Vanarama National League North prediction and preview: Southport modest favorites to beat Hereford

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Competition: England Vanarama National League North
Date: Tue 22.October
Match begins: 20:45 (UTC)
Venue: Rossett Park (3185 seats)

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, Southport in 12th and Hereford in 8th place.

Southport have less rest than Hereford in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a FA Cup game only three days ago. Thankfully the previous game, versus Altrincham, was also a home game here at Rossett Park. The away team is better rested. That game was an away game at Altrincham, so at least Southport are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Southport form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Rossett Park as Southport have scored 9 goals to get 14 points from 7 games. The overall stats in the Vanarama National League North are 4-2-1 (wins-draws-losses). Nine out of nine points from the last three home games for Southport, and the home supporters are ready to scream their lungs out to keep the winning streak alive.

Southport's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 1-3 versus Altrincham (placed 18th). Ahead of that match, Southport won a home game hosting Brackley Town (1-0).

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Southport handle that role? We have found nine games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W4-D2-L3.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Southport as they are travelling to their away game against Bradford Park Avenue in the Vanarama National League North. That match is four days after this one.

Southport are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 9 goals in 7 attempts. Southport have showed great defending skills in these home games, allowing the opposition to score only 3 goals.

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Hereford form and stats

3 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses. That’s the product of Hereford playing as the away team in the Vanarama National League North this season.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Hereford, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 2-3 versus Bradford Park Avenue (placed 21st). A draw for Hereford before that, at their own venue hosting Tamworth (0-0).

We have checked recent matches where Hereford have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were W3-D0-L3.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Alfreton Town in just four days.

Hereford find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 9 goals from 7 away fixtures in the league. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Hereford have conceded 13 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head totals (for the last two meetings): Southport won 2 games, 0 matches ended with a draw and Hereford has 0 wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 1 / 1

Top Goalscorers

SouthportD. Morgan
D. Morgan
4 goals
SouthportRaul Correia
Raul Correia
3 goals
 J. Nicholson
J. Nicholson
3 goals

Southport missing players

Hereford missing players

Southport Hereford
Total Home Home vs mid Statistics Stat Away vs mid Away Total
13 7 1 Played P 1 7 13
5 4 0 Won W 1 3 6
4 2 0 Drew D 0 0 3
4 1 1 Lost L 0 4 4
13 9 0 Scored S 2 9 16
10 3 1 Conceded C 0 13 17
85% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 92%
69% 57% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 86% 69%
23% 29% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 57% 46%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 43% 31%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 29% 15%
23% 29% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 43% 46%
46% 57% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 43% 46%
46% 29% 100% Failed to Score F T 0% 14% 15%
 
5.5 6.6 7 Corners For (avg) C F 2 5.3 4.6
5 5.1 5 Corners Against (avg) C A 4 4.7 5.2
1.2 1 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 4 2.6 2
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Hereford have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Hereford haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Southport have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Southport have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.

Southport
21-09-19 FAC Southport 5 - 2 Scarborough Athletic
28-09-19 Va Boston United 2 - 0 Southport
05-10-19 FAC Farsley Celtic 0 - 5 Southport
12-10-19 Va Southport 1 - 0 Brackley Town
19-10-19 FAC Southport 1 - 3 Altrincham
22-10-19 Va Southport 20:45 Hereford
26-10-19 Va Bradford Park Avenue 16:00 Southport
02-11-19 Va Southport 16:00 Leamington
09-11-19 Va Spennymoor Town 16:00 Southport
16-11-19 Va Southport 16:00 King's Lynn Town
Hereford
28-09-19 Va Hereford 1 - 0 Kettering Town
01-10-19 Va Leamington 0 - 2 Hereford
05-10-19 FAC Tamworth 0 - 0 Hereford
08-10-19 FAC Hereford 0 - 0 Tamworth
12-10-19 Va Bradford Park Avenue 3 - 2 Hereford
22-10-19 Va Southport 20:45 Hereford
26-10-19 Va Hereford 16:00 Alfreton Town
02-11-19 Va Darlington 16:00 Hereford
09-11-19 Va Hereford 16:00 York City
16-11-19 Va Altrincham 16:00 Hereford

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 York City 13 8 5 0 24 7 6 3 3 0 8 2 7 5 2 0 16 5 17 29
2 Chester 14 7 6 1 31 17 6 4 2 0 17 7 8 3 4 1 14 10 14 27
3 Farsley Celtic 13 8 1 4 25 16 6 4 0 2 10 9 7 4 1 2 15 7 9 25
4 King's Lynn Town 13 7 4 2 26 20 7 5 2 0 18 9 6 2 2 2 8 11 6 25
5 Alfreton Town 14 7 1 6 27 20 7 4 1 2 16 9 7 3 0 4 11 11 7 22
6 Brackley Town 13 6 3 4 23 10 6 4 2 0 15 2 7 2 1 4 8 8 13 21
7 Guiseley 14 6 3 5 26 21 7 4 2 1 13 6 7 2 1 4 13 15 5 21
8 Hereford 13 6 3 4 16 17 6 3 3 0 7 4 7 3 0 4 9 13 -1 21
9 Gateshead 12 5 5 2 13 9 7 4 2 1 8 4 5 1 3 1 5 5 4 20
10 Gloucester City 14 6 2 6 22 25 7 4 1 2 12 8 7 2 1 4 10 17 -3 20
11 Boston United 12 5 4 3 16 12 6 4 2 0 12 3 6 1 2 3 4 9 4 19
12 Southport 13 5 4 4 13 10 7 4 2 1 9 3 6 1 2 3 4 7 3 19
13 AFC Telford United 14 5 3 6 21 23 8 3 2 3 14 14 6 2 1 3 7 9 -2 18
14 Darlington 13 5 2 6 16 18 7 4 1 2 10 6 6 1 1 4 6 12 -2 17
15 Spennymoor Town 12 4 4 4 19 17 5 3 1 1 12 8 7 1 3 3 7 9 2 16
16 Leamington 13 4 3 6 16 22 7 3 1 3 8 8 6 1 2 3 8 14 -6 15
17 Kidderminster Harriers 12 4 2 6 18 18 6 1 1 4 7 10 6 3 1 2 11 8 0 14
18 Altrincham 12 3 4 5 17 20 5 3 1 1 13 7 7 0 3 4 4 13 -3 13
19 Curzon Ashton 13 2 3 8 15 22 7 2 1 4 10 11 6 0 2 4 5 11 -7 9
20 Blyth Spartans 14 2 3 9 10 28 7 1 2 4 8 14 7 1 1 5 2 14 -18 9
21 Bradford Park Avenue 14 2 3 9 9 38 7 1 2 4 6 17 7 1 1 5 3 21 -29 9
22 Kettering Town 13 2 2 9 14 27 7 2 1 4 9 14 6 0 1 5 5 13 -13 8