League One preview: Can Derby County edge out victory against Exeter City?

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Tue 25.October
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Pride Park Stadium (33597 seats)

Both participants are in good shape, Exeter City enjoying a 1 point edge on Derby County in the standings. Let's start!

Insights:
  • Derby County have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (2) in League One

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Derby County and Exeter City.

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Derby County form and stats

12 points is a decent return from 6 League One games here at Pride Park Stadium for Derby County. The data says 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses.

County are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 0-1 away versus Ipswich Town. Defender Cashin got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 8.0/10. Cashin won 10 of 16 duels.

Before that fixture, a home loss in the EFL Trophy against Manchester City U21. The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Derby County have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 10 games) they have won 7 times, drawn 0 and lost 3.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Derby County, as the League One home game vs Bristol Rovers is only four days away.

A decent goal production from County in their home games so far, with 10 goals from 6 league matches. Derby County have conceded 8 in these home matches.

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Exeter City form and stats

Playing away, Exeter City have won 2 games, drawn 2 and suffered 3 defeats in the League One this season.

Exeter City are travelling after their nice 2-1 home win in the fixture against Fleetwood Town (placed 16th). Late drama in the previous game, when Nombe scored the winning goal three minutes into stoppage time to defeat Fleetwood Town. Midfield player Collins was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.81/10. Collins hit four key passes and dribled past the opponent 3 of 3 times.

A defeat, in the EFL Trophy away at Forest Green Rovers, earlier. We have checked recent matches where Exeter City have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 5 games were 1 victory, 3 draws and 1 defeat.

Exeter are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 12 times in 7 away games so far. As opposed to that, Exeter City have seen the ball go into their own net 10 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Top Goalscorers

Exeter CityJ. Brown
J. Brown
8 goals
Exeter CityS. Nombe
S. Nombe
6 goals
Derby CountyJ. Collins
J. Collins
4 goals

Derby County missing players

Exeter City missing players

Derby County Exeter City
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
13 6 2 Played P 3 7 15
6 4 1 Won W 1 2 6
2 0 0 Drew D 1 2 3
5 2 1 Lost L 1 3 6
15 10 4 Scored S 5 12 26
12 8 4 Conceded C 4 10 21
85% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 86% 93%
62% 83% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 86% 80%
46% 83% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 57% 60%
8% 17% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 43% 47%
8% 17% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 29% 20%
38% 83% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 57% 53%
38% 17% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 43% 33%
38% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 14% 20%
 
7 6.5 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 6 6.4 6.5
5.2 5 5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.7 5.6 4.5
1.5 1.5 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.1 1.2
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
13.1 14.3 14.5 Shots (avg) S ( 10 11.4 11.6
4.6 5.2 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 3.1 3.5
25% 32% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 45% 55% 50%
 
10.3 11.8 13 Shots against (avg) S A 14.7 14.6 11.7
2.9 3.3 5.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 3.9 3.5
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Derby County have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Derby County have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Derby County have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (2) in League One
  • Derby County haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Plymouth Argyle 15 11 2 2 30 16 7 7 0 0 13 2 8 4 2 2 17 14 14 35
2 Ipswich Town 15 10 3 2 28 12 8 5 2 1 15 6 7 5 1 1 13 6 16 33
3 Sheffield Wednesday 15 9 3 3 28 13 7 4 2 1 17 8 8 5 1 2 11 5 15 30
4 Peterborough United 15 8 1 6 28 18 7 5 1 1 17 3 8 3 0 5 11 15 10 25
5 Portsmouth 13 7 4 2 23 15 6 3 3 0 12 6 7 4 1 2 11 9 8 25
6 Bolton Wanderers 14 7 3 4 16 10 7 5 1 1 10 3 7 2 2 3 6 7 6 24
7 Charlton Athletic 15 5 7 3 23 17 7 4 3 0 16 6 8 1 4 3 7 11 6 22
8 Exeter City 15 6 3 6 26 21 8 4 1 3 14 11 7 2 2 3 12 10 5 21
9 Barnsley 14 6 3 5 17 13 6 3 1 2 8 7 8 3 2 3 9 6 4 21
10 Shrewsbury Town 14 6 3 5 14 15 7 3 1 3 7 9 7 3 2 2 7 6 -1 21
11 Derby County 13 6 2 5 15 12 6 4 0 2 10 8 7 2 2 3 5 4 3 20
12 Wycombe Wanderers 14 6 2 6 18 17 6 3 1 2 9 5 8 3 1 4 9 12 1 20
13 Bristol Rovers 15 5 4 6 24 26 8 2 3 3 12 15 7 3 1 3 12 11 -2 19
14 Port Vale 14 5 4 5 15 19 7 2 3 2 8 8 7 3 1 3 7 11 -4 19
15 Lincoln City 13 4 6 3 16 17 6 1 5 0 7 5 7 3 1 3 9 12 -1 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 3 7 4 12 13 7 1 4 2 4 5 7 2 3 2 8 8 -1 16
17 Accrington Stanley 14 4 4 6 16 22 8 2 3 3 12 15 6 2 1 3 4 7 -6 16
18 Cambridge United 15 5 1 9 15 26 8 4 0 4 9 12 7 1 1 5 6 14 -11 16
19 Oxford United 13 4 2 7 14 16 7 2 1 4 7 9 6 2 1 3 7 7 -2 14
20 Cheltenham Town 14 4 2 8 12 20 7 3 0 4 9 12 7 1 2 4 3 8 -8 14
21 Burton Albion 15 3 3 9 17 29 8 2 1 5 5 13 7 1 2 4 12 16 -12 12
22 Forest Green Rovers 15 3 3 9 14 32 8 2 0 6 5 15 7 1 3 3 9 17 -18 12
23 Morecambe 14 2 5 7 11 24 7 1 2 4 4 12 7 1 3 3 7 12 -13 11
24 Milton Keynes Dons 14 3 1 10 13 22 8 1 1 6 6 14 6 2 0 4 7 8 -9 10

Derby County:
England:

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.