4) away
  • Toulouse has the fewest scored goals (21)
  • Toulouse has the fewest scored goals in the first half (8)
  • Toulouse has the most conceded goals (32) away
  • Toulouse has the most conceded goals (56)
  • Toulouse has the the worst goal difference (-22) away
  • Toulouse has the the worst goal difference (-35)
  • Toulouse have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Toulouse have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Toulouse have yet to win a game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Paris Saint Germain 27 22 2 3 75 24 14 12 1 1 44 11 13 10 1 2 31 13 51 68
2 Olympique Marseille 27 16 7 4 39 27 13 8 3 2 19 12 14 8 4 2 20 15 12 55
3 Rennes 27 14 5 8 33 24 13 8 2 3 20 14 14 6 3 5 13 10 9 47
4 Lille 27 14 4 9 34 27 14 10 2 2 23 9 13 4 2 7 11 18 7 46
5 Olympique Lyonnais 27 11 7 9 42 26 13 5 4 4 17 7 14 6 3 5 25 19 16 40
6 Montpellier 27 11 7 9 35 29 14 10 2 2 26 10 13 1 5 7 9 19 6 40
7 Monaco 27 11 7 9 43 42 14 8 2 4 29 22 13 3 5 5 14 20 1 40
8 Reims 27 9 11 7 25 21 13 4 7 2 11 7 14 5 4 5 14 14 4 38
9 Nice 27 10 8 9 39 37 14 7 4 3 26 19 13 3 4 6 13 18 2 38
10 Strasbourg 27 11 5 11 32 32 13 7 3 3 22 14 14 4 2 8 10 18 0 38
11 Nantes 27 11 4 12 28 29 14 6 2 6 11 11 13 5 2 6 17 18 -1 37
12 Bordeaux 27 9 9 9 39 33 13 4 5 4 19 12 14 5 4 5 20 21 6 36
13 Angers SCO 27 10 6 11 26 33 14 7 3 4 18 13 13 3 3 7 8 20 -7 36
14 Brest 27 8 10 9 34 36 14 6 6 2 21 11 13 2 4 7 13 25 -2 34
15 Metz 27 7 10 10 25 34 13 4 4 5 16 16 14 3 6 5 9 18 -9 31
16 Saint-Étienne 27 8 5 14 28 44 13 4 5 4 14 17 14 4 0 10 14 27 -16 29
17 Dijon 27 6 9 12 25 36 13 5 6 2 18 14 14 1 3 10 7 22 -11 27
18 Nîmes 27 7 6 14 28 42 14 6 2 6 17 15 13 1 4 8 11 27 -14 27
19 Amiens SC 27 4 10 13 29 48 14 3 5 6 17 23 13 1 5 7 12 25 -19 22
20 Toulouse 27 3 4 20 21 56 13 3 0 10 11 24 14 0 4 10 10 32 -35 13

Dijon:
Toulouse:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Paris Saint Germain 27 22 2 3 75 24 14 12 1 1 44 11 13 10 1 2 31 13 51 68
2 Olympique Marseille 27 16 7 4 39 27 13 8 3 2 19 12 14 8 4 2 20 15 12 55
3 Rennes 27 14 5 8 33 24 13 8 2 3 20 14 14 6 3 5 13 10 9 47
4 Lille 27 14 4 9 34 27 14 10 2 2 23 9 13 4 2 7 11 18 7 46
5 Olympique Lyonnais 27 11 7 9 42 26 13 5 4 4 17 7 14 6 3 5 25 19 16 40
6 Montpellier 27 11 7 9 35 29 14 10 2 2 26 10 13 1 5 7 9 19 6 40
7 Monaco 27 11 7 9 43 42 14 8 2 4 29 22 13 3 5 5 14 20 1 40
8 Reims 27 9 11 7 25 21 13 4 7 2 11 7 14 5 4 5 14 14 4 38
9 Nice 27 10 8 9 39 37 14 7 4 3 26 19 13 3 4 6 13 18 2 38
10 Strasbourg 27 11 5 11 32 32 13 7 3 3 22 14 14 4 2 8 10 18 0 38
11 Nantes 27 11 4 12 28 29 14 6 2 6 11 11 13 5 2 6 17 18 -1 37
12 Bordeaux 27 9 9 9 39 33 13 4 5 4 19 12 14 5 4 5 20 21 6 36
13 Angers SCO 27 10 6 11 26 33 14 7 3 4 18 13 13 3 3 7 8 20 -7 36
14 Brest 27 8 10 9 34 36 14 6 6 2 21 11 13 2 4 7 13 25 -2 34
15 Metz 27 7 10 10 25 34 13 4 4 5 16 16 14 3 6 5 9 18 -9 31
16 Saint-Étienne 27 8 5 14 28 44 13 4 5 4 14 17 14 4 0 10 14 27 -16 29
17 Dijon 27 6 9 12 25 36 13 5 6 2 18 14 14 1 3 10 7 22 -11 27
18 Nîmes 27 7 6 14 28 42 14 6 2 6 17 15 13 1 4 8 11 27 -14 27
19 Amiens SC 27 4 10 13 29 48 14 3 5 6 17 23 13 1 5 7 12 25 -19 22
20 Toulouse 27 3 4 20 21 56 13 3 0 10 11 24 14 0 4 10 10 32 -35 13

More from France - Ligue 1

Read more about Ligue 1

Ligue 1 is the top league in the French football league system. Seasons run from August to May with 20 teams playing a total of 380 fixtures. The team topping the league table after the final game is the champion of France, receiving the trophy L’Hexagoal. Ligue 1 is one of the top five European leagues.