Football tips: Southport vs Leamington - predictions and betting guide

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Competition: England Vanarama National League North
Date: Sat 02.November
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Merseyrail Community Stadium (6008 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The home fans are optimistic that the difference between 4th and 17th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Southport and Leamington should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Southport form and stats

17 points is a decent return from 8 Vanarama National League North games here at Merseyrail Community Stadium for Southport. The data says 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. Ever since the Kettering Town game Southport has been unbeatable here at Merseyrail Community Stadium producing four straight wins.

A good away victory last time out for Southport, who won 3-0 against Bradford Park Avenue (placed 21st). Before that, Southport had a home game versus Hereford which ended with a victory 3-2.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Southport's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played three games, won 1 match, drawn 1 and lost 1.

A decent goal production from Southport in their home games so far, with 12 goals from 8 league matches. Southport have only conceded 5 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Leamington form and stats

There's been little loot from Leamington's travels as they have only collected 5 points from 6 away games in the Vanarama National League North. Leamington only have 1 win to counter their 3 defeats and 2 draws.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Vanarama National League North home defeat versus Alfreton Town with 0-1 on the scoreboard. The game before that, in the FA Cup, was lost at home, a 0-2 defeat against Darlington.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Leamington playing away, we found four games. Results were 2 away wins, 2 draws and 0 home wins.

Leamington have scored 8 goals on their travels this season, from 6 away games in the league. The Leamington manager P. Holleran has some worries about the defense as 14 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last four meetings: 3 - 0 - 1 (Southport wins - draws - Leamington wins). As for goals, 1 match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 3 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Leamington
J. March
8 goals
SouthportD. Morgan
D. Morgan
6 goals
SouthportD. Green
D. Green
3 goals

Southport missing players

Leamington missing players

Southport Leamington
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
15 8 5 Played P 2 6 13
7 5 2 Won W 0 1 4
4 2 2 Drew D 1 2 3
4 1 1 Lost L 1 3 6
19 12 5 Scored S 3 8 16
12 5 3 Conceded C 5 14 22
87% 88% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
73% 62% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 83% 85%
33% 38% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 67% 46%
7% 12% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 67% 38%
7% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 33% 15%
27% 38% 40% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 38%
47% 50% 40% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 15%
40% 25% 40% Failed to Score F T 50% 50% 46%
 
5.5 6.8 7.2 Corners For (avg) C F 4 3.7 4.1
4.7 5 4.6 Corners Against (avg) C A 6 5.2 4.3
1.4 1.2 1.2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 2 2
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 3 4
Key stats this season:
  • Leamington have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Leamington have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Leamington haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Southport have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Southport have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Southport have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 York City 15 10 5 0 27 8 7 4 3 0 10 3 8 6 2 0 17 5 19 35
2 Chester 15 7 6 2 31 18 7 4 2 1 17 8 8 3 4 1 14 10 13 27
3 Farsley Celtic 14 8 1 5 25 18 6 4 0 2 10 9 8 4 1 3 15 9 7 25
4 Southport 15 7 4 4 19 12 8 5 2 1 12 5 7 2 2 3 7 7 7 25
5 King's Lynn Town 13 7 4 2 26 20 7 5 2 0 18 9 6 2 2 2 8 11 6 25
6 Alfreton Town 14 7 1 6 27 20 7 4 1 2 16 9 7 3 0 4 11 11 7 22
7 Brackley Town 13 6 3 4 23 10 6 4 2 0 15 2 7 2 1 4 8 8 13 21
8 Guiseley 14 6 3 5 26 21 7 4 2 1 13 6 7 2 1 4 13 15 5 21
9 Hereford 14 6 3 5 18 20 6 3 3 0 7 4 8 3 0 5 11 16 -2 21
10 Gateshead 12 5 5 2 13 9 7 4 2 1 8 4 5 1 3 1 5 5 4 20
11 Darlington 14 6 2 6 17 18 8 5 1 2 11 6 6 1 1 4 6 12 -1 20
12 Gloucester City 15 6 2 7 23 30 7 4 1 2 12 8 8 2 1 5 11 22 -7 20
13 Spennymoor Town 13 5 4 4 24 18 6 4 1 1 17 9 7 1 3 3 7 9 6 19
14 Boston United 13 5 4 4 17 14 6 4 2 0 12 3 7 1 2 4 5 11 3 19
15 AFC Telford United 14 5 3 6 21 23 8 3 2 3 14 14 6 2 1 3 7 9 -2 18
16 Kidderminster Harriers 14 5 2 7 20 19 7 2 1 4 9 10 7 3 1 3 11 9 1 17
17 Leamington 13 4 3 6 16 22 7 3 1 3 8 8 6 1 2 3 8 14 -6 15
18 Altrincham 12 3 4 5 17 20 5 3 1 1 13 7 7 0 3 4 4 13 -3 13
19 Curzon Ashton 13 2 3 8 15 22 7 2 1 4 10 11 6 0 2 4 5 11 -7 9
20 Blyth Spartans 14 2 3 9 10 28 7 1 2 4 8 14 7 1 1 5 2 14 -18 9
21 Bradford Park Avenue 15 2 3 10 9 41 8 1 2 5 6 20 7 1 1 5 3 21 -32 9
22 Kettering Town 13 2 2 9 14 27 7 2 1 4 9 14 6 0 1 5 5 13 -13 8