Ligue 1 match prediction: Little separates Toulouse and Nice in quality

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Competition: France Ligue 1
Competition: Sat 15.February
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Pierre Cahuzac (33150 seats)

Toulouse hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 13 points and a 20th position in the Ligue 1 table. Visiting Nice holds 11th place with 33 pts.

It's no vacation for neither Toulouse nor Nice as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

L L L D L

Toulouse form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Ligue 1 this season. Toulouse, who have the most conceded goals (49) in Ligue 1, have only managed 3 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from their games here at Stade Pierre Cahuzac. All in all it has been a very rough period for Toulouse who hasn’t won a game in their last 15 attempts. Their previous win was against Lille, 119 days ago. Toulouse are slowly digging their own grave here at Stade Pierre Cahuzac with the depressing streak of not having won a home game in seven attempts. The last victory here came in the Lille match.

Toulouse are anxiously hoping for a goal as it's been 429 minutes since the last one in league fixtures. (Scored by B. Diakite).

Toulouse's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 0-1 versus Nice (placed 11th). Prior to that, an away loss at Olympique Marseille.

This is expected to be a close game, with Toulouse perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Toulouse as a small favourite), we find 14 games. Toulouse has won four of these, drawn four and lost six.

Toulouse has scored 11 league goals at home this season, in 11 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Toulouse defense is not exactly impregnable. 20 goals conceded from 11 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

W L D W L

Nice form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Nice so far with only 9 points returning home. The records show 2-3-6 (win-draw-lose).

Two travels in a row for Nice, whose manager P. Vieira could celebrate last time after the Ligue 1 win against Toulouse. Preceding that, the 1-3 home loss versus Nîmes.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Nice playing away and similar expectations, we found eleven relevant matches. Results were four Nice wins, four draws and three defeats.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 11 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. In the opposite end, Nice have conceded 17 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Nice - Toulouse 3-0. Toulouse-Nice H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Toulouse four wins, Nice three wins, three draws. five of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

NiceK. Dolberg
K. Dolberg
8 goals
NiceW. Cyprien
W. Cyprien
7 goals
ToulouseE. Koulouris
E. Koulouris
4 goals

Toulouse missing players

Nice missing players

Toulouse Nice
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
25 12 5 Played P 3 12 25
3 3 0 Won W 1 3 10
4 0 0 Drew D 1 3 6
18 9 5 Lost L 1 6 9
21 11 5 Scored S 4 11 35
50 21 13 Conceded C 6 17 34
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 96%
72% 67% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 67% 84%
56% 42% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 50% 60%
32% 25% 60% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 17% 24%
16% 17% 40% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 8% 12%
44% 42% 60% BTTS BTTS 100% 67% 76%
12% 17% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 16%
48% 42% 40% Failed to Score F T 0% 25% 12%
 
4.4 4.2 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 2.7 4.2 4.4
6 5.3 5 Corners against (avg) C A 5.7 5.8 5.8
1.6 1.4 1.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.7 2.5 2.1
4 2 0 Red cards R C 1 3 7
 
281 148 58 Total Shots T S 29 122 297
92 47 20 Shots on Target S O 8 45 112
23% 23% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 24% 31%
Key stats in Ligue 1 this season:
  • Nice has the fewest matches under the total-line (6)
  • Toulouse has the fewest points (9) at home
  • Toulouse has the fewest scored goals (21)
  • Toulouse has the fewest scored goals in the first half (8)
  • Toulouse has the most conceded goals (49)
  • Toulouse has the most conceded goals in the first half (21)
  • Toulouse has the the worst goal difference (-28)
  • Toulouse has the the worst goal difference (-9) at home
  • Toulouse have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Toulouse haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Toulouse is in the worst form (0-1-4)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Paris Saint Germain 25 20 2 3 67 21 12 10 1 1 36 8 13 10 1 2 31 13 46 62
2 Olympique Marseille 24 14 7 3 33 21 12 8 3 1 18 9 12 6 4 2 15 12 12 49
3 Rennes 24 12 5 7 29 22 12 7 2 3 18 13 12 5 3 4 11 9 7 41
4 Lille 24 12 4 8 29 25 12 9 2 1 19 7 12 3 2 7 10 18 4 40
5 Monaco 25 11 5 9 41 40 13 8 1 4 28 21 12 3 4 5 13 19 1 38
6 Montpellier 25 10 7 8 32 28 13 9 2 2 23 10 12 1 5 6 9 18 4 37
7 Strasbourg 24 11 3 10 31 28 12 7 2 3 22 14 12 4 1 7 9 14 3 36
8 Bordeaux 24 9 7 8 33 26 11 4 3 4 16 9 13 5 4 4 17 17 7 34
9 Olympique Lyonnais 24 9 6 9 37 25 11 4 3 4 14 6 13 5 3 5 23 19 12 33
10 Reims 24 8 9 7 22 19 12 3 7 2 10 7 12 5 2 5 12 12 3 33
11 Nice 24 9 6 9 34 34 13 7 3 3 24 17 11 2 3 6 10 17 0 33
12 Nantes 24 10 3 11 25 27 12 6 1 5 11 10 12 4 2 6 14 17 -2 33
13 Brest 24 7 9 8 29 31 12 5 6 1 18 8 12 2 3 7 11 23 -2 30
14 Angers SCO 24 8 6 10 24 32 13 6 3 4 17 13 11 2 3 6 7 19 -8 30
15 Saint-Étienne 24 8 4 12 25 38 12 4 4 4 13 16 12 4 0 8 12 22 -13 28
16 Metz 24 6 9 9 24 32 12 4 4 4 16 14 12 2 5 5 8 18 -8 27
17 Dijon 24 6 7 11 22 29 12 5 5 2 17 13 12 1 2 9 5 16 -7 25
18 Nîmes 24 6 6 12 24 37 12 5 2 5 14 12 12 1 4 7 10 25 -13 24
19 Amiens SC 25 4 9 12 29 47 13 3 5 5 17 22 12 1 4 7 12 25 -18 21
20 Toulouse 24 3 4 17 21 49 11 3 0 8 11 20 13 0 4 9 10 29 -28 13

Toulouse:
Nice:

Read more about Ligue 1

Ligue 1 is the top league in the French football league system. Seasons run from August to May with 20 teams playing a total of 380 fixtures. The team topping the league table after the final game is the champion of France, receiving the trophy L’Hexagoal. Ligue 1 is one of the top five European leagues.