Meistriliiga prediction: Nõmme Kalju should edge out Tulevik on their own turf

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Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga
Date: Sat 22.June
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: Hiiu staadion (2730 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The home fans are optimistic that the difference between 3rd and 7th place in the table will show on the pitch.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Nõmme Kalju form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Hiiu staadion as Nõmme Kalju have scored 18 goals to get 16 points from 8 games. The overall stats are 5-1-2 (wins-draws-losses). The team is able to perform also as the away side, as they are nurturing a very healthy winning streak of five straight victories regardless of arena. After failing to beat Tallinna Kalev here at Hiiu staadion, Nõmme Kalju has put together a very nice winning streak on their own turf with seven wins in a row.

The Nõmme Kalju supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Tulevik in Meistriliiga and win 2-1. Before that match, a win away at Flora.

Nõmme Kalju are huge favourites in this match and it would be a big surprise if they fail to leave Hiiu staadion with maximum points. The home side has been in this situation before, with huge expectations of a win. 31 earlier games are comparable to this one, and Nõmme Kalju has won 21 times, drawn 8 and lost 2. Sports bettors who like handicap betting will like to know that Nõmme Kalju has won by at least two goals 14 times when in this position.

Goals decide football matches and Nõmme Kalju are scoring many of them at home; 18 on target from 8 matches. Nõmme Kalju have conceded 12 from these games.

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Tulevik form and stats

The visitors are W3-D1-L4 on the road this term. Tulevik has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

Tulevik play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 1-2 to Nõmme Kalju. That result followed a home victory 2-0 versus Maardu.

Tulevik are huge outsiders in this game. Running a check in our games database we found 34 matches where they were as big outsiders as an away team. Results were 8 wins, 0 draws and 26 defeats. Of the defeats, 18 games were lost by at least two goals margin.

The attacking power of Tulevik when travelling is not overwhelming with 6 goals scored in 8 matches. Tulevik have conceded 14 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Nõmme Kalju - Tulevik 2-1. Last ten meetings between the teams: Nõmme Kalju won 10, Tulevik won 0 and 0 draws. 9 games with over 2,5 goals, 1 match with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Liliu
8 goals
M. Uggè
5 goals
K. Saag
5 goals

Nõmme Kalju missing players

Tulevik missing players

Nõmme Kalju Tulevik
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs top Away Total
17 9 3 Played 2 9 17
11 6 2 Won 0 3 4
4 1 1 Drew 0 1 3
2 2 0 Lost 2 5 10
32 20 10 Scored 2 7 16
15 13 2 Conceded 7 16 34
82% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 89% 94%
71% 100% 100% Over 1.5 100% 56% 76%
53% 78% 67% Over 2.5 50% 33% 53%
35% 44% 67% Over 3.5 50% 22% 35%
29% 33% 33% Over 4.5 50% 22% 18%
35% 56% 33% BTTS 50% 22% 41%
53% 22% 67% Clean Sheets 0% 44% 29%
29% 22% 0% Failed To Score 50% 44% 35%
 
8.6 8.9 12 Corners For (avg) 0.5 3.6 3.4
2.9 3.2 2.3 Corners Against (avg) 8.5 7.9 8.1
1.9 1.8 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 3 2.6 2.6
0 0 0 Red Cards 2 3 4
Key stats this season:
  • All of Nõmme Kalju's home matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Nõmme Kalju have created more than twice as many corners as Tulevik.
  • Nõmme Kalju have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Nõmme Kalju have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Nõmme Kalju have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Tulevik have scored away.
  • Nõmme Kalju have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Nõmme Kalju haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Tulevik have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Tulevik have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.

Nõmme Kalju
All Champions League Meistriliiga Europa League Estonian Cup Super Cup Club Friendlies
All Home Away
28-05-19 ME Paide 0 - 2 Nõmme Kalju
01-06-19 ME Nõmme Kalju 6 - 0 Maardu
15-06-19 ME Nõmme Kalju 3 - 2 Trans
18-06-19 ME Flora 0 - 1 Nõmme Kalju
22-06-19 ME Nõmme Kalju 2 - 1 Tulevik
28-06-19 ME Tammeka 16:30 Nõmme Kalju
05-07-19 ME Trans 16:30 Nõmme Kalju
09-07-19 CL Nõmme Kalju - Skendija 79
16-07-19 CL Skendija 79 - Nõmme Kalju
19-07-19 ME Nõmme Kalju 16:30 Paide
Tulevik
All Esiliiga Meistriliiga Estonian Cup Club Friendlies
All Home Away
28-05-19 ME Tulevik 1 - 1 Trans
01-06-19 ME Tammeka 0 - 1 Tulevik
14-06-19 ME Paide 6 - 0 Tulevik
18-06-19 ME Tulevik 2 - 0 Maardu
22-06-19 ME Nõmme Kalju 2 - 1 Tulevik
30-06-19 ME Tulevik 16:00 Tallinna Kalev
06-07-19 ME Tulevik 16:00 Tammeka
13-07-19 EC Tulevik 16:00 Kadrina
21-07-19 ME Trans 13:00 Tulevik
28-07-19 ME Tulevik 16:00 Levadia

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Flora 15 13 1 1 50 11 7 5 1 1 26 6 8 8 0 0 24 5 39 40
2 Levadia 15 11 2 2 47 12 7 4 2 1 27 6 8 7 0 1 20 6 35 35
3 Nõmme Kalju 15 9 4 2 29 14 8 5 1 2 18 12 7 4 3 0 11 2 15 31
4 Paide 15 9 3 3 25 9 8 4 1 3 12 6 7 5 2 0 13 3 16 30
5 Trans 15 4 6 5 20 15 8 1 3 4 8 8 7 3 3 1 12 7 5 18
6 Kuressaare 15 4 4 7 10 21 8 3 2 3 5 7 7 1 2 4 5 14 -11 16
7 Tulevik 15 3 3 9 13 32 7 0 2 5 7 18 8 3 1 4 6 14 -19 12
8 Maardu 15 2 3 10 9 47 7 2 2 3 6 15 8 0 1 7 3 32 -38 9
9 Tammeka 15 2 3 10 17 31 7 0 2 5 5 13 8 2 1 5 12 18 -14 9
10 Tallinna Kalev 15 2 3 10 11 39 8 2 0 6 6 20 7 0 3 4 5 19 -28 9

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