Premier League match prediction: Little separates Liverpool and Chelsea in quality

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Competition: England Premier League
Competition: Thu 04.March
Match begins: 20:15 (UTC)
Venue: Anfield (54074 seats)

Both teams are enjoying a good season so far and games like this could be decisive. Here's the preview for Liverpool - Chelsea!

Insights:
  • Liverpool have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Liverpool form and stats

Liverpool have played 13 Premier League games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 7-2-4 (wins-draws-losses). It's been an uphill battle for Liverpool in their home games for quite some time now, as four matches in a row are lost here. Not since the Manchester United game have they avoided the disappointment of defeat.

A good away victory last time out for Liverpool, who won 2-0 against Sheffield United (placed 20th). Preceding that match was the home game against Everton that was lost 0-2.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Liverpool have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found one match with the results: Won zero, drawn one and lost zero.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Liverpool as they have a new game in only three days, a Premier League match thankfully also at home. Fulham are visiting.

A decent goal production from Liverpool in their home games so far, with 22 goals from 13 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Liverpool's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 16 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Chelsea form and stats

Playing away, Chelsea have won 6 games, drawn 3 and suffered 4 defeats in the Premier League this season.

Chelsea delivered a 0-0 draw playing at home against Manchester United (placed 2nd) in their previous match; a Premier League game. Prior to that result Chelsea won their away game at Atletico Madrid in the Champions League. The scoreline was 1-0.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found four similar matches played by Chelsea in our archives, and the results are: two wins for Chelsea, two draws and zero defeats.

After this away game Chelsea return home for a Premier League game against Everton. That game is only four sleeps after this.

Chelsea have scored 18 goals on their travels this season, from 13 away games in the league. 14 goals have been conceded by Chelsea in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Chelsea - Liverpool 0-2 entered in the official records. Liverpool-Chelsea H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Liverpool four wins, Chelsea three wins, three draws. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

LiverpoolM. Salah Ghaly
M. Salah Ghaly
17 goals
LiverpoolS. Mané
S. Mané
7 goals
LiverpoolR. Barbosa de Oliveira
R. Barbosa de Oliveira
6 goals

Liverpool missing players

Chelsea missing players

Liverpool Chelsea
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
26 13 4 Played P 2 13 26
12 7 2 Won W 0 6 12
7 2 1 Drew D 1 3 8
7 4 1 Lost L 1 4 6
47 22 6 Scored S 0 18 41
34 16 5 Conceded C 2 14 25
92% 92% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 92% 85%
81% 77% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 69% 73%
54% 62% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 46% 46%
38% 31% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 23% 31%
15% 15% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 12%
58% 54% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 46% 42%
27% 23% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 38% 46%
23% 31% 25% Failed to Score F T 100% 23% 27%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.1 1 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.5 1.3
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
15.2 16.7 14.2 Shots (avg) S ( 8 13.5 14.1
5.5 5.7 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 4.4 5.1
33% 30% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 32% 31%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Liverpool have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 26 19 5 2 52 16 13 10 2 1 27 8 13 9 3 1 25 8 36 62
2 Manchester United 26 14 8 4 53 32 13 6 3 4 28 19 13 8 5 0 25 13 21 50
3 Leicester City 26 15 4 7 45 30 13 6 1 6 20 19 13 9 3 1 25 11 15 49
4 West Ham United 26 13 6 7 40 31 13 7 3 3 21 15 13 6 3 4 19 16 9 45
5 Chelsea 26 12 8 6 41 25 13 6 5 2 23 11 13 6 3 4 18 14 16 44
6 Liverpool 26 12 7 7 47 34 13 7 2 4 22 16 13 5 5 3 25 18 13 43
7 Everton 25 13 4 8 38 33 13 5 2 6 18 20 12 8 2 2 20 13 5 43
8 Tottenham Hotspur 25 11 6 8 41 27 13 6 3 4 21 13 12 5 3 4 20 14 14 39
9 Aston Villa 24 12 3 9 38 26 11 5 1 5 20 16 13 7 2 4 18 10 12 39
10 Arsenal 26 11 4 11 34 27 13 5 3 5 16 14 13 6 1 6 18 13 7 37
11 Leeds United 26 11 2 13 43 44 13 5 2 6 19 17 13 6 0 7 24 27 -1 35
12 Wolverhampton Wanderers 26 9 7 10 27 33 13 5 4 4 15 14 13 4 3 6 12 19 -6 34
13 Crystal Palace 26 9 6 11 29 43 13 4 4 5 14 21 13 5 2 6 15 22 -14 33
14 Southampton 26 8 6 12 31 44 13 5 2 6 17 16 13 3 4 6 14 28 -13 30
15 Burnley 26 7 7 12 18 34 13 4 4 5 10 14 13 3 3 7 8 20 -16 28
16 Brighton & Hove Albion 26 5 11 10 26 33 13 1 7 5 12 17 13 4 4 5 14 16 -7 26
17 Newcastle United 26 7 5 14 27 44 13 4 3 6 16 22 13 3 2 8 11 22 -17 26
18 Fulham 26 4 11 11 21 32 13 2 4 7 8 17 13 2 7 4 13 15 -11 23
19 West Bromwich Albion 26 3 8 15 20 55 13 2 4 7 9 32 13 1 4 8 11 23 -35 17
20 Sheffield United 26 3 2 21 15 43 13 2 1 10 9 20 13 1 1 11 6 23 -28 11

Liverpool:
Chelsea:
Premier League:
England:

Read more about Premier League

The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.