Premier League match prediction: Little separates Brentford and Leeds United in quality

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Competition: England Premier League
Competition: Sun 22.May
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Brentford Community Stadium (17250 seats)

Brentford have enginereed 7 home victories this season, Leeds United have won 4 away. Who improves their records after this meeting?

Insights:
  • Brentford have the most points from losing position (15) in Premier League
  • Leeds United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Brentford can neither be promoted or relegated from Premier League. Leeds are struggling to avoid relegation.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Brentford form and stats

7 victories, 3 draws and 8 defeats. That’s what Brentford have to build on here at Brentford Community Stadium in the Premier League.

A strong away win for Brentford against Everton the last match, as Wissa and Henry were on target. Midfield player Eriksen got a match rating of 8.12 in that game, the max score being 10. Eriksen served one assist, hit five key passes and had 60 successful passes (of 73 total).

Before that game, the 3-0 home victory against Southampton.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Brentford have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 7 matches with the results: Won 5, drawn 0 and lost 2.

Brentford has scored 21 league goals at home this season, in 18 matches. Brentford's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 19 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Leeds United form and stats

There's been little loot from Leeds United's travels as they have only collected 17 points from 18 away games in the Premier League. Leeds United only have 4 wins to counter their 9 defeats and 5 draws.

Leeds United's last game was the home draw against Brighton & Hove Albion (1-1). The draw against Brighton & Hove Albion came from a losing position. The Leeds United manager Marsch brought on Struijk as a substitute and the player scored to make the scores level. Attacker Raphinha got a player rating of 7.43 in the game. "Man of the match" Raphinha hit four key passes.

The game before that, was lost at home, a 0-3 defeat against Chelsea.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Leeds United playing away and similar expectations, we found 8 relevant matches. Results were 3 Leeds wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats.

Leeds United are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 21 away goals from 18 games (in the league). Leeds United have conceded 40 goals in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The records show that this isn''t the first time these teams meet on the pitch this campaign, as the statistics show this recent fixture: Leeds United - Brentford 2-2. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: three - four - three (Brentford wins - draws - Leeds United wins). As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), eight had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

BrentfordI. Toney
I. Toney
12 goals
Leeds UnitedR. Dias Belloli
R. Dias Belloli
10 goals
BrentfordY. Wissa
Y. Wissa
7 goals

Brentford missing players

Leeds United missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Brentford Leeds United
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
37 18 6 Played P 6 18 37
13 7 4 Won W 2 4 8
7 3 0 Drew D 3 5 11
17 8 2 Lost L 1 9 18
47 21 9 Scored S 9 21 40
54 19 5 Conceded C 8 40 78
92% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 89% 95%
81% 67% 83% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 78% 81%
57% 44% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 67% 65%
24% 11% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 39% 38%
14% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 39% 24%
51% 39% 33% BTTS BTTS 50% 56% 57%
24% 39% 50% Clean Sheets C S 33% 17% 14%
32% 33% 17% Failed to Score F T 50% 39% 35%
 
4.2 4.7 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 4 4.5
6.1 5.8 4.8 Corners against (avg) C A 4.8 5.1 4.8
1.6 1.5 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.6 2.7
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
11.9 12.4 12.8 Shots (avg) S ( 14.7 11.4 12.9
3.9 3.9 3.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.7 4.1 4
32% 30% 45% Goal Efficiency G E 32% 28% 27%
 
13.4 11.8 13.8 Shots against (avg) S A 14 16.2 15.4
4.7 3.9 5.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.3 6.5 6.1
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Brentford have the most points from losing position (15) in Premier League
  • Leeds United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 37 28 6 3 96 24 18 14 2 2 55 13 19 14 4 1 41 11 72 90
2 Liverpool 36 26 8 2 89 24 18 14 4 0 46 8 18 12 4 2 43 16 65 86
3 Chelsea 36 20 10 6 73 31 17 8 6 3 34 20 19 12 4 3 39 11 42 70
4 Tottenham Hotspur 37 21 5 11 64 40 19 13 1 5 38 19 18 8 4 6 26 21 24 68
5 Arsenal 36 21 3 12 56 45 18 12 2 4 30 16 18 9 1 8 26 29 11 66
6 Manchester United 37 16 10 11 57 56 19 10 5 4 32 22 18 6 5 7 25 34 1 58
7 West Ham United 37 16 8 13 59 48 19 9 5 5 33 26 18 7 3 8 26 22 11 56
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 37 15 6 16 37 40 19 7 3 9 20 25 18 8 3 7 17 15 -3 51
9 Leicester City 36 13 9 14 57 57 18 9 4 5 30 22 18 4 5 9 27 35 0 48
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 37 11 15 11 39 43 18 4 7 7 16 22 19 7 8 4 23 21 -4 48
11 Brentford 37 13 7 17 47 54 18 7 3 8 21 19 19 6 4 9 26 35 -7 46
12 Crystal Palace 36 10 15 11 47 43 18 6 8 4 26 17 18 4 7 7 21 26 4 45
13 Aston Villa 36 13 5 18 49 50 18 6 4 8 28 28 18 7 1 10 21 22 -1 44
14 Newcastle United 36 11 10 15 40 61 18 7 6 5 24 27 18 4 4 10 16 34 -21 43
15 Southampton 36 9 13 14 41 61 18 6 7 5 22 22 18 3 6 9 19 39 -20 40
16 Everton 36 10 6 20 39 59 18 8 2 8 24 23 18 2 4 12 15 36 -20 36
17 Leeds United 37 8 11 18 40 78 19 4 6 9 19 38 18 4 5 9 21 40 -38 35
18 Burnley 36 7 13 16 32 50 18 5 6 7 17 23 18 2 7 9 15 27 -18 34
19 Watford 37 6 5 26 33 75 19 2 2 15 17 46 18 4 3 11 16 29 -42 23
20 Norwich City 37 5 7 25 23 79 18 3 3 12 12 38 19 2 4 13 11 41 -56 22

Brentford:
Leeds United:
Premier League:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 37 28 6 3 96 24 18 14 2 2 55 13 19 14 4 1 41 11 72 90
2 Liverpool 36 26 8 2 89 24 18 14 4 0 46 8 18 12 4 2 43 16 65 86
3 Chelsea 36 20 10 6 73 31 17 8 6 3 34 20 19 12 4 3 39 11 42 70
4 Tottenham Hotspur 37 21 5 11 64 40 19 13 1 5 38 19 18 8 4 6 26 21 24 68
5 Arsenal 36 21 3 12 56 45 18 12 2 4 30 16 18 9 1 8 26 29 11 66
6 Manchester United 37 16 10 11 57 56 19 10 5 4 32 22 18 6 5 7 25 34 1 58
7 West Ham United 37 16 8 13 59 48 19 9 5 5 33 26 18 7 3 8 26 22 11 56
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 37 15 6 16 37 40 19 7 3 9 20 25 18 8 3 7 17 15 -3 51
9 Leicester City 36 13 9 14 57 57 18 9 4 5 30 22 18 4 5 9 27 35 0 48
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 37 11 15 11 39 43 18 4 7 7 16 22 19 7 8 4 23 21 -4 48
11 Brentford 37 13 7 17 47 54 18 7 3 8 21 19 19 6 4 9 26 35 -7 46
12 Crystal Palace 36 10 15 11 47 43 18 6 8 4 26 17 18 4 7 7 21 26 4 45
13 Aston Villa 36 13 5 18 49 50 18 6 4 8 28 28 18 7 1 10 21 22 -1 44
14 Newcastle United 36 11 10 15 40 61 18 7 6 5 24 27 18 4 4 10 16 34 -21 43
15 Southampton 36 9 13 14 41 61 18 6 7 5 22 22 18 3 6 9 19 39 -20 40
16 Everton 36 10 6 20 39 59 18 8 2 8 24 23 18 2 4 12 15 36 -20 36
17 Leeds United 37 8 11 18 40 78 19 4 6 9 19 38 18 4 5 9 21 40 -38 35
18 Burnley 36 7 13 16 32 50 18 5 6 7 17 23 18 2 7 9 15 27 -18 34
19 Watford 37 6 5 26 33 75 19 2 2 15 17 46 18 4 3 11 16 29 -42 23
20 Norwich City 37 5 7 25 23 79 18 3 3 12 12 38 19 2 4 13 11 41 -56 22

More from England - Premier League

Read more about Premier League

The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.