League Two preview: Can Swindon Town edge out victory against Walsall?

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Competition: England League Two
Date: Sat 02.November
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: County Ground (15728 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The home fans are optimistic that the difference between 5th and 21st place in the table will show on the pitch.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Swindon Town form and stats

Swindon Town have collected 13 points from their League Two home games so far after 4-1-3.

Happy days for Swindon Town in their previous game, a League Two match away at Crawley Town (placed 17th) that ended with a 4-0 victory. Previous to that game, a home match hosting Stevenage in a game that was won 1-0.

As mentioned above, Swindon Town "killed" Crawley Town in their previous game. They need to reset completely for this one and beware of complacency. E. Doyle was absolutely essential when Swindon Town beat Crawley Town 4-0, scoring 3 goals.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Swindon Town have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 4 and lost 7.

Swindon Town has scored 11 league goals at home this season, in 8 matches. 10 goals have been conceded.

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Walsall form and stats

3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses. That’s the product of Walsall, who have the fewest scored goals (11) in League Two, playing as the away team in the League Two this season. With the Walsall losing streak of five defeats in a row, regardless of arena, optimism is low and sinking. With two straight losses from their last two away games, Walsall are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

The manager D. Clarke was unhappy after their last game, a League Two match played at their home ground County Ground. Walsall suffered a 1-2 loss to Mansfield Town (placed 14th). It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Oldham Athletic wasn't a success with a 0-2 loss.

Walsall are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 4 draws and 9 defeats. From a total of 14 matches.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Walsall as they have only managed to score 6 times from 8 away games in the league. As opposed to that, Walsall have seen the ball go into their own net 11 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: 3 - 4 - 3 (Swindon Town wins - draws - Walsall wins). As for goals, 5 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 5 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Swindon TownE. Doyle
E. Doyle
12 goals
Swindon TownJ. Yates
J. Yates
8 goals / 1 assists
Swindon TownK. Anderson
K. Anderson
3 goals / 2 assists

Swindon Town missing players

Walsall missing players

Swindon Town Walsall
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs top Away Total
16 8 3 Played P 2 8 16
8 4 3 Won W 1 3 4
3 1 0 Drew D 0 1 3
5 3 0 Lost L 1 4 9
26 11 7 Scored S 1 6 11
19 10 3 Conceded C 1 11 23
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 88%
81% 75% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 50% 56%
56% 50% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 38% 44%
38% 25% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 19%
6% 12% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 6%
50% 38% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 25% 38%
31% 25% 33% Clean Sheets C S 50% 38% 31%
19% 38% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 50% 44%
 
5 5.2 5.7 Corners For (avg) C F 7.5 6 5.8
4.6 4 3.7 Corners Against (avg) C A 6.5 5.5 5
1.8 1.6 1.7 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 2.1 1.8
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • Swindon Town have scored more than double the goals of Walsall.
  • Swindon Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Walsall have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.

Swindon Town
All EFL Trophy League Two FA Cup Carabao Cup
All Home Away Home vs low
08-10-19 EFL Swindon Town 0 - 3 Plymouth Argyle
12-10-19 LT Swindon Town 1 - 1 Plymouth Argyle
19-10-19 LT Crewe Alexandra 3 - 1 Swindon Town
22-10-19 LT Swindon Town 1 - 0 Stevenage
26-10-19 LT Crawley Town 0 - 4 Swindon Town
02-11-19 LT Swindon Town 16:00 Walsall
09-11-19 FAC Cheltenham Town 16:00 Swindon Town
13-11-19 EFL Bristol Rovers 20:45 Swindon Town
16-11-19 LT Salford City 16:00 Swindon Town
23-11-19 LT Swindon Town 16:00 Mansfield Town
Walsall
All EFL Trophy League One League Two FA Cup Carabao Cup
All Home Away Away vs top
05-10-19 LT Walsall 0 - 3 Salford City
12-10-19 LT Leyton Orient 3 - 1 Walsall
19-10-19 LT Walsall 1 - 2 Cheltenham Town
22-10-19 LT Oldham Athletic 2 - 0 Walsall
26-10-19 LT Walsall 1 - 2 Mansfield Town
02-11-19 LT Swindon Town 16:00 Walsall
09-11-19 FAC Walsall 16:00 Darlington
12-11-19 EFL Walsall 20:00 Forest Green Rovers
16-11-19 LT Walsall 16:00 Cambridge United
23-11-19 LT Walsall 16:00 Stevenage

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Crewe Alexandra 15 9 3 3 26 17 8 4 2 2 13 10 7 5 1 1 13 7 9 30
2 Exeter City 16 8 5 3 23 18 8 5 2 1 13 6 8 3 3 2 10 12 5 29
3 Cheltenham Town 14 8 4 2 26 12 7 5 2 0 19 8 7 3 2 2 7 4 14 28
4 Forest Green Rovers 15 8 4 3 18 9 7 4 2 1 8 5 8 4 2 2 10 4 9 28
5 Swindon Town 16 8 3 5 26 19 8 4 1 3 11 10 8 4 2 2 15 9 7 27
6 Bradford City 15 8 3 4 22 15 8 5 1 2 13 7 7 3 2 2 9 8 7 27
7 Newport County 15 7 6 2 16 11 8 5 3 0 10 5 7 2 3 2 6 6 5 27
8 Northampton Town 16 7 3 6 20 16 8 4 1 3 12 7 8 3 2 3 8 9 4 24
9 Colchester United 16 6 5 5 19 14 8 4 2 2 11 7 8 2 3 3 8 7 5 23
10 Plymouth Argyle 16 6 5 5 24 20 8 4 3 1 16 8 8 2 2 4 8 12 4 23
11 Port Vale 16 5 7 4 21 22 8 4 4 0 11 6 8 1 3 4 10 16 -1 22
12 Salford City 16 5 6 5 19 24 8 3 3 2 7 9 8 2 3 3 12 15 -5 21
13 Cambridge United 16 5 5 6 20 16 8 2 3 3 10 8 8 3 2 3 10 8 4 20
14 Mansfield Town 16 5 5 6 24 22 8 2 2 4 13 13 8 3 3 2 11 9 2 20
15 Macclesfield Town 15 5 5 5 16 18 7 3 3 1 9 5 8 2 2 4 7 13 -2 20
16 Leyton Orient 16 5 5 6 24 27 8 2 3 3 12 13 8 3 2 3 12 14 -3 20
17 Crawley Town 16 5 5 6 23 27 8 4 1 3 11 12 8 1 4 3 12 15 -4 20
18 Grimsby Town 15 5 4 6 20 20 7 2 2 3 9 12 8 3 2 3 11 8 0 19
19 Oldham Athletic 16 3 6 7 16 24 8 2 3 3 9 8 8 1 3 4 7 16 -8 15
20 Carlisle United 16 4 3 9 16 28 8 2 2 4 8 14 8 2 1 5 8 14 -12 15
21 Walsall 16 4 3 9 11 23 8 1 2 5 5 12 8 3 1 4 6 11 -12 15
22 Scunthorpe United 16 3 5 8 21 25 8 3 3 2 14 9 8 0 2 6 7 16 -4 14
23 Stevenage 16 2 6 8 12 21 8 2 2 4 8 10 8 0 4 4 4 11 -9 12
24 Morecambe 16 2 4 10 14 29 8 0 3 5 7 14 8 2 1 5 7 15 -15 10

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