Swansea City vs Nottingham Forest in FA Cup preview: Key statistics and predictions

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Competition: England FA Cup
Competition: Sat 23.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Liberty Stadium (20827 seats)

National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Swansea City or Nottingham Forest that keep their silverware dream alive.

Nottingham Forest could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Championship game only three sleeps ago.

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Swansea City form and stats

Swansea was eliminated in the 3rd round last season in the FA Cup.

Swansea City are steadily winning Championship games and points here at Liberty Stadium. 7 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat is the summary from 12 games.

Happy days for Swansea City in their previous game, a Championship match away at Barnsley that ended with a 2-0 victory. Before that match, a FA Cup win away at Stevenage.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Swansea have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 18 games) they have won eight times, drawn five and lost five.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Championship game versus Brentford in only four days. This game is also played here at Liberty Stadium.

Swansea has scored 15 league goals at home this season, in 12 matches. Swansea have showed great defending skills in these home games, allowing the opposition to score only 5 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only -1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Nottingham Forest form and stats

Last season their FA Cup adventure ended in the 3rd round.

There's been little loot from Nottingham Forest's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 12 away games in the Championship. Nottingham Forest only have 2 wins to counter their 7 defeats and 3 draws.

Nottingham Forest's previous game was their home loss versus Middlesbrough (1-2). Prior to that match, a home win 3-1 against Millwall in the Championship.

Nottingham are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is three wins, two draws and one defeat. From a total of six matches.

Nottingham are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels in the league. They have only managed 6 goals from 12 away games. Nottingham have conceded 15 goals in these away matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only -1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's three Swansea victories, three draws and four Nottingham Forest wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

SwanseaJ. Lowe
J. Lowe
9 goals
Swansea CityA. Ayew Pelé
A. Ayew Pelé
8 goals
Nottingham ForestL. Taylor
L. Taylor
4 goals

Swansea City missing players

Nottingham Forest missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Swansea City Nottingham Forest
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 12   Played P   11 25
14 7   Won W   2 7
7 4   Drew D   3 7
4 1   Lost L   6 11
31 15   Scored S   6 21
13 5   Conceded C   13 27
88% 75%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   100% 92%
72% 67%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   64% 68%
16% 25%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   9% 24%
0% 0%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   0% 8%
0% 0%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   0% 0%
32% 33%   BTTS BTTS   36% 44%
60% 67%   Clean Sheets C S   18% 28%
20% 25%   Failed to Score F T   45% 36%
 
0 0   Corners for (avg) C F   0 0
0 0   Corners against (avg) C A   0 0
1.6 1.5   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.5 1.6
0 0   Red cards R C   2 4
 
10.8 11.3   Shots (avg) S (   9.6 11.4
3.5 3.4   Shots on Target (avg) S O   2.3 3.2
36% 37%   Goal Efficiency G E   24% 26%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 25 16 5 4 35 21 13 8 4 1 17 8 12 8 1 3 18 13 14 53
2 Swansea City 24 13 7 4 29 13 12 7 4 1 15 5 12 6 3 3 14 8 16 46
3 Brentford 23 12 8 3 37 21 12 6 5 1 19 11 11 6 3 2 18 10 16 44
4 Watford 24 12 7 5 28 17 13 10 2 1 23 9 11 2 5 4 5 8 11 43
5 Reading 24 13 4 7 37 28 12 8 0 4 19 12 12 5 4 3 18 16 9 43
6 AFC Bournemouth 25 11 9 5 38 21 12 7 3 2 21 10 13 4 6 3 17 11 17 42
7 Middlesbrough 24 11 6 7 30 20 11 7 2 2 15 5 13 4 4 5 15 15 10 39
8 Stoke City 25 9 10 6 30 26 12 5 3 4 17 17 13 4 7 2 13 9 4 37
9 Bristol City 24 11 3 10 25 26 12 6 2 4 12 10 12 5 1 6 13 16 -1 36
10 Preston North End 25 11 2 12 31 33 12 4 1 7 10 13 13 7 1 5 21 20 -2 35
11 Barnsley 25 10 4 11 27 32 12 6 2 4 14 13 13 4 2 7 13 19 -5 34
12 Blackburn Rovers 24 9 6 9 39 28 12 5 4 3 19 13 12 4 2 6 20 15 11 33
13 Luton Town 25 9 6 10 21 27 12 5 4 3 15 13 13 4 2 7 6 14 -6 33
14 Huddersfield Town 25 9 4 12 28 35 13 7 1 5 17 12 12 2 3 7 11 23 -7 31
15 Cardiff City 24 8 5 11 30 28 13 4 2 7 19 17 11 4 3 4 11 11 2 29
16 Millwall 24 6 11 7 21 24 11 1 7 3 9 12 13 5 4 4 12 12 -3 29
17 Queens Park Rangers 24 6 9 9 23 30 11 3 4 4 11 13 13 3 5 5 12 17 -7 27
18 Coventry City 24 6 8 10 22 34 11 4 5 2 12 13 13 2 3 8 10 21 -12 26
19 Birmingham City 25 6 8 11 18 30 13 2 2 9 8 22 12 4 6 2 10 8 -12 26
20 Nottingham Forest 25 6 7 12 20 29 13 4 4 5 14 14 12 2 3 7 6 15 -9 25
21 Derby County 24 5 7 12 15 25 13 2 4 7 6 15 11 3 3 5 9 10 -10 22
22 Rotherham United 22 5 5 12 23 32 11 3 3 5 15 15 11 2 2 7 8 17 -9 20
23 Sheffield Wednesday 23 6 7 10 15 23 12 4 5 3 9 8 11 2 2 7 6 15 -8 19
24 Wycombe Wanderers 23 3 6 14 16 35 12 2 4 6 8 14 11 1 2 8 8 21 -19 15

Swansea City:
Nottingham Forest:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 25 16 5 4 35 21 13 8 4 1 17 8 12 8 1 3 18 13 14 53
2 Swansea City 24 13 7 4 29 13 12 7 4 1 15 5 12 6 3 3 14 8 16 46
3 Brentford 23 12 8 3 37 21 12 6 5 1 19 11 11 6 3 2 18 10 16 44
4 Watford 24 12 7 5 28 17 13 10 2 1 23 9 11 2 5 4 5 8 11 43
5 Reading 24 13 4 7 37 28 12 8 0 4 19 12 12 5 4 3 18 16 9 43
6 AFC Bournemouth 25 11 9 5 38 21 12 7 3 2 21 10 13 4 6 3 17 11 17 42
7 Middlesbrough 24 11 6 7 30 20 11 7 2 2 15 5 13 4 4 5 15 15 10 39
8 Stoke City 25 9 10 6 30 26 12 5 3 4 17 17 13 4 7 2 13 9 4 37
9 Bristol City 24 11 3 10 25 26 12 6 2 4 12 10 12 5 1 6 13 16 -1 36
10 Preston North End 25 11 2 12 31 33 12 4 1 7 10 13 13 7 1 5 21 20 -2 35
11 Barnsley 25 10 4 11 27 32 12 6 2 4 14 13 13 4 2 7 13 19 -5 34
12 Blackburn Rovers 24 9 6 9 39 28 12 5 4 3 19 13 12 4 2 6 20 15 11 33
13 Luton Town 25 9 6 10 21 27 12 5 4 3 15 13 13 4 2 7 6 14 -6 33
14 Huddersfield Town 25 9 4 12 28 35 13 7 1 5 17 12 12 2 3 7 11 23 -7 31
15 Cardiff City 24 8 5 11 30 28 13 4 2 7 19 17 11 4 3 4 11 11 2 29
16 Millwall 24 6 11 7 21 24 11 1 7 3 9 12 13 5 4 4 12 12 -3 29
17 Queens Park Rangers 24 6 9 9 23 30 11 3 4 4 11 13 13 3 5 5 12 17 -7 27
18 Coventry City 24 6 8 10 22 34 11 4 5 2 12 13 13 2 3 8 10 21 -12 26
19 Birmingham City 25 6 8 11 18 30 13 2 2 9 8 22 12 4 6 2 10 8 -12 26
20 Nottingham Forest 25 6 7 12 20 29 13 4 4 5 14 14 12 2 3 7 6 15 -9 25
21 Derby County 24 5 7 12 15 25 13 2 4 7 6 15 11 3 3 5 9 10 -10 22
22 Rotherham United 22 5 5 12 23 32 11 3 3 5 15 15 11 2 2 7 8 17 -9 20
23 Sheffield Wednesday 23 6 7 10 15 23 12 4 5 3 9 8 11 2 2 7 6 15 -8 19
24 Wycombe Wanderers 23 3 6 14 16 35 12 2 4 6 8 14 11 1 2 8 8 21 -19 15

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