EFL Trophy: Derby County - Manchester City U21 prediction and detailed statistics

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Competition: England EFL Trophy
Competition: Tue 18.October
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Pride Park Stadium (33597 seats)

National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Derby County or Manchester City U21 that keep their silverware dream alive.

Only a few days to rest for the home team, as they had a League One game only three days back. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Accrington Stanley.

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Derby County form and stats

Derby County have performed here at Pride Park Stadium this season with 4 wins from 6 League One matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 0 games and lost 2.

Happy days for Derby County in their previous game, a fixture away at Accrington Stanley that ended with a 3-0 victory. The versatile forward Osula outdid all others in that match and managed a match rating of 8.11 out of 10. Osula scored two goals and hit two key passes.

Ahead of that match, County lost 1-2 at home to Port Vale.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Derby County have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 10 games) they have won 7 times, drawn 0 and lost 3.

Derby County are traveling soon after this match as the League One match at Ipswich Town awaits in three days.

A decent goal production from County in their home games so far, with 10 goals from 6 league matches. Derby County have conceded 8 in these home matches.

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Manchester City U21 form and stats

They also participated in EFL Trophy last season. This ended in the group stage.

The seven points Manchester City U21 have gathered from their first three away trips in the Premier League 2 Division One is impressive and could lead to great things if the form continues.

Home advantage was not enough for Manchester City U21 in their previous game as they lost hosting Blackburn Rovers U21, 1-3.

Before that one, a nice away victory 3-1 at Wolves U21.

Manchester are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat. From a total of 4 matches.

After this away game Manchester City U21 return home for a Premier League 2 Division One game against Crystal Palace U21. That game is only four sleeps after this.

Manchester City U21 are a potent attacking force on the road with their 8 goals in 3 league games.

Head 2 Head

Top Goalscorers

Manchester City U21A. Mebude
A. Mebude
6 goals
Derby CountyJ. Collins
J. Collins
4 goals
Derby CountyC. Hourihane
C. Hourihane
3 goals

Derby County missing players

Manchester City U21 missing players

Derby County Manchester City U21
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 12   Played P   20 25
12 7   Won W   9 12
3 0   Drew D   4 5
10 5   Lost L   7 8
30 17   Scored S   38 47
25 16   Conceded C   31 36
92% 100%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   100% 96%
64% 67%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   95% 88%
44% 67%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   75% 72%
16% 33%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   45% 48%
4% 8%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   20% 20%
44% 67%   BTTS BTTS   60% 60%
36% 25%   Clean Sheets C S   30% 32%
28% 8%   Failed to Score F T   10% 12%
 
5.6 5.1   Corners for (avg) C F   4.5 4.8
5.2 5.3   Corners against (avg) C A   4.7 4.5
1.2 1   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.1 1
2 1   Red cards R C   1 2
 
12.3 13.2   Shots (avg) S (   11.2 11.2
4.4 4.3   Shots on Target (avg) S O   4.5 4.7
27% 33%   Goal Efficiency G E   42% 40%
 
11.1 12.1   Shots against (avg) S A   12.1 11.3
3.6 3.6   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   5.4 5.1

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Mansfield Town 3 1 1 1 4 5 2 1 1 0 4 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -1 5
2 Derby County 2 1 1 0 4 2 1 1 0 0 3 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 4
3 Grimsby Town 2 1 0 1 3 3 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 3 0 3
4 Manchester City U21 1 0 0 1 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Plymouth Argyle 14 11 1 2 28 14 7 7 0 0 13 2 7 4 1 2 15 12 14 34
2 Ipswich Town 14 9 3 2 27 12 7 4 2 1 14 6 7 5 1 1 13 6 15 30
3 Sheffield Wednesday 14 9 2 3 27 12 7 4 2 1 17 8 7 5 0 2 10 4 15 29
4 Peterborough United 14 7 1 6 26 17 7 5 1 1 17 3 7 2 0 5 9 14 9 22
5 Portsmouth 12 6 4 2 22 15 6 3 3 0 12 6 6 3 1 2 10 9 7 22
6 Barnsley 13 6 3 4 17 12 6 3 1 2 8 7 7 3 2 2 9 5 5 21
7 Bolton Wanderers 13 6 3 4 13 8 7 5 1 1 10 3 6 1 2 3 3 5 5 21
8 Shrewsbury Town 13 6 3 4 14 14 6 3 1 2 7 8 7 3 2 2 7 6 0 21
9 Derby County 12 6 2 4 15 11 6 4 0 2 10 8 6 2 2 2 5 3 4 20
10 Charlton Athletic 14 4 7 3 22 17 7 4 3 0 16 6 7 0 4 3 6 11 5 19
11 Exeter City 14 5 3 6 24 20 7 3 1 3 12 10 7 2 2 3 12 10 4 18
12 Bristol Rovers 14 5 3 6 22 24 7 2 2 3 10 13 7 3 1 3 12 11 -2 18
13 Wycombe Wanderers 13 5 2 6 17 17 6 3 1 2 9 5 7 2 1 4 8 12 0 17
14 Lincoln City 12 4 5 3 15 16 5 1 4 0 6 4 7 3 1 3 9 12 -1 17
15 Fleetwood Town 13 3 7 3 11 11 7 1 4 2 4 5 6 2 3 1 7 6 0 16
16 Accrington Stanley 13 4 4 5 14 19 7 2 3 2 10 12 6 2 1 3 4 7 -5 16
17 Port Vale 13 4 4 5 14 19 7 2 3 2 8 8 6 2 1 3 6 11 -5 16
18 Cambridge United 14 5 1 8 15 25 7 4 0 3 9 11 7 1 1 5 6 14 -10 16
19 Oxford United 12 4 2 6 13 14 6 2 1 3 6 7 6 2 1 3 7 7 -1 14
20 Cheltenham Town 13 4 2 7 12 19 7 3 0 4 9 12 6 1 2 3 3 7 -7 14
21 Forest Green Rovers 14 3 3 8 14 31 7 2 0 5 5 14 7 1 3 3 9 17 -17 12
22 Milton Keynes Dons 13 3 1 9 13 21 7 1 1 5 6 13 6 2 0 4 7 8 -8 10
23 Burton Albion 14 2 3 9 16 29 7 1 1 5 4 13 7 1 2 4 12 16 -13 9
24 Morecambe 13 1 5 7 10 24 6 0 2 4 3 12 7 1 3 3 7 12 -14 8
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Crystal Palace U21 8 5 2 1 22 13 5 3 1 1 14 10 3 2 1 0 8 3 9 17
2 Manchester City U21 8 5 2 1 17 8 5 3 1 1 9 5 3 2 1 0 8 3 9 17
3 Arsenal U21 8 4 4 0 18 9 4 3 1 0 12 4 4 1 3 0 6 5 9 16
4 Everton U21 8 5 1 2 13 10 4 2 1 1 5 4 4 3 0 1 8 6 3 16
5 Fulham U21 8 4 3 1 20 7 3 2 1 0 7 3 5 2 2 1 13 4 13 15
6 Liverpool U21 8 3 4 1 14 10 5 2 2 1 9 6 3 1 2 0 5 4 4 13
7 Chelsea U21 9 3 4 2 21 18 4 0 3 1 7 10 5 3 1 1 14 8 3 13
8 Wolves U21 9 3 2 4 12 20 5 2 1 2 9 12 4 1 1 2 3 8 -8 11
9 Blackburn Rovers U21 9 3 1 5 15 17 4 1 1 2 8 8 5 2 0 3 7 9 -2 10
10 Brighton U21 8 2 3 3 16 13 3 1 2 0 7 3 5 1 1 3 9 10 3 9
11 Leicester U21 8 2 2 4 13 20 5 1 1 3 6 15 3 1 1 1 7 5 -7 8
12 Manchester United U21 9 0 6 3 16 27 4 0 3 1 7 11 5 0 3 2 9 16 -11 6
13 Tottenham U21 9 0 4 5 7 21 4 0 2 2 4 8 5 0 2 3 3 13 -14 4
14 West Ham United U21 9 0 2 7 9 20 4 0 0 4 3 7 5 0 2 3 6 13 -11 2

Derby County:
England: