Home advantage could prove decisive in Swindon Town - Stevenage battle

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Competition: England League Two
Date: Tue 22.October
Match begins: 20:45 (UTC)
Venue: County Ground (15728 seats)

The league table in League Two tells a story about these teams so far, with Swindon Town leading Stevenage by 12 points. Match preview to follow:

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Swindon Town form and stats

Overall League Two stats at home this season for Swindon Town are 3-1-3 (wins-draw-losses).

In their previous game, the manager R. Wellens led his Swindon Town to a defeat in the League Two match away at Crewe Alexandra. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at County Ground. Preceding that game was the home draw versus Plymouth Argyle that ended 1-1.

A disaster for the home team in their last match (vs Crewe Alexandra) as a comfortable lead 1-0 was completely ruined into a loss 1-3.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Swindon Town matches with similar probabilities have ended with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats (from four games).

Swindon Town are traveling soon after this match as the League Two match at Crawley Town awaits in four days.

The Swindon Town fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 10 in 7 matches. Swindon Town's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 10 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Stevenage form and stats

Stevenage, who have the fewest scored goals (4) away in League Two, have only collected 4 points from their away games in the League Two, after 0-4-3 (7 played).

Stevenage are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 1-1 draw at Port Vale (placed 16th). That result followed a home victory 2-1 versus Grimsby Town.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Stevenage playing away, we found one game. Results were 1 away win, 0 draws and 0 home wins.

A new game in only four days for Stevenage, the League Two home match versus Morecambe. Busy days.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Stevenage as they have only managed to score 4 times from 7 away games in the league. 10 goals have been conceded by Stevenage in these games.

Head 2 Head

Last ten meetings between the teams: Swindon Town won 6, Stevenage won 3 and 1 draw. 5 games with over 2,5 goals, 5 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Swindon TownE. Doyle
E. Doyle
8 goals
Swindon TownJ. Yates
J. Yates
7 goals / 1 assists
StevenageK. Guthrie
K. Guthrie
5 goals

Swindon Town missing players

Stevenage missing players

Swindon Town Stevenage
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs top Away Total
14 7 2 Played P 2 7 14
6 3 2 Won W 0 0 1
3 1 0 Drew D 1 4 6
5 3 0 Lost L 1 3 7
21 10 6 Scored S 2 4 11
19 10 3 Conceded C 4 10 20
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 57% 79%
86% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 57% 57%
57% 57% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 29% 36%
36% 29% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 29% 29%
7% 14% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 14% 14%
57% 43% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 43% 50%
21% 14% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 43% 21%
21% 43% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 57% 50%
 
5.3 5.4 6.5 Corners For (avg) C F 2 4 5.6
5 4.3 4.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 5 5.9 5.4
1.8 1.4 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.1 1.3
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats This season:
  • Stevenage have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Stevenage have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Stevenage have yet to win a game away.
  • Swindon Town have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Stevenage have scored away.
  • Swindon Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Swindon Town
28-09-19 LT Swindon Town 0 - 2 Newport County
05-10-19 LT Bradford City 2 - 1 Swindon Town
08-10-19 EFL Swindon Town 0 - 3 Plymouth Argyle
12-10-19 LT Swindon Town 1 - 1 Plymouth Argyle
19-10-19 LT Crewe Alexandra 3 - 1 Swindon Town
22-10-19 LT Swindon Town 20:45 Stevenage
26-10-19 LT Crawley Town 16:00 Swindon Town
02-11-19 LT Swindon Town 16:00 Walsall
12-11-19 EFL Bristol Rovers 20:45 Swindon Town
16-11-19 LT Salford City 16:00 Swindon Town
Stevenage
28-09-19 LT Stevenage 1 - 1 Cambridge United
05-10-19 LT Colchester United 3 - 1 Stevenage
08-10-19 EFL Wycombe Wanderers 0 - 1 Stevenage
12-10-19 LT Stevenage 2 - 1 Grimsby Town
19-10-19 LT Port Vale 1 - 1 Stevenage
22-10-19 LT Swindon Town 20:45 Stevenage
26-10-19 LT Stevenage 16:00 Morecambe
29-10-19 EFL Stevenage 20:45 Fulham U21
02-11-19 LT Scunthorpe United 16:00 Stevenage
16-11-19 LT Stevenage 16:00 Oldham Athletic

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Crewe Alexandra 14 9 2 3 26 17 7 4 1 2 13 10 7 5 1 1 13 7 9 29
2 Bradford City 14 8 3 3 21 13 7 5 1 1 12 5 7 3 2 2 9 8 8 27
3 Newport County 13 7 5 1 14 7 7 5 2 0 9 4 6 2 3 1 5 3 7 26
4 Exeter City 14 7 5 2 18 15 7 4 2 1 9 6 7 3 3 1 9 9 3 26
5 Cheltenham Town 13 7 4 2 23 12 6 4 2 0 16 8 7 3 2 2 7 4 11 25
6 Forest Green Rovers 14 7 4 3 16 9 7 4 2 1 8 5 7 3 2 2 8 4 7 25
7 Swindon Town 14 6 3 5 21 19 7 3 1 3 10 10 7 3 2 2 11 9 2 21
8 Plymouth Argyle 14 5 5 4 20 16 7 3 3 1 12 8 7 2 2 3 8 8 4 20
9 Macclesfield Town 14 5 5 4 16 15 7 3 3 1 9 5 7 2 2 3 7 10 1 20
10 Cambridge United 14 5 4 5 20 14 7 2 2 3 10 8 7 3 2 2 10 6 6 19
11 Colchester United 14 5 4 5 16 13 7 3 2 2 8 6 7 2 2 3 8 7 3 19
12 Leyton Orient 14 5 4 5 23 22 7 2 2 3 11 12 7 3 2 2 12 10 1 19
13 Crawley Town 14 5 4 5 22 22 7 4 1 2 11 8 7 1 3 3 11 14 0 19
14 Grimsby Town 14 5 3 6 20 20 7 2 2 3 9 12 7 3 1 3 11 8 0 18
15 Northampton Town 14 5 3 6 16 16 7 3 1 3 10 7 7 2 2 3 6 9 0 18
16 Port Vale 14 4 6 4 19 21 7 4 3 0 11 6 7 0 3 4 8 15 -2 18
17 Mansfield Town 14 4 5 5 21 19 7 2 2 3 12 11 7 2 3 2 9 8 2 17
18 Salford City 14 4 5 5 16 22 7 3 2 2 6 8 7 1 3 3 10 14 -6 17
19 Walsall 14 4 3 7 10 19 7 1 2 4 4 10 7 3 1 3 6 9 -9 15
20 Carlisle United 14 4 2 8 15 25 7 2 2 3 8 12 7 2 0 5 7 13 -10 14
21 Oldham Athletic 14 2 5 7 14 24 7 1 3 3 7 8 7 1 2 4 7 16 -10 11
22 Scunthorpe United 14 2 4 8 17 23 7 2 3 2 11 8 7 0 1 6 6 15 -6 10
23 Morecambe 14 2 4 8 14 26 7 0 3 4 7 12 7 2 1 4 7 14 -12 10
24 Stevenage 14 1 6 7 11 20 7 1 2 4 7 10 7 0 4 3 4 10 -9 9