Can Maardu beat Tulevik in Maardu linnastaadion clash?

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Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga
Date: Wed 28.August
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)
Venue: Maardu linnastaadion (1500 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the Meistriliiga, Maardu holding 10th place and Tulevik lying 7th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Maardu and Tulevik.

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Maardu form and stats

With 3 Meistriliiga wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from their home games, Maardu, who have the most conceded goals (76) in Meistriliiga, are certainly not brimming with confidence.

Maardu drew their last game, also a home match. Tulevik was the opponent, 2-2 the score. Heartbreak before that as Maardu lost 0-5 at Paide's place.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Maardu have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won 3 times, drawn 3 and lost 0.

Maardu has scored 13 league goals at home this season, in 12 matches. As for conceded goals, Maardu's unpleasant statistic is 13 goals surrendered.

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Tulevik form and stats

Tulevik have only collected 12 points from their away games in the Meistriliiga, after 3-3-6 (12 played). With three draws in a row for Tulevik the feeling in the team is perhaps one of both relief and disappointment. Two points from the last two away games for Tulevik, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Maardu in their previous outing. The Meistriliiga match ended in a draw 2-2. Ahead of that game was the 1-1 draw at home against Tallinna Kalev.

Tulevik are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 2 draws and 0 defeats. From a total of three matches.

Tulevik find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 13 goals from 12 away fixtures in the league. Tulevik have conceded 23 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Maardu - Tulevik 2-2. Numbers for the last eight meetings between these two teams are: 1 win for Maardu, 3 draws and 4 wins for Tulevik. Over 2,5 goals: 6 times; under 2,5 goals: 2 games.

Top Goalscorers

K. Saag
10 goals / 1 assists
K. Amemiya
4 goals / 2 assists
R. Peips
4 goals

Maardu missing players

Tulevik missing players

Maardu Tulevik
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs low Away Total
25 12 3 Played 2 12 25
4 3 2 Won 1 3 4
4 3 1 Drew 0 3 6
17 6 0 Lost 1 6 15
20 13 3 Scored 2 13 25
76 31 1 Conceded 1 23 50
92% 83% 67% Over 0.5 100% 92% 96%
80% 67% 33% Over 1.5 50% 67% 80%
64% 67% 33% Over 2.5 0% 50% 60%
52% 50% 0% Over 3.5 0% 42% 36%
40% 33% 0% Over 4.5 0% 25% 16%
40% 58% 33% BTTS 0% 42% 52%
12% 25% 67% Clean Sheets 50% 33% 20%
56% 33% 33% Failed To Score 50% 33% 32%
 
4.5 5.7 9.7 Corners For (avg) 4 3.8 3.7
7.6 7 4.7 Corners Against (avg) 5.5 8.2 7.5
2 2.1 2.7 Yellow Cards (avg) 3 2.3 2.6
2 1 1 Red Cards 0 3 4
Key stats this season:
  • Maardu have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Maardu have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Maardu have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Tulevik have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.

Maardu
02-08-19 ME Tammeka 2 - 0 Maardu
06-08-19 EC Elbato 0 - 3 Maardu
17-08-19 ME Maardu 2 - 1 Kuressaare
25-08-19 ME Paide 5 - 0 Maardu
28-08-19 ME Maardu 2 - 2 Tulevik
01-09-19 ME Levadia 16:00 Maardu
15-09-19 ME Maardu 12:00 Tammeka
18-09-19 ME Maardu 16:00 Paide
22-09-19 ME Kuressaare 10:00 Maardu
28-09-19 ME Nõmme Kalju 13:00 Maardu
Tulevik
07-08-19 EC Igiliikur 1 - 7 Tulevik
11-08-19 ME Tulevik 1 - 2 Paide
18-08-19 ME Nõmme Kalju 2 - 2 Tulevik
25-08-19 ME Tulevik 1 - 1 Tallinna Kalev
28-08-19 ME Maardu 2 - 2 Tulevik
01-09-19 ME Tulevik 10:00 Kuressaare
04-09-19 EC Tulevik 16:00 Tallinna Wolves
14-09-19 ME Levadia 10:00 Tulevik
17-09-19 ME Tulevik 14:45 Nõmme Kalju
21-09-19 ME Paide 10:00 Tulevik

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Flora 25 20 2 3 68 16 12 7 2 3 34 10 13 13 0 0 34 6 52 62
2 Levadia 26 19 3 4 82 21 12 8 2 2 45 10 14 11 1 2 37 11 61 60
3 Paide 26 17 4 5 58 20 13 9 1 3 33 7 13 8 3 2 25 13 38 55
4 Nõmme Kalju 24 13 9 2 46 23 13 8 3 2 32 19 11 5 6 0 14 4 23 48
5 Tammeka 26 9 6 11 38 42 13 3 5 5 18 20 13 6 1 6 20 22 -4 33
6 Trans 26 7 8 11 39 40 14 3 4 7 19 22 12 4 4 4 20 18 -1 29
7 Tulevik 25 4 6 15 25 50 13 1 3 9 12 27 12 3 3 6 13 23 -25 18
8 Tallinna Kalev 25 4 5 16 18 62 12 2 0 10 7 30 13 2 5 6 11 32 -44 17
9 Kuressaare 26 4 5 17 17 61 13 3 3 7 6 16 13 1 2 10 11 45 -44 17
10 Maardu 25 4 4 17 20 76 12 3 3 6 13 31 13 1 1 11 7 45 -56 16